Earths Future

Papers
(The TQCC of Earths Future is 14. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-05-01 to 2025-05-01.)
ArticleCitations
444
Issue Information152
A Safety Factor Approach to Designing Urban Infrastructure for Dynamic Conditions139
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The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region120
Is Reservoir Storage Effectively Utilized in the Southeastern US? A Regional Assessment to Improve Water Supply Availability Considering Potential Storage and Flood Scenarios112
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People104
Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index103
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends100
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China100
Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS97
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models94
Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise85
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events81
Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty80
Changes in Compound Extreme Events and Their Impacts on Cropland Productivity in China, 1985–201979
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources78
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle73
Climate Warming Consistently Reduces Grassland Ecosystem Productivity72
Defining the “Ice Shed” of the Arctic Ocean's Last Ice Area and Its Future Evolution70
Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise70
Global Wet/Dry Patterns and Mechanisms Since the Last Glacial Maximum: A Key to Future Projection70
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes70
Historical and Projected Cropland Impacts of Heatwaves in Central Asia Under Climate Change65
Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate65
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion65
Time Evolution of the Surface Urban Heat Island64
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Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming62
Issue Information62
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A Convergence Science Approach to Understanding the Changing Arctic59
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The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise57
Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean56
Controls of Ecohydrological Grassland Dynamics in Agrivoltaic Systems55
Climate‐Driven Sea Level Rise Exacerbates Alaskan and Cascadian Tsunami Hazards in Southern California: Implications to Design Parameters55
Will Anthropogenic Warming Increase Evapotranspiration? Examining Irrigation Water Demand Implications of Climate Change in California54
Research Priorities for Climate Litigation53
Meteorological Influences on Anthropogenic PM2.5 in Future Climates: Species Level Analysis in the Community Earth System Model v253
Hysteretic Behavior of Global to Regional Monsoon Area Under CO2 Ramp‐Up and Ramp‐Down53
Assessing the Time of Emergence of Marine Ecosystems From Global to Local Scales Using IPSL‐CM6A‐LR/APECOSM Climate‐To‐Fish Ensemble Simulations52
Characterizing Compound Inland Flooding Mechanisms and Risks in North America Under Climate Change52
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau51
Localized Scenarios and Latitudinal Patterns of Vertical and Lateral Resilience of Tidal Marshes to Sea‐Level Rise in the Contiguous United States50
Projecting Future Fire Regimes in a Semiarid Watershed of the Inland Northwestern United States: Interactions Among Climate Change, Vegetation Productivity, and Fuel Dynamics49
Fire and Ice: The Impact of Wildfire‐Affected Albedo and Irradiance on Glacier Melt48
Different Strategies of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Would Significantly Affect Climate Extreme Mitigation48
Aotearoa New Zealand's 21st‐Century Wildfire Climate47
Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling47
Hydrological Intensification Will Increase the Complexity of Water Resource Management47
Evaluating Adaptation Pathways in a Complex Multi‐Risk System47
Remote Sensing Big Data for Water Environment Monitoring: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Prospects46
Measuring and Attributing Sedimentary and Geomorphic Responses to Modern Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities46
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic45
Net‐Zero CO2 Germany—A Retrospect From the Year 205044
A Demonstration of a Simple Methodology of Flood Prediction for a Coastal City Under Threat of Sea Level Rise: The Case of Norfolk, VA, USA44
Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection44
Widespread Unquantified Conversion of Old Boreal Forests to Plantations44
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century43
Issue Information42
Global Lake Health in the Anthropocene: Societal Implications and Treatment Strategies42
The Contribution of Microrefugia to Landscape Thermal Inertia for Climate‐Adaptive Conservation Strategies42
Extension of Large Fire Emissions From Summer to Autumn and Its Drivers in the Western US42
Assessing the Socio‐Economic Effects of Carbon Capture, Utility and Storage Investment From the Perspective of Carbon Neutrality in China41
Quantifying the Safe Operating Space for Land‐System SDG Achievement via Machine Learning and Scenario Discovery40
Heat and Moisture Anomalies During Crop Failure Events in the Southeastern Australian Wheat Belt40
Estimating the Global Influence of Cover Crops on Ecosystem Service Indicators in Croplands With the LPJ‐GUESS Model40
Ice Sheet and Climate Processes Driving the Uncertainty in Projections of Future Sea Level Rise: Findings From a Structured Expert Judgement Approach39
Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning39
Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Non‐Linear Changes39
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast38
Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta38
Global and Regional Drivers of Power Plant CO2Emissions Over the Last Three Decades Revealed From Unit‐Based Database38
The Critical Role of Hydrological Distance in Shaping Nutrient Dynamics Along the Watershed‐Lake Continuum37
High‐Temperature Exposure and Land Transactions in China37
Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP637
A Multivariate Scaling System Is Essential to Characterize the Tropical Cyclones' Risk37
Future Changes in δ13C of Dissolved Inorganic Carbon in the Ocean37
Relationship of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to Soil Nitrogen Cycling Along an Elevation Gradient in the Colorado Front Range36
Issue Information36
Enhancing Urban Thermal Environment and Energy Sustainability With Temperature‐Adaptive Radiative Roofs36
Incorporating Intensity Distance Attenuation Into PLUM Ground‐Motion‐Based Earthquake Early Warning in the United States: The APPLES Configuration36
Issue Information36
Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study35
Water Availability in China's Oases Decreased Between 1987 and 201734
Rainfall and Salinity Effects on Future Pacific Climate Change34
Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century34
Antarctic Biosecurity Policy Effectively Manages the Rates of Alien Introductions33
Projecting Future Chronic Coastal Hazard Impacts, Hotspots, and Uncertainty at Regional Scale33
Drivers of Future Indian Ocean Warming and Its Spatial Pattern in CMIP Models33
Soil Moisture Memory of Land Surface Models Utilized in Major Reanalyses Differ Significantly From SMAP Observation33
The Limited Effect of Reduced Typhoon Frequency on Stream Hydrochemistry in a Subtropical Forest Watershed32
Mass Extinctions and Their Relationship With Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration: Implications for Earth's Future32
Anthropogenic Climate Change Negatively Impacts Vegetation and Forage Conditions in the Greater Four Corners Region32
Current and Future Patterns of Global Wildfire Based on Deep Neural Networks32
Coronavirus: The Not‐So‐Trivial Loss of Well‐Being31
A Bioeconomic Projection of Climate‐Induced Wildfire Risk in the Forest Sector31
Reply to Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Meetpal S. Kukal31
A Comparative Study of the Argo‐Era Ocean Heat Content Among Four Different Types of Data Sets31
Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges31
Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Anukesh Krishnankutty Ambika and Vimal Mishra31
Projected Changes to Characteristics of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode Events in the CMIP6 Models31
2021 Heatwave Over Western North America: Structural Uncertainty and Internal Variability in GCM Projections of Humidex and Temperature Extremes30
Understanding Europe's Forest Harvesting Regimes30
Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 210030
Different Spatiotemporal Patterns in Global Human Population and Built‐Up Land30
Inflated Negative Impacts of Temperature On Global Agricultural Yields Due To Ozone Omission29
Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States29
Pan‐Arctic Assessment of Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw29
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change29
Upper Bounds of Maximum Land Surface Temperatures in a Warming Climate and Limits to Plant Growth29
Analyzing the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Forests Carbon Sink and Sources Between 2000 and 201929
Dryland Watersheds in Flux: How Nitrogen Deposition and Changing Precipitation Regimes Shape Nitrogen Export29
The Anthropocene Is More Than a Time Interval29
Forest Dieback in Drinking Water Protection Areas—A Hidden Threat to Water Quality28
Urbanization Contributes Little to Global Warming but Substantially Intensifies Local and Regional Land Surface Warming28
STAR‐ESDM: A Generalizable Approach to Generating High‐Resolution Climate Projections Through Signal Decomposition28
Mapping the Vulnerability of Arctic Wetlands to Global Warming27
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners27
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Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau27
Small Ponds as Carbon Emission and Burial Hotspots in Lowland Agricultural Landscape27
Geophysical Uncertainties in Air Pollution Exposure and Benefits of Emissions Reductions for Global Health26
Tracking Interprovincial Flows of Atmospheric PAH Emissions Through Downscaling Estimates With Province‐Specific Emission Factors26
Persistent Extreme Surface Solar Radiation and Its Implications on Solar Photovoltaics26
Potential Impacts on Ozone and Climate From a Proposed Fleet of Supersonic Aircraft25
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Stabilize Northern Hemisphere Terrestrial Permafrost Under the ARISE‐SAI‐1.5 Scenario25
Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty25
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Issue Information25
Land Reclamation Controls on Multi‐Centennial Estuarine Evolution24
Investigating Potential Ecological Benefits From Mariculture24
Potential Vorticity Dynamics Explain How Extratropical Oceans and the Arctic Modulate Wintertime Land‐Temperature Variations24
Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Potential to Overcome Reactive Flood Adaptation in the Continental US24
Understanding Climate Change and Anthropogenic Impacts on the Salinization of Low‐Lying Coastal Groundwater Systems24
Increased Significance of Global Concurrent Hazards From 1981 to 202024
Projected Changes to Cool‐Season Storm Tides in the 21st Century Along the Northeastern United States Coast24
Uncovering the Dynamic Drivers of Floods Through Interpretable Deep Learning24
Planning for Climate Migration in Great Lake Legacy Cities24
Assessing Global and Regional Trends in Spatially Co‐Occurring Hot or Wet Annual Maxima Under Climate Change24
Projected Changes in Socioeconomic Exposure to Heatwaves in South Asia Under Changing Climate24
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Compounding Tides and Sea Level Rise23
Climate Controls on River Chemistry23
Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China23
Anthropogenic Dust as a Significant Source of Ice‐Nucleating Particles in the Urban Environment23
Thank You to Our 2024 Reviewers23
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO2 Removal in the Bering Sea23
Advancing the Modeling of Future Climate and Innovation Impacts on Perennial Crops to Support Adaptation: A Case Study of California Almonds23
An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)23
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau23
Assessing the Effect of Glacier Runoff Changes on Basin Runoff and Agricultural Production in the Indus, Amu Darya, and Tarim Interior Basins22
Centennial Memory of the Arctic Ocean for Future Arctic Climate Recovery in Response to a Carbon Dioxide Removal22
Possibility of Stabilizing the Greenland Ice Sheet22
DICE and the Carbon Budget for Ambitious Climate Targets22
Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections22
Natural Denudation Versus Anthropogenically Accelerated Erosion in Central Brazil: A Confrontation of Time and Space Scales22
Carbon Cycle Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection With Multiple Temperature Stabilization Targets and Strategies22
Partitioning the Uncertainties in Compound Hot and Dry Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Runoff Extremes Projections in CMIP622
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Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR622
Characterizing Climatic Socio‐Environmental Tipping Points in Coastal Communities: A Conceptual Framework for Research and Practice22
Satellite Observed Land Surface Greening in Summer Controlled by the Precipitation Frequency Rather Than Its Total Over Tibetan Plateau21
Reviving the Aral Sea: A Hydro‐Eco‐Social Perspective21
Global‐Scale Shifts in Rooting Depths Due To Anthropocene Land Cover Changes Pose Unexamined Consequences for Critical Zone Functioning21
A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification21
Systemic Financial Risk Arising From Residential Flood Losses21
A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks21
Spatio‐Temporal Dynamics of Aboveground Biomass in China's Oasis Grasslands Between 1989 and 202121
The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate21
Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity20
Projections of Peak Water Timing From the East Rongbuk Glacier, Mt. Everest, Using a Higher‐Order Ice Flow Model20
Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change20
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa20
Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers20
How Low Should We Alert? Quantifying Intensity Threshold Alerting Strategies for Earthquake Early Warning in the United States20
Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise?20
Drivers of Future Physical Water Scarcity and Its Economic Impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean20
A National‐Scale Coastal Flood Hazard Assessment for the Atoll Nation of Tuvalu20
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields20
Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer20
Mapping Water, Energy and Carbon Footprints Along Urban Agglomeration Supply Chains20
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa20
Sustainability Evaluation of the Doughnut Economics: A Bibliometric Analysis20
Landslide Hazard Is Projected to Increase Across High Mountain Asia20
Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections20
Future Pathways of Water, Energy, and Food in the Eastern Nile Basin19
Exposure of Global Rail and Road Infrastructures in Future Record‐Breaking Climate Extremes19
Participatory Modeling for Analyzing Interactions Between High‐Priority Sustainable Development Goals to Promote Local Sustainability19
Quantifying Global Wetland Methane Emissions With In Situ Methane Flux Data and Machine Learning Approaches19
Economic Shock in a Climate Scenario and Its Impact on Surface Temperatures19
The Streamflow Response to Multi‐Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming and Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude19
New Insights Into Multi‐Component Atmospheric Wet Deposition Across China: A Multidimensional Analysis19
Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance19
The Effects of Model Complexity on Model Output Uncertainty in Co‐Evolved Coupled Natural‐Human Systems19
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Hydroclimatic Vulnerability of Wetlands to Upwind Land Use Changes19
Satellites Reveal Spatial Heterogeneity in Dryland Photovoltaic Plants' Effects on Vegetation Dynamics19
Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions of 85 Federal Entities in Russia19
Global Cooling Hiatus Driven by an AMOC Overshoot in a Carbon Dioxide Removal Scenario18
Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean18
Melting Alpine Water Towers Aggravate Downstream Low Flows: A Stress‐Test Storyline Approach18
Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the Economy‐Wide Impacts From a Changing Wildfire Climate on a Regional Rural Landscape18
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems18
Developing a Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble to Assess Climate Risks and Uncertainties18
CMIP6 Earth System Models Project Greater Acceleration of Climate Zone Change Due To Stronger Warming Rates18
High Spatial Variability of Biomass Burning Emissions Observed at Three Tibetan Plateau Sites18
Heterogeneities in Regional Air Pollutant Emission Mitigation Across China During 2012–202018
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands18
Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change18
Low‐Altitude High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Is Feasible With Existing Aircraft17
Decomposing Three Decades of Nitrogen Emissions in Canada17
Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise Limits Vegetation Capacity to Sequester Soil Carbon in Coastal Wetlands: A Study Case in Southeastern Australia17
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Permafrost Degradation Induces the Abrupt Changes of Vegetation NDVI in the Northern Hemisphere17
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Recent Water Constraints Mediate the Dominance of Climate and Atmospheric CO2 on Vegetation Growth Across China17
Accelerating the Renewable Energy Revolution to Get Back to the Holocene17
Climate Change Will Impact Surface Water Extents and Dynamics Across the Central United States17
Issue Information17
The Dichotomy of Wet and Dry Trends Over India by Aerosol Indirect Effects in CMIP5 Models17
Leveraging Governance Performance to Enhance Climate Resilience17
Developing Low‐Likelihood Climate Storylines for Extreme Precipitation Over Central Europe17
Future Soil Erosion Risk in China: Differences in Erosion Driven by General and Extreme Precipitation Under Climate Change17
Urbanization Amplified Asymmetrical Changes of Rainfall and Exacerbated Drought: Analysis Over Five Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin, China17
Long‐Term Variability in the Arabian Peninsula Droughts Driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation17
What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?17
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Integrating Values to Improve the Relevance of Climate‐Risk Research17
Increasing Risk of a “Hot Eastern‐Pluvial Western” Asia17
Future Extreme Precipitation in Summer Will Become More Widespread in China Depending on Level of Warming17
Multi‐Model Simulation of Solar Geoengineering Indicates Avoidable Destabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet17
Issue Information16
Landscape Pollution Source Dynamics Highlight Priority Locations for Basin‐Scale Interventions to Protect Water Quality Under Hydroclimatic Variability16
Spectral Signatures of Flow Regime Alteration by Dams Across the United States16
A Country Wide Evaluation of Sweden's Spatial Flood Modeling With Optimized Convolutional Neural Network Algorithms16
Divergent Responses of Summer Precipitation in China to 1.5°C Global Warming in Transient and Stabilized Scenarios16
Rivers and Water Systems as Weapons and Casualties of the Russia‐Ukraine War16
Assessment of the Global Relationship of Different Types of Droughts in Model Simulations Under High Anthropogenic Emissions16
High Resolution SnowModel Simulations Reveal Future Elevation‐Dependent Snow Loss and Earlier, Flashier Surface Water Input for the Upper Colorado River Basin16
Heatwave Duration and Heating Rate in a Non‐Stationary Climate: Spatiotemporal Pattern and Key Drivers16
Issue Information16
Reconstruction of the Hydro‐Thermal Behavior of Regulated River Networks of the Columbia River Basin Using Satellite Remote Sensing and Data‐Driven Techniques16
The Future of Soils in the Midwestern United States16
Conceptualizing River Floodplains16
Early Career Perspectives to Broaden the Scope of Critical Zone Science16
Committed Global Warming Risks Triggering Multiple Climate Tipping Points16
Projecting the Changes in Multifaceted Characteristics of Heatwave Events Across China16
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