Earths Future

Papers
(The TQCC of Earths Future is 11. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-02-01 to 2025-02-01.)
ArticleCitations
Economic Shock in a Climate Scenario and Its Impact on Surface Temperatures385
Asymmetrical Impact of Daytime and Nighttime Warming on the Interannual Variation of Urban Spring Vegetation Phenology130
Conflicting Changes of Vegetation Greenness Interannual Variability on Half of the Global Vegetated Surface117
The SDGs Provide Limited Evidence That Environmental Policies Are Delivering Multiple Ecological and Social Benefits108
Material Hide‐and‐Seek: Looking for the Resource Savings Due to International Trade of Food Products98
A Retrospective and Prospective Examination of the 1960s U.S. Northeast Drought93
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Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS87
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China83
Equity, Diversity, and Community as the Basis for Critical Zone Science and Education83
CMIP6 GCMs Projected Future Koppen‐Geiger Climate Zones on a Global Scale83
The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region82
Do Vegetation Fuel Reduction Treatments Alter Forest Fire Severity and Carbon Stability in California Forests?80
Heterogeneities in Regional Air Pollutant Emission Mitigation Across China During 2012–202079
Large Divergence in Tropical Hydrological Projections Caused by Model Spread in Vegetation Responses to Elevated CO278
Human Settlement Pressure Drives Slow‐Moving Landslide Exposure77
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Connecting Large‐Scale Meteorological Patterns to Extratropical Cyclones in CMIP6 Climate Models Using Self‐Organizing Maps63
PM2.5 Exposure and Associated Premature Mortality to 2100 in China Under Climate and Socioeconomic Change Scenarios62
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Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers61
The 3‐Machines Energy Transition Model: Exploring the Energy Frontiers for Restoring a Habitable Climate57
Trade and Climate Mitigation Interactions Create Agro‐Economic Opportunities With Social and Environmental Trade‐Offs in Latin America and the Caribbean57
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Thresholds in Road Network Functioning on US Atlantic and Gulf Barrier Islands53
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A Comprehensive Assessment of Carbon Dioxide Removal Options for Germany52
A Safety Factor Approach to Designing Urban Infrastructure for Dynamic Conditions49
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Participatory Modeling for Analyzing Interactions Between High‐Priority Sustainable Development Goals to Promote Local Sustainability46
Linear and Nonlinear Trend Analyzes in Global Satellite‐Based Precipitation, 1998–201746
Arctic Sea Ice Response to Flooding of the Snow Layer in Future Warming Scenarios46
Diffuse Radiation Forcing Constraints on Gross Primary Productivity and Global Terrestrial Evapotranspiration46
Biochar and Its Potential to Deliver Negative Emissions and Better Soil Quality in Europe46
Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index45
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands44
Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer44
Unveiling the Evolution of Extreme Rainfall Storm Structure Across Space and Time in a Warming Climate44
Wind Speed and Vegetation Coverage in Turn Dominated Wind Erosion Change With Increasing Aridity in Africa43
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Long‐Term Variability in the Arabian Peninsula Droughts Driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation41
Fluvial Flood Losses in the Contiguous United States Under Climate Change41
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Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Incorporating Climate‐Change‐Driven Sea Level Rise41
Robust Changes in North America's Hydroclimate Variability and Predictability41
Uncovering the Past and Future Climate Drivers of Wheat Yield Shocks in Europe With Machine Learning40
Breaking the Ecosystem Balance Over the Tibetan Plateau40
Spatial Aggregation of Global Dry and Wet Patterns Based on the Standard Precipitation Index39
Uncertain Pathways to a Future Safe Climate38
Hydrological Extremes Heighten Vulnerability to Schistosomiasis38
Multi‐Model Simulation of Solar Geoengineering Indicates Avoidable Destabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet38
The Janus‐Faced Role of Renewable Energy Development in Global Carbon Reduction Under Renewable Energy Policies38
Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance37
A Prefire Approach for Probabilistic Assessments of Postfire Debris‐Flow Inundation37
Predicting Flood Event Class Using a Novel Class Membership Function and Hydrological Modeling36
Evolution Modeling and Protection Scheme for Tidal Flats Under Natural Change and Human Pressure, Central Jiangsu Coast35
A Hierarchical Framework for Unpacking the Nitrogen Challenge35
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion35
CMIP6 Earth System Models Project Greater Acceleration of Climate Zone Change Due To Stronger Warming Rates35
Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions of 85 Federal Entities in Russia35
The Future Climate and Air Quality Response From Different Near‐Term Climate Forcer, Climate, and Land‐Use Scenarios Using UKESM135
Uncovering the Dynamics of Multi‐Sector Impacts of Hydrological Extremes: A Methods Overview34
An Action‐Oriented Approach to Make the Most of the Wind and Solar Power Complementarity34
Transient and Quasi‐Equilibrium Climate States at 1.5°C and 2°C Global Warming34
Uncertainty in Simulating Twentieth Century West African Precipitation Trends: The Role of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions33
Coral Reef Exposure to Damaging Tropical Cyclone Waves in a Warming Climate33
The Value of Large‐Scale Climatic Indices for Monthly Forecasting Severity of Widespread Flooding Using Dilated Convolutional Neural Networks33
Phase Shifts of the PDO and AMO Alter the Translation Distance of Global Tropical Cyclones33
Carbon Footprint Differentiation in the Japanese Residential Sector Due To Income‐Driven Divergences in Consumption and Time Allocation32
Deciphering China's Complex Pattern of Summer Precipitation Trends32
Global Wet/Dry Patterns and Mechanisms Since the Last Glacial Maximum: A Key to Future Projection32
Coupling GEDI LiDAR and Optical Satellite for Revealing Large‐Scale Maize Lodging in Northeast China31
The Effects of Model Complexity on Model Output Uncertainty in Co‐Evolved Coupled Natural‐Human Systems31
A New Method of Diagnosing the Historical and Projected Changes in Permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau31
Decomposing Three Decades of Nitrogen Emissions in Canada31
Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge‐Based Flood Risk Assessment Under Combined Scenarios of High Tides and Sea‐Level Rise: A Case Study of Hainan Island, China30
Shifting Contribution of Climatic Constraints on Evapotranspiration in the Boreal Forest30
Towards a Less Habitable Ocean30
Agent‐Based Model to Manage Household Water Use Through Social‐Environmental Strategies of Encouragement and Peer Pressure30
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Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty29
Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean29
Impacts of Forest Management‐Induced Productivity Changes on Future Land Use and Land Cover Change29
Accelerating the Renewable Energy Revolution to Get Back to the Holocene29
Evolution and Drivers of Energy Embodied in Intermediate and Final Trade Between China and the World28
Past, Present, and Future Pacific Sea‐Level Change28
Extreme Hydrometeorological Events, a Challenge for Gravimetric and Seismology Networks28
Impact of Quasi‐Idealized Future Land Cover Scenarios at High Latitudes in Complex Terrain28
Influence of Hillslope Flow on Hydroclimatic Evolution Under Climate Change28
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Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise27
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events27
Future Pathways of Water, Energy, and Food in the Eastern Nile Basin27
The 2018–2020 Multi‐Year Drought Sets a New Benchmark in Europe27
Heatwaves in Southeast Asia and Their Changes in a Warmer World27
Earthquake Iso‐Nuisance and Iso‐Damage Mapping for Alberta: Applications for Choosing Magnitude Thresholds to Manage Induced Seismicity27
Power and Pathways: Exploring Robustness, Cooperative Stability, and Power Relationships in Regional Infrastructure Investment and Water Supply Management Portfolio Pathways27
Uncertainty in Projected Critical Soil Moisture Values in CMIP6 Affects the Interpretation of a More Moisture‐Limited World26
Cyclone Gabrielle as a Design Storm for Northeastern Aotearoa New Zealand Under Anthropogenic Warming26
Modulation of Land Photosynthesis by the Indian Ocean Dipole: Satellite‐Based Observations and CMIP6 Future Projections26
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources25
Land‐Atmosphere Coupling Constrains Increases to Potential Evaporation in a Warming Climate: Implications at Local and Global Scales25
Bringing Social Science Into Critical Zone Science: Exploring Smallholder Farmers' Learning Preferences in Chinese Human‐Modified Critical Zones25
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People25
Remote Sensing of Seasonal Climatic Constraints on Leaf Phenology Across Pantropical Evergreen Forest Biome25
Illustrative Multi‐Centennial Projections of Global Mean Sea‐Level Rise and Their Application25
Do Derived Drought Indices Better Characterize Future Drought Change?25
Multivariate Analysis of Compound Flood Hazard Across Canada's Atlantic, Pacific and Great Lakes Coastal Areas24
Simulated Abrupt Shifts in Aerobic Habitats of Marine Species in the Past, Present, and Future24
Climatology of the Soil Surface Diurnal Temperature Range in a Warming World: Annual Cycles, Regional Patterns, and Trends in China24
Anthropogenic Effects on the Contemporary Sediment Budget of the Lower Rhine‐Meuse Delta Channel Network24
How May the Choice of Downscaling Techniques and Meteorological Reference Observations Affect Future Hydroclimate Projections?23
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Increased Risk of Extreme Precipitation Over an Urban Agglomeration With Future Global Warming23
The Future of Developed Barrier Systems: 2. Alongshore Complexities and Emergent Climate Change Dynamics23
Hydroclimatic Vulnerability of Wetlands to Upwind Land Use Changes23
Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise22
Defining the “Ice Shed” of the Arctic Ocean's Last Ice Area and Its Future Evolution22
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models22
Assessing Current Coastal Subsidence at Continental Scale: Insights From Europe Using the European Ground Motion Service22
Evaluating Seasonal Wildfire Susceptibility and Wildfire Threats to Local Ecosystems in the Largest Forested Area of China22
Observational Evidence for Multivariate Drought Hazard Amplifications Across Disparate Climate Regimes21
Land Policy for Flood Risk Management—Toward a New Working Paradigm21
Reduced Tropical Cyclone Genesis in the Future as Predicted by a Machine Learning Model21
A Cost Model for Ocean Iron Fertilization as a Means of Carbon Dioxide Removal That Compares Ship‐ and Aerial‐Based Delivery, and Estimates Verification Costs21
Cascading Hazards in the Aftermath of Australia's 2019/2020 Black Summer Wildfires21
Impact of Rocket Launch and Space Debris Air Pollutant Emissions on Stratospheric Ozone and Global Climate21
Timing and Order of Extreme Drought and Wetness Determine Bioclimatic Sensitivity of Tree Growth21
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems21
Heat Stress Indicators in CMIP6: Estimating Future Trends and Exceedances of Impact‐Relevant Thresholds21
Exposure of Global Rail and Road Infrastructures in Future Record‐Breaking Climate Extremes21
Heterogeneous Spatial Effects of FDI on CO2 Emissions in China21
Shift in Peaks of PAH‐Associated Health Risks From East Asia to South Asia and Africa in the Future20
A Refined Supply‐Demand Framework to Quantify Variability in Ecosystem Services Related to Surface Water in Support of Sustainable Development Goals20
A Review of Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty Applications Using Green Infrastructure for Flood Management20
Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the Economy‐Wide Impacts From a Changing Wildfire Climate on a Regional Rural Landscape20
2021 February Texas Ice Storm Induced Spring GPP Reduction Compensated by the Higher Precipitation20
Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Over the Next Three Centuries From an ISMIP6 Model Ensemble19
High Spatial Variability of Biomass Burning Emissions Observed at Three Tibetan Plateau Sites19
Recent Water Constraints Mediate the Dominance of Climate and Atmospheric CO2 on Vegetation Growth Across China19
Agricultural Adaptation to Reconcile Food Security and Water Sustainability Under Climate Change: The Case of Cereals in Iran19
Uncertainties, Limits, and Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation for Soil Moisture Drought in Southwestern North America19
Dams and Climate Interact to Alter River Flow Regimes Across the United States19
Climate Warming Consistently Reduces Grassland Ecosystem Productivity19
Carbon Footprint of Railway Projects Under the Belt and Road Initiative and the Future Low‐Carbon Pathways19
Diverging Trends in Rain‐On‐Snow Over High Mountain Asia19
Increased Global Vegetation Productivity Despite Rising Atmospheric Dryness Over the Last Two Decades19
Deep Learning for Bias‐Correcting CMIP6‐Class Earth System Models19
Crop Yield Loss Risk Is Modulated by Anthropogenic Factors19
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes18
Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming18
Future Amplification of Multivariate Risk of Compound Drought and Heatwave Events on South Asian Population18
Time Evolution of the Surface Urban Heat Island18
Melting Alpine Water Towers Aggravate Downstream Low Flows: A Stress‐Test Storyline Approach18
Heatwave Characteristics in the Recent Climate and at Different Global Warming Levels: A Multimodel Analysis at the Global Scale18
Potential of Land‐Neutral Negative Emissions Through Biochar Sequestration18
Uncertain Spatial Pattern of Future Land Use and Land Cover Change and Its Impacts on Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Over the Arctic–Boreal Region of North America18
Global Cooling Hiatus Driven by an AMOC Overshoot in a Carbon Dioxide Removal Scenario17
Urbanization Amplified Asymmetrical Changes of Rainfall and Exacerbated Drought: Analysis Over Five Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin, China17
Inequalities in Air Pollution Exposure and Attributable Mortality in a Low Carbon Future17
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle17
Environmental Co‐Benefits of Maintaining Native Vegetation With Solar Photovoltaic Infrastructure17
What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?17
Improving Satellite Monitoring of Armed Conflicts17
Landslide Hazard and Exposure Modelling in Data‐Poor Regions: The Example of the Rohingya Refugee Camps in Bangladesh17
Does Transfer Payments Promote Low‐Carbon Development of Resource‐Exhausted Cities in China?17
New Insights Into Multi‐Component Atmospheric Wet Deposition Across China: A Multidimensional Analysis17
Evaluating Knowledge Gaps in Sea‐Level Rise Assessments From the United States17
Significant Increase of the Global Population Exposure to Increased Precipitation Extremes in the Future17
The COVID‐19 Pandemic Not Only Poses Challenges, but Also Opens Opportunities for Sustainable Transformation17
Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate17
Fates and Use Efficiency of Nitrogen Fertilizer in Maize Cropping Systems and Their Responses to Technologies and Management Practices: A Global Analysis on Field 15N Tracer Studies16
Quantifying Global Wetland Methane Emissions With In Situ Methane Flux Data and Machine Learning Approaches16
The Streamflow Response to Multi‐Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming and Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude16
How to Achieve a 50% Reduction in Nutrient Losses From Agricultural Catchments Under Different Climate Trajectories?16
Satellites Reveal Spatial Heterogeneity in Dryland Photovoltaic Plants' Effects on Vegetation Dynamics16
Shrinking Habitats and Native Species Loss Under Climate Change: A Multifactorial Risk Assessment of China's Inland Wetlands16
Global Wetland Methane Emissions From 2001 to 2020: Magnitude, Dynamics and Controls16
Observations Over a Century Underscore an Increasing Likelihood of Compound Dry‐Hot Events in China16
Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots16
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends16
Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change16
Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia16
Participatory Causal Loop Diagrams Building for Supporting Decision‐Makers Integrating Flood Risk Management in an Urban Regeneration Process16
Enabling Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Systems: A Systematic Literature Review16
Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Its Impact on Oilseed Crop Yields in China16
Impact‐Based Skill Evaluation of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts16
Global Pattern of Ecosystem Respiration Tendencies and Its Implications on Terrestrial Carbon Sink Potential16
Structuring Climate Service Co‐Creation Using a Business Model Approach15
The Realistic Potential of Soil Carbon Sequestration in U.S. Croplands for Climate Mitigation15
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The Dichotomy of Wet and Dry Trends Over India by Aerosol Indirect Effects in CMIP5 Models15
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Climate Change Will Impact Surface Water Extents and Dynamics Across the Central United States15
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The Influence of Future Changes in Tidal Range, Storm Surge, and Mean Sea Level on the Emergence of Chronic Flooding15
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Rising Seas, Rising Inequity? Communities at Risk in the San Francisco Bay Area and Implications for Adaptation Policy15
30 m Resolution Global Maps of Forest Soil Respiration and Its Changes From 2000 to 202015
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Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming15
The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise15
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Remote Sensing Big Data for Water Environment Monitoring: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Prospects14
Responses of Ecosystem Productivity to Anthropogenic Ozone and Aerosols at the 206014
Multi‐Region Multi‐Sector Contributions to Drivers of Air Pollution in China14
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A Subjective Bayesian Framework for Synthesizing Deep Uncertainties in Climate Risk Management14
Building a Global Ecosystem Research Infrastructure to Address Global Grand Challenges for Macrosystem Ecology14
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Meteorological Influences on Anthropogenic PM2.5 in Future Climates: Species Level Analysis in the Community Earth System Model v214
Toward a US Framework for Continuity of Satellite Observations of Earth's Climate and for Supporting Societal Resilience14
Projecting Changes in the Frequency and Magnitude of Ozone Pollution Events Under Uncertain Climate Sensitivity14
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Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise Limits Vegetation Capacity to Sequester Soil Carbon in Coastal Wetlands: A Study Case in Southeastern Australia14
Assessing Outcomes in Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Scenarios Shortly After Deployment14
Development of a Multi‐Region Power System Risk Management Model for Supporting China's Carbon Neutrality Ambition in 2060s14
Understanding the Contributions of Paleo‐Informed Natural Variability and Climate Changes to Hydroclimate Extremes in the San Joaquin Valley of California14
Detecting, Attributing, and Projecting Global Marine Ecosystem and Fisheries Change: FishMIP 2.014
Compound Post‐Fire Flood Hazards Considering Infrastructure Sedimentation14
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Potential for Electric Vehicle Adoption to Mitigate Extreme Air Quality Events in China14
Trajectory Simulation and Prediction of COVID‐19 via Compound Natural Factor (CNF) Model in EDBF Algorithm14
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Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean14
Permafrost Degradation Induces the Abrupt Changes of Vegetation NDVI in the Northern Hemisphere13
Learning About Sea Level Rise Uncertainty Improves Coastal Adaptation Decisions13
Deciphering the Biophysical Impact of Permafrost Greening on Summer Surface Offset13
How Does Plant CO2 Physiological Forcing Amplify Amazon Warming in CMIP6 Earth System Models?13
Flood Seasonality Over the Third Pole Region Modulated by Upper Level Moisture Transport13
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau13
A Consumption‐Based Integrated Framework for Subnational Absolute Environmental Sustainability Management13
Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection13
Top‐Down Regulation by a Reindeer Herding System Limits Climate‐Driven Arctic Vegetation Change at a Regional Scale13
The Effects of Climate Change on Interregional Electricity Market Dynamics on the U.S. West Coast13
A Toy Model for the Global Annual Number of Tropical Cyclones13
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Different Strategies of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Would Significantly Affect Climate Extreme Mitigation13
Compound Effects of Climate Change on Future Transboundary Water Issues in the Middle East13
Strong Agricultural Resilience to 2022 Southern China Drought13
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