Earths Future

Papers
(The TQCC of Earths Future is 14. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-11-01 to 2025-11-01.)
ArticleCitations
512
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Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States179
A Safety Factor Approach to Designing Urban Infrastructure for Dynamic Conditions174
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models153
Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty147
Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS140
Discovering the Multisectoral Impacts of Global Energy Sector Outcomes Through Multiple Ensemble Aggregation Measures139
Past Precipitation Stored in Deep Soils Sustains Greening of Dryland Tree Plantations in Northern China128
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events121
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes106
Is Reservoir Storage Effectively Utilized in the Southeastern US? A Regional Assessment to Improve Water Supply Availability Considering Potential Storage and Flood Scenarios96
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle93
Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise92
Irreversible Land Water Availability Changes From a Potential ITCZ Shift During Temperature Overshoot90
Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index90
Inorganic Nitrogen Nutrition in Boreal Plants Is Underestimated and Insensitive to Environmental Changes89
Issue Information88
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources87
Changes in Compound Extreme Events and Their Impacts on Cropland Productivity in China, 1985–201986
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People79
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion79
Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise79
Issue Information74
Has Hydropower Made the World More Flood‐Prone?74
Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate73
Wetland Gain and Loss in the Mississippi River Bird‐Foot Delta72
Historical and Projected Cropland Impacts of Heatwaves in Central Asia Under Climate Change70
The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region70
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China69
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends68
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Climate‐Driven Sea Level Rise Exacerbates Alaskan and Cascadian Tsunami Hazards in Southern California: Implications to Design Parameters63
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau62
Assessing the Time of Emergence of Marine Ecosystems From Global to Local Scales Using IPSL‐CM6A‐LR/APECOSM Climate‐To‐Fish Ensemble Simulations62
Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean62
Characterizing Compound Inland Flooding Mechanisms and Risks in North America Under Climate Change61
Issue Information59
Issue Information59
Projecting Future Fire Regimes in a Semiarid Watershed of the Inland Northwestern United States: Interactions Among Climate Change, Vegetation Productivity, and Fuel Dynamics58
Issue Information58
A Demonstration of a Simple Methodology of Flood Prediction for a Coastal City Under Threat of Sea Level Rise: The Case of Norfolk, VA, USA58
Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling57
Balancing Physical and Human‐Driven Morphodynamic Changes: Insights From the Pearl River Estuary56
Measuring and Attributing Sedimentary and Geomorphic Responses to Modern Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities56
Meteorological Influences on Anthropogenic PM2.5 in Future Climates: Species Level Analysis in the Community Earth System Model v256
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Could Prevent Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline, But Injection Location is Key54
Large‐Scale Evaluation of Beach Morphodynamic Evolution and Environmental Drivers Along China's Eastern Coast Through Long‐Term Landsat Analysis52
Net‐Zero CO2 Germany—A Retrospect From the Year 205052
Will Anthropogenic Warming Increase Evapotranspiration? Examining Irrigation Water Demand Implications of Climate Change in California52
Global Lake Health in the Anthropocene: Societal Implications and Treatment Strategies52
Controls of Ecohydrological Grassland Dynamics in Agrivoltaic Systems51
Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming49
Hysteretic Behavior of Global to Regional Monsoon Area Under CO2 Ramp‐Up and Ramp‐Down48
Fire and Ice: The Impact of Wildfire‐Affected Albedo and Irradiance on Glacier Melt46
Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection46
Evaluating Adaptation Pathways in a Complex Multi‐Risk System46
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic45
Different Strategies of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Would Significantly Affect Climate Extreme Mitigation45
A Convergence Science Approach to Understanding the Changing Arctic45
Aotearoa New Zealand's 21st‐Century Wildfire Climate45
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century44
Remote Sensing Big Data for Water Environment Monitoring: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Prospects44
Research Priorities for Climate Litigation44
Hydrological Intensification Will Increase the Complexity of Water Resource Management43
Widespread Unquantified Conversion of Old Boreal Forests to Plantations43
Enhancing Urban Thermal Environment and Energy Sustainability With Temperature‐Adaptive Radiative Roofs42
Heat and Moisture Anomalies During Crop Failure Events in the Southeastern Australian Wheat Belt42
The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise42
Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study42
Incorporating Intensity Distance Attenuation Into PLUM Ground‐Motion‐Based Earthquake Early Warning in the United States: The APPLES Configuration42
The Contribution of Microrefugia to Landscape Thermal Inertia for Climate‐Adaptive Conservation Strategies41
Rainfall and Salinity Effects on Future Pacific Climate Change41
Issue Information40
Future Changes in δ13C of Dissolved Inorganic Carbon in the Ocean40
Issue Information40
Quantifying the Safe Operating Space for Land‐System SDG Achievement via Machine Learning and Scenario Discovery40
Extension of Large Fire Emissions From Summer to Autumn and Its Drivers in the Western US40
Escalating High Tide Flooding Along the Atlantic and Gulf Coast of the United States Due To Sea Level Rise39
Methane Emissions in Asian Wetlands During 2010–2020: Insights From an Online‐Coupled Microbial Functional‐Group‐Based Model39
Deep Root Loss and Regeneration in the Anthropocene Drive Continental‐Scale Changes in Deep Soil Structure39
Ice Sheet and Climate Processes Driving the Uncertainty in Projections of Future Sea Level Rise: Findings From a Structured Expert Judgement Approach39
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast39
Predicting the Start of the Growing Season in Boreal Forest Under High and Low Emission Scenarios38
The Critical Role of Hydrological Distance in Shaping Nutrient Dynamics Along the Watershed‐Lake Continuum38
Projecting Future Chronic Coastal Hazard Impacts, Hotspots, and Uncertainty at Regional Scale38
El Niño Intensified Fog Formation in the Namib Desert38
Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century38
Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP637
Antarctic Biosecurity Policy Effectively Manages the Rates of Alien Introductions37
Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning37
Relationship of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to Soil Nitrogen Cycling Along an Elevation Gradient in the Colorado Front Range36
Soil Moisture Memory of Land Surface Models Utilized in Major Reanalyses Differ Significantly From SMAP Observation36
Interacting Sea‐Level Rise, Sea‐Ice Loss, Storm Flooding, Erosion, and Permafrost Thaw Threaten Ecosystems, Wildlife, and Communities on the Yukon‐Kuskokwim Delta35
Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Non‐Linear Changes35
Drivers of Future Indian Ocean Warming and Its Spatial Pattern in CMIP Models35
Assessing the Socio‐Economic Effects of Carbon Capture, Utility and Storage Investment From the Perspective of Carbon Neutrality in China35
High‐Temperature Exposure and Land Transactions in China35
A Multivariate Scaling System Is Essential to Characterize the Tropical Cyclones' Risk35
Global and Regional Drivers of Power Plant CO2Emissions Over the Last Three Decades Revealed From Unit‐Based Database35
Integrating Multi‐Level Sustainability and Ecosystem Integrity for Adaptive Scenario Planning in China34
Quantifying Meltwater Contributions and Socio‐Economy Impacts of Future Third Pole Transboundary Fluvial Floods34
The Limited Effect of Reduced Typhoon Frequency on Stream Hydrochemistry in a Subtropical Forest Watershed33
Water Availability in China's Oases Decreased Between 1987 and 201733
Mass Extinctions and Their Relationship With Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration: Implications for Earth's Future33
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Current and Future Patterns of Global Wildfire Based on Deep Neural Networks33
Projecting Multiscale River Flood Changes Across Japan at +2°C and +4°C Climates33
Estimating the Global Influence of Cover Crops on Ecosystem Service Indicators in Croplands With the LPJ‐GUESS Model33
Responses of the Natural Phytoplankton Assemblage to Patagonian Dust Input and Anthropogenic Changes in the Southern Ocean32
Small Ponds as Carbon Emission and Burial Hotspots in Lowland Agricultural Landscape32
Inflated Negative Impacts of Temperature On Global Agricultural Yields Due To Ozone Omission32
Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States31
Reply to Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Meetpal S. Kukal31
A Bioeconomic Projection of Climate‐Induced Wildfire Risk in the Forest Sector31
Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Anukesh Krishnankutty Ambika and Vimal Mishra31
Forest Dieback in Drinking Water Protection Areas—A Hidden Threat to Water Quality31
A Comparative Study of the Argo‐Era Ocean Heat Content Among Four Different Types of Data Sets31
A Review of Advances in Flash Drought Research: Challenges and Future Directions30
STAR‐ESDM: A Generalizable Approach to Generating High‐Resolution Climate Projections Through Signal Decomposition30
Projected Changes to Characteristics of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode Events in the CMIP6 Models30
Old‐Growth Forest Area Projected to Increase on United States Federal Lands Under Alternative Future Scenarios30
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners30
Anthropogenic Climate Change Negatively Impacts Vegetation and Forage Conditions in the Greater Four Corners Region30
The Anthropocene Is More Than a Time Interval30
Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 210030
Analyzing the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Forests Carbon Sink and Sources Between 2000 and 201930
2021 Heatwave Over Western North America: Structural Uncertainty and Internal Variability in GCM Projections of Humidex and Temperature Extremes29
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change29
Upper Bounds of Maximum Land Surface Temperatures in a Warming Climate and Limits to Plant Growth29
Pan‐Arctic Assessment of Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw28
Understanding Europe's Forest Harvesting Regimes28
Assessing the Effect of Glacier Runoff Changes on Basin Runoff and Agricultural Production in the Indus, Amu Darya, and Tarim Interior Basins28
Dryland Watersheds in Flux: How Nitrogen Deposition and Changing Precipitation Regimes Shape Nitrogen Export28
Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau28
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Urbanization Contributes Little to Global Warming but Substantially Intensifies Local and Regional Land Surface Warming28
Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges28
Land Cover Changes Redistribute China's Water Resources Through Atmospheric Moisture Recycling28
Thank You to Our 2024 Reviewers28
Potential Impacts on Ozone and Climate From a Proposed Fleet of Supersonic Aircraft27
Tracking Interprovincial Flows of Atmospheric PAH Emissions Through Downscaling Estimates With Province‐Specific Emission Factors27
Advancing the Modeling of Future Climate and Innovation Impacts on Perennial Crops to Support Adaptation: A Case Study of California Almonds27
An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)27
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Stabilize Northern Hemisphere Terrestrial Permafrost Under the ARISE‐SAI‐1.5 Scenario27
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Potential Vorticity Dynamics Explain How Extratropical Oceans and the Arctic Modulate Wintertime Land‐Temperature Variations27
Assessing Global and Regional Trends in Spatially Co‐Occurring Hot or Wet Annual Maxima Under Climate Change27
Assessment of Global Dengue Transmission Risk Under Future Climate Scenarios27
Issue Information27
Projections of Lightning‐Ignited Wildfire Risk in the Western United States27
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Planning for Climate Migration in Great Lake Legacy Cities27
Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Potential to Overcome Reactive Flood Adaptation in the Continental US26
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO2 Removal in the Bering Sea26
Partitioning the Uncertainties in Compound Hot and Dry Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Runoff Extremes Projections in CMIP626
Increased Significance of Global Concurrent Hazards From 1981 to 202026
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Compounding Tides and Sea Level Rise25
Reduced Crop Yield Stability Is More Likely to Be Associated With Heat Than With Moisture Extremes in the US Midwest25
Understanding Climate Change and Anthropogenic Impacts on the Salinization of Low‐Lying Coastal Groundwater Systems25
Anthropogenic Dust as a Significant Source of Ice‐Nucleating Particles in the Urban Environment25
Geophysical Uncertainties in Air Pollution Exposure and Benefits of Emissions Reductions for Global Health25
Recent Accelerated Decadal Shift in Winter North American Temperature Patterns Under Pacific‐Atlantic Decadal Variability25
Persistent Extreme Surface Solar Radiation and Its Implications on Solar Photovoltaics25
Socio‐Ecological Impacts of the Investment of Urban Nature in Heat Mitigation for Two Megacities25
Investigating Potential Ecological Benefits From Mariculture25
Climate Controls on River Chemistry25
Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty25
Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR624
Projected Changes in Socioeconomic Exposure to Heatwaves in South Asia Under Changing Climate24
Characterizing Climatic Socio‐Environmental Tipping Points in Coastal Communities: A Conceptual Framework for Research and Practice24
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields24
Projections of Peak Water Timing From the East Rongbuk Glacier, Mt. Everest, Using a Higher‐Order Ice Flow Model24
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau24
Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China24
Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise?24
Issue Information24
Uncovering the Dynamic Drivers of Floods Through Interpretable Deep Learning24
Land Reclamation Controls on Multi‐Centennial Estuarine Evolution24
Sustainability Evaluation of the Doughnut Economics: A Bibliometric Analysis24
Landslide Hazard Is Projected to Increase Across High Mountain Asia24
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa23
Reviving the Aral Sea: A Hydro‐Eco‐Social Perspective23
Sensitivity to Data Choice for Index‐Based Flood Insurance23
Elevated Forest Canopy Loss After Wildfires in Moist and Cool Forests in the Pacific Northwest23
A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks23
Satellite Observed Land Surface Greening in Summer Controlled by the Precipitation Frequency Rather Than Its Total Over Tibetan Plateau22
Evaluating How Climate Adaptation Measures Affect the Interconnected Water‐Energy Resource Systems of the Western United States22
Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity22
Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections22
A National‐Scale Coastal Flood Hazard Assessment for the Atoll Nation of Tuvalu22
Quantifying Past and Future Terrestrial Water Storage Scarcity Across China Through Midcentury22
Natural Denudation Versus Anthropogenically Accelerated Erosion in Central Brazil: A Confrontation of Time and Space Scales22
Systemic Financial Risk Arising From Residential Flood Losses22
Global‐Scale Shifts in Rooting Depths Due To Anthropocene Land Cover Changes Pose Unexamined Consequences for Critical Zone Functioning22
Mapping Water, Energy and Carbon Footprints Along Urban Agglomeration Supply Chains22
A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification22
Spatio‐Temporal Dynamics of Aboveground Biomass in China's Oasis Grasslands Between 1989 and 202122
Centennial Memory of the Arctic Ocean for Future Arctic Climate Recovery in Response to a Carbon Dioxide Removal22
The Case for the Anthropocene Epoch Is Stronger Than the Case for the Holocene Epoch22
The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate21
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa21
Quantifying Global Wetland Methane Emissions With In Situ Methane Flux Data and Machine Learning Approaches21
Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers21
Drivers of Future Physical Water Scarcity and Its Economic Impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean21
Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change21
Developing a Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble to Assess Climate Risks and Uncertainties21
Future Pathways of Water, Energy, and Food in the Eastern Nile Basin21
The Critical Role of Snowmelt Onset‐Driven Vapor Pressure Deficit Variations in Wildfire Dynamics of Northern Latitudes21
Carbon Cycle Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection With Multiple Temperature Stabilization Targets and Strategies21
How Low Should We Alert? Quantifying Intensity Threshold Alerting Strategies for Earthquake Early Warning in the United States21
Hydroclimatic Vulnerability of Wetlands to Upwind Land Use Changes21
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Melting Alpine Water Towers Aggravate Downstream Low Flows: A Stress‐Test Storyline Approach20
The Streamflow Response to Multi‐Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming and Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude20
Recent Water Constraints Mediate the Dominance of Climate and Atmospheric CO2 on Vegetation Growth Across China20
Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions of 85 Federal Entities in Russia20
Long‐Term Variability in the Arabian Peninsula Droughts Driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation20
Urbanization Amplified Asymmetrical Changes of Rainfall and Exacerbated Drought: Analysis Over Five Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin, China20
Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer20
Heterogeneities in Regional Air Pollutant Emission Mitigation Across China During 2012–202020
New Insights Into Multi‐Component Atmospheric Wet Deposition Across China: A Multidimensional Analysis20
Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change20
Multi‐Model Simulation of Solar Geoengineering Indicates Avoidable Destabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet20
High Spatial Variability of Biomass Burning Emissions Observed at Three Tibetan Plateau Sites20
Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance20
The Effects of Model Complexity on Model Output Uncertainty in Co‐Evolved Coupled Natural‐Human Systems19
Accelerating the Renewable Energy Revolution to Get Back to the Holocene19
Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the Economy‐Wide Impacts From a Changing Wildfire Climate on a Regional Rural Landscape19
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems19
Participatory Modeling for Analyzing Interactions Between High‐Priority Sustainable Development Goals to Promote Local Sustainability19
Decomposing Three Decades of Nitrogen Emissions in Canada19
Exposure of Global Rail and Road Infrastructures in Future Record‐Breaking Climate Extremes19
Satellites Reveal Spatial Heterogeneity in Dryland Photovoltaic Plants' Effects on Vegetation Dynamics19
Future Soil Erosion Risk in China: Differences in Erosion Driven by General and Extreme Precipitation Under Climate Change19
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands19
Low‐Altitude High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Is Feasible With Existing Aircraft19
Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean19
Inference of Wildfire Causes From Their Physical, Biological, Social and Management Attributes18
The Dichotomy of Wet and Dry Trends Over India by Aerosol Indirect Effects in CMIP5 Models18
Changes in United States Summer Temperatures Revealed by Explainable Neural Networks18
Developing Low‐Likelihood Climate Storylines for Extreme Precipitation Over Central Europe18
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Issue Information18
Integrating Values to Improve the Relevance of Climate‐Risk Research18
Permafrost Degradation Induces the Abrupt Changes of Vegetation NDVI in the Northern Hemisphere18
Increasing Mosquito Abundance Under Global Warming18
Population Exposure Projections to Intensified Summer Heat18
Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions18
Delayed Onset of Indian Summer Monsoon in Response to CO2 Removal18
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