Earths Future

Article	Citations
Assessment to China's Recent Emission Pattern Shifts	343
Increased Flood Exposure Due to Climate Change and Population Growth in the United States	136
Global CO2Consumption by Silicate Rock Chemical Weathering: Its Past and Future	130
The 2018–2020 Multi‐Year Drought Sets a New Benchmark in Europe	101
Identifying a Safe and Just Corridor for People and the Planet	101
Event‐Based Storylines to Address Climate Risk	92
Causes of the Widespread 2019–2020 Australian Bushfire Season	87
Seasonality, Intensity, and Duration of Rainfall Extremes Change in a Warmer Climate	85
Projected Changes in Socioeconomic Exposure to Heatwaves in South Asia Under Changing Climate	83
Heat Stress Indicators in CMIP6: Estimating Future Trends and Exceedances of Impact‐Relevant Thresholds	83
Guidelines for Studying Diverse Types of Compound Weather and Climate Events	83
Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales	82
Climate Change and Changes in Compound Coastal‐Riverine Flooding Hazard Along the U.S. Coasts	79
Remote Sensing Big Data for Water Environment Monitoring: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Prospects	78
Increasing Human‐Perceived Heat Stress Risks Exacerbated by Urbanization in China: A Comparative Study Based on Multiple Metrics	77
The Pakistan Flood of August 2022: Causes and Implications	76
Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change	76
The Anthropocene: Comparing Its Meaning in Geology (Chronostratigraphy) with Conceptual Approaches Arising in Other Disciplines	74
TROPOMI NO2 in the United States: A Detailed Look at the Annual Averages, Weekly Cycles, Effects of Temperature, and Correlation With Surface NO2 Concentrations	73
High‐Resolution Data Sets for Global Carbonate and Silicate Rock Weathering Carbon Sinks and Their Change Trends	72
Tropical Cyclone Frequency	65
Tropical Cyclone Compound Flood Hazard Assessment: From Investigating Drivers to Quantifying Extreme Water Levels	65
Integrated Assessment of Urban Overheating Impacts on Human Life	65
Time Evolution of the Surface Urban Heat Island	63
Dual Influence of Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities on the Spatiotemporal Vegetation Dynamics Over the Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau From 1981 to 2015	61

Multisector Dynamics: Advancing the Science of Complex Adaptive Human‐Earth Systems	61
Future Population Exposure to Daytime and Nighttime Heat Waves in South Asia	58
The State of the Art in Modeling Waterlogging Impacts on Plants: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know	58
“Certain Uncertainty: The Role of Internal Climate Variability in Projections of Regional Climate Change and Risk Management”	58
Selecting CMIP6 GCMs for CORDEX Dynamical Downscaling: Model Performance, Independence, and Climate Change Signals	57
Widespread Race and Class Disparities in Surface Urban Heat Extremes Across the United States	57
Risky Development: Increasing Exposure to Natural Hazards in the United States	57
Heatwaves in Southeast Asia and Their Changes in a Warmer World	56
Increased Global Vegetation Productivity Despite Rising Atmospheric Dryness Over the Last Two Decades	53
Forecasting the Frequency and Magnitude of Postfire Debris Flows Across Southern California	52
Climate Warming Consistently Reduces Grassland Ecosystem Productivity	52
Impacts of Global Climate Warming on Meteorological and Hydrological Droughts and Their Propagations	50
The Value of Urban Flood Modeling	50
Urbanization Contributes Little to Global Warming but Substantially Intensifies Local and Regional Land Surface Warming	48
Coastal Migration due to 21st Century Sea‐Level Rise	46
Amplified Drought and Flood Risk Under Future Socioeconomic and Climatic Change	46
The COVID‐19 Pandemic Not Only Poses Challenges, but Also Opens Opportunities for Sustainable Transformation	46
Hydrological Intensification Will Increase the Complexity of Water Resource Management	45
Future Risks of Unprecedented Compound Heat Waves Over Three Vast Urban Agglomerations in China	45
Cascading Hazards in the Aftermath of Australia's 2019/2020 Black Summer Wildfires	44
Attributing and Projecting Heatwaves Is Hard: We Can Do Better	44
Future Global Convective Environments in CMIP6 Models	43
Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau Permafrost at Risk in the Late 21st Century	43
Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate	42
Phosphorus Supply Increases Nitrogen Transformation Rates and Retention in Soil: A Global Meta‐Analysis	41
Fates and Use Efficiency of Nitrogen Fertilizer in Maize Cropping Systems and Their Responses to Technologies and Management Practices: A Global Analysis on Field 15N Tracer Studies	41
Explicit Calculations of Wet‐Bulb Globe Temperature Compared With Approximations and Why It Matters for Labor Productivity	40
Significant Increase of the Global Population Exposure to Increased Precipitation Extremes in the Future	40
The Greater Mekong's Climate‐Water‐Energy Nexus: How ENSO‐Triggered Regional Droughts Affect Power Supply and CO2 Emissions	40
Can Reservoir Regulation Along the Yellow River Be a Sustainable Way to Save a Sinking Delta?	40
Cold‐Season Arctic Amplification Driven by Arctic Ocean‐Mediated Seasonal Energy Transfer	40
Biases Beyond the Mean in CMIP6 Extreme Precipitation: A Global Investigation	39
High Sensitivity of Compound Drought and Heatwave Events to Global Warming in the Future	39
Climate Controls on River Chemistry	39
Cloud‐Nucleating Particles Over the Southern Ocean in a Changing Climate	39
Future Climate Change Hotspots Under Different 21st Century Warming Scenarios	39
Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk	39
Quantifying the Uncertainty Sources of Future Climate Projections and Narrowing Uncertainties With Bias Correction Techniques	38
Dams and Climate Interact to Alter River Flow Regimes Across the United States	38
How Much Food Can We Grow in Urban Areas? Food Production and Crop Yields of Urban Agriculture: A Meta‐Analysis	38
Uncertainties, Limits, and Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation for Soil Moisture Drought in Southwestern North America	38
Intensifying Australian Heatwave Trends and Their Sensitivity to Observational Data	37
Evaluating Participatory Modeling Methods for Co‐creating Pathways to Sustainability	35
Impact of Rocket Launch and Space Debris Air Pollutant Emissions on Stratospheric Ozone and Global Climate	35
Future Land Use/Land Cover Change Has Nontrivial and Potentially Dominant Impact on Global Gross Primary Productivity	35
The Carbon Sink Potential of Southern China After Two Decades of Afforestation	35
Identifying Key Drivers of Wildfires in the Contiguous US Using Machine Learning and Game Theory Interpretation	35
Patterns and Distributions of Urban Expansion in Global Watersheds	35
Projected Changes in Compound Flood Hazard From Riverine and Coastal Floods in Northwestern Europe	34
Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections	34

The Digital Forest: Mapping a Decade of Knowledge on Technological Applications for Forest Ecosystems	34
Can Exploratory Modeling of Water Scarcity Vulnerabilities and Robustness Be Scenario Neutral?	33
The Arctic Ocean in CMIP6 Models: Biases and Projected Changes in Temperature and Salinity	33
Projected Changes in Increased Drought Risks Over South Asia Under a Warmer Climate	33
Linking Total Precipitable Water to Precipitation Extremes Globally	33
Trends, Breaks, and Biases in the Frequency of Reported Glacier Lake Outburst Floods	32
Effects of Vegetation Changes and Multiple Environmental Factors on Evapotranspiration Across China Over the Past 34 Years	32
Implications of Increasing Household Air Conditioning Use Across the United States Under a Warming Climate	32
Localized Scenarios and Latitudinal Patterns of Vertical and Lateral Resilience of Tidal Marshes to Sea‐Level Rise in the Contiguous United States	32
Mapping 21st Century Global Coastal Land Reclamation	31
Urbanization Impacts on Evapotranspiration Across Various Spatio‐Temporal Scales	31
Projected Changes in Reference Evapotranspiration in California and Nevada: Implications for Drought and Wildland Fire Danger	31
Past Variance and Future Projections of the Environmental Conditions Driving Western U.S. Summertime Wildfire Burn Area	31
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century	30
Climate Change Determines Future Population Exposure to Summertime Compound Dry and Hot Events	29
Atmospheric River Precipitation Enhanced by Climate Change: A Case Study of the Storm That Contributed to California's Oroville Dam Crisis	29
Anthropogenic Effects on the Contemporary Sediment Budget of the Lower Rhine‐Meuse Delta Channel Network	29
The Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions in the Jing‐Jin‐Ji Urban Agglomeration Over China's Economic Transition	29
How International Economic Sanctions Harm the Environment	29
Global Cooling Hiatus Driven by an AMOC Overshoot in a Carbon Dioxide Removal Scenario	29
Hydrology as a Driver of Floating River Plastic Transport	29
The Asynergies of Structural Disaster Risk Reduction Measures: Comparing Floods and Earthquakes	29
Heterogeneous Spatial Effects of FDI on CO2 Emissions in China	29
Groundwater Rise and Associated Flooding in Coastal Settlements Due To Sea‐Level Rise: A Review of Processes and Methods	28
Urbanization Amplified Asymmetrical Changes of Rainfall and Exacerbated Drought: Analysis Over Five Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin, China	28
Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics	28
Drivers and Mechanisms of the 2021 Pacific Northwest Heatwave	28
Increase in Population Exposure Due to Dry and Wet Extremes in India Under a Warming Climate	28
Solar or Diesel: A Comparison of Costs for Groundwater‐Fed Irrigation in Sub‐Saharan Africa Under Two Energy Solutions	28
Comparisons Between CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models: Simulations of Climate Indices Influencing Food Security, Infrastructure Resilience, and Human Health in Canada	28
Evaluation of Extreme Temperatures Over Australia in the Historical Simulations of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models	27
Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia	27
Contrasting Fate of Western Third Pole's Water Resources Under 21st Century Climate Change	27
Does Transfer Payments Promote Low‐Carbon Development of Resource‐Exhausted Cities in China?	27
Detectable Human Influence on Changes in Precipitation Extremes Across China	27
Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming	27
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO2 Removal in the Bering Sea	27
Projected Increases in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Productivity Loss Caused by Drought Under Climate Change	26
What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?	26
Evaluation of the CMIP6 Precipitation Simulations Over Global Land	26
Decadal Variability of Winter Warm Arctic‐Cold Eurasia Dipole Patterns Modulated by Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation	25
Representing Socio‐Economic Uncertainty in Human System Models	25
Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluating the Performance of Regional Climate Projections for Southeast Australia for 1950–2100	25
Evolving Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the North Atlantic in a Warming Climate	25
From Anthropocene to Noosphere: The Great Acceleration	25
How May the Choice of Downscaling Techniques and Meteorological Reference Observations Affect Future Hydroclimate Projections?	25
Changes in Global and Regional Characteristics of Heat Stress Waves in the 21st Century	25
Flash Drought: Review of Concept, Prediction and the Potential for Machine Learning, Deep Learning Methods	25
From Flood to Drip Irrigation Under Climate Change: Impacts on Evapotranspiration and Groundwater Recharge in the Mediterranean Region of Valencia (Spain)	24
A Warming Climate Adds Complexity to Post‐Fire Hydrologic Hazard Planning	24
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa	24
Rates of Historical Anthropogenic Soil Erosion in the Midwestern United States	24
Future Changes in Climate and Hydroclimate Extremes in East Africa	24
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic	24
Australian Coastal Flooding Trends and Forcing Factors	23
Global Marine Heatwaves and Cold‐Spells in Present Climate to Future Projections	23
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners	23
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields	22
Uncertainty Analysis in Multi‐Sector Systems: Considerations for Risk Analysis, Projection, and Planning for Complex Systems	22
Mapping the Vulnerability of Arctic Wetlands to Global Warming	22
Impact‐Based Forecasting for Pluvial Floods	22
Predominant Type of Dust Storms That Influences Air Quality Over Northern China and Future Projections	22
Fire and Ice: The Impact of Wildfire‐Affected Albedo and Irradiance on Glacier Melt	22
Inundation of Stormwater Infrastructure Is Common and Increases Risk of Flooding in Coastal Urban Areas Along the US Atlantic Coast	21
Anthropogenic Warming and Population Growth May Double US Heat Stress by the Late 21st Century	21
Vulnerability to Water Shortage Under Current and Future Water Supply‐Demand Conditions Across U.S. River Basins	21
SSP‐Based Land‐Use Change Scenarios: A Critical Uncertainty in Future Regional Climate Change Projections	21
Projected Changes to Hydroclimate Seasonality in the Continental United States	21
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Incorporating Climate‐Change‐Driven Sea Level Rise	21
Advancing the Evidence Base of Future Warming Impacts on Human Mobility in African Drylands	21
A Simulation‐Based Framework for Earthquake Risk‐Informed and People‐Centered Decision Making on Future Urban Planning	20
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle	20
Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States	20
CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections	20
Stable ≠ Sustainable: Delta Dynamics Versus the Human Need for Stability	20
Net‐Zero CO2 Germany—A Retrospect From the Year 2050	20
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa	19
Scaling Deep Decarbonization Technologies	19
Irreversible and Large‐Scale Heavy Metal Pollution Arising From Increased Damming and Untreated Water Reuse in the Nile Delta	19
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands	19

Heatwaves Similar to the Unprecedented One in Summer 2021 Over Western North America Are Projected to Become More Frequent in a Warmer World	19
A Cross‐Cutting Approach for Relating Anthropocene, Environmental Injustice and Sacrifice Zones	19
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes	19
Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models	19
Quantitative Stress Test of Compound Coastal‐Fluvial Floods in China's Pearl River Delta	19
The Climatic Impact‐Driver Framework for Assessment of Risk‐Relevant Climate Information	19
Modulation of Land Photosynthesis by the Indian Ocean Dipole: Satellite‐Based Observations and CMIP6 Future Projections	19
Projections of Freshwater Use in the United States Under Climate Change	18
How to Balance Green and Grain in Marginal Mountainous Areas?	18
Multivariate Analysis of Compound Flood Hazard Across Canada's Atlantic, Pacific and Great Lakes Coastal Areas	18
Global Flash Drought Analysis: Uncertainties From Indicators and Datasets	18
Projecting Compound Flood Hazard Under Climate Change With Physical Models and Joint Probability Methods	18
Uncovering the Past and Future Climate Drivers of Wheat Yield Shocks in Europe With Machine Learning	18
Living With Fire and the Need for Diversity	18
Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing	18
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems	17
A Participatory Science Approach to Expanding Instream Infrastructure Inventories	17
Spatial Heterogeneity of Vegetation Resilience Changes to Different Drought Types	17
The Implications of Global Change for the Co‐Evolution of Argentina's Integrated Energy‐Water‐Land Systems	17
Eight Archetypes of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Synergies and Trade‐Offs	17
A Review of Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty Applications Using Green Infrastructure for Flood Management	17
Significant Land Contributions to Interannual Predictability of East Asian Summer Monsoon Rainfall	17
Different Spatiotemporal Patterns in Global Human Population and Built‐Up Land	17
Potential for Electric Vehicle Adoption to Mitigate Extreme Air Quality Events in China	17
Increased Risk of Extreme Precipitation Over an Urban Agglomeration With Future Global Warming	17
Do Longer Dry Spells Associated With Warmer Years Compound the Stress on Global Water Resources?	17
Contextualizing Climate Change Impacts on Human Mobility in African Drylands	17
New LiDAR‐Based Elevation Model Shows Greatest Increase in Global Coastal Exposure to Flooding to Be Caused by Early‐Stage Sea‐Level Rise	17
Projecting Climate Dependent Coastal Flood Risk With a Hybrid Statistical Dynamical Model	17
Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China	16
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast	16
A Multivariate Scaling System Is Essential to Characterize the Tropical Cyclones' Risk	16
Landslide Hazard and Exposure Modelling in Data‐Poor Regions: The Example of the Rohingya Refugee Camps in Bangladesh	16
Using a New Top‐Down Constrained Emissions Inventory to Attribute the Previously Unknown Source of Extreme Aerosol Loadings Observed Annually in the Monsoon Asia Free Troposphere	16
A Holistic Assessment of 1979–2016 Global Cryospheric Extent	16
Monitoring Landsat Based Burned Area as an Indicator of Sustainable Development Goals	16
Defining the “Ice Shed” of the Arctic Ocean's Last Ice Area and Its Future Evolution	16
Amplification Effect of Urbanization on Atmospheric Aridity Over China Under Past Global Warming	16
Knowledge Priorities on Climate Change and Water in the Upper Indus Basin: A Horizon Scanning Exercise to Identify the Top 100 Research Questions in Social and Natural Sciences	16
Scenarios of Human Responses to Unprecedented Social‐Environmental Extreme Events	16
The Effects of Climate Change on Interregional Electricity Market Dynamics on the U.S. West Coast	16
Impacts of City Shape on Rainfall in Inland and Coastal Environments	15
The Political Complexity of Coastal Flood Risk Reduction: Lessons for Climate Adaptation Public Works in the U.S.	15
The Potential Impact of a Clean Energy Society on Air Quality	15
Causal Impacts of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on Global Soil Moisture Over the Period 2015–2100	15
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau	15
Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations	15
Comparing Patterns of Hurricane Washover into Built and Unbuilt Environments	15
Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta	15
Multi‐Region Multi‐Sector Contributions to Drivers of Air Pollution in China	15
Global Economic Structure Transition Boosts Atmospheric Mercury Emissions in China	15
Reservoir Governance in World's Water Towers Needs to Anticipate Multi‐purpose Use	15
Predicting the Likely Thermal Impact of Current and Future Dams Around the World	15
Probabilistic Evaluation of Drought in CMIP6 Simulations	15
Future Changes in the Frequency and Destructiveness of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Over East Asia Projected by High‐Resolution AGCMs	14
Observation‐Constrained Projection of Flood Risks and Socioeconomic Exposure in China	14
Disentangling the Impacts of Anthropogenic Aerosols on Terrestrial Carbon Cycle During 1850–2014	14
Linking Critical Zone With Watershed Science: The Example of the Heihe River Basin	14
Carbonates in the Critical Zone	14
Ensemble Drought Exposure Projection for Multifactorial Interactive Effects of Climate Change and Population Dynamics: Application to the Pearl River Basin	14
New Drought Projections Over East Asia Using Evapotranspiration Deficits From the CMIP6 Warming Scenarios	14
Technology Pathways Could Help Drive the U.S. West Coast Grid's Exposure to Hydrometeorological Uncertainty	14
Using Biomimicry to Support Resilient Infrastructure Design	14
Impact of Quasi‐Idealized Future Land Cover Scenarios at High Latitudes in Complex Terrain	14
How Low Should We Alert? Quantifying Intensity Threshold Alerting Strategies for Earthquake Early Warning in the United States	14
Wetter California Projected by CMIP6 Models With Observational Constraints Under a High GHG Emission Scenario	14
Role of Atmospheric Indices in Describing Inshore Directional Wave Climate in the United Kingdom and Ireland	14
Arctic Ocean Freshwater in CMIP6 Coupled Models	14
Water Smart Cities Increase Irrigation to Provide Cool Refuge in a Climate Crisis	14
Decreasing Dust Over the Middle East Partly Caused by Irrigation Expansion	14
Lake Ice Will Be Less Safe for Recreation and Transportation Under Future Warming	14
Future Flood Risk Exacerbated by the Dynamic Impacts of Sea Level Rise Along the Northern Gulf of Mexico	14
Potential of Land‐Neutral Negative Emissions Through Biochar Sequestration	14
Past, Present, and Future Pacific Sea‐Level Change	14
A Typology for Characterizing Human Action in MultiSector Dynamics Models	14
Terrestrial Stilling Projected to Continue in the Northern Hemisphere Mid‐Latitudes	14
The Spatiotemporal Evolution of Rainfall Extremes in a Changing Climate: A CONUS‐Wide Assessment Based on Multifractal Scaling Arguments	14
Exclusionary Behaviors Reinforce Historical Biases and Contribute to Loss of Talent in the Earth Sciences	14
Trade‐Offs for Climate‐Smart Forestry in Europe Under Uncertain Future Climate	14
Global Projections of Storm Surges Using High‐Resolution CMIP6 Climate Models	14
Atmospheric Contributions to the Reversal of Surface Temperature Anomalies Between Early and Late Winter Over Eurasia	14
Building a Global Ecosystem Research Infrastructure to Address Global Grand Challenges for Macrosystem Ecology	14
Land Policy for Flood Risk Management—Toward a New Working Paradigm	14
Linear and Nonlinear Trend Analyzes in Global Satellite‐Based Precipitation, 1998–2017	14
Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons in China: Will Decoupling of Their Emissions and Socioeconomic Growth Emerge?	13
Borderless Heat Hazards With Bordered Impacts	13
Future Amplification of Multivariate Risk of Compound Drought and Heatwave Events on South Asian Population	13
Transient and Quasi‐Equilibrium Climate States at 1.5°C and 2°C Global Warming	13
An Integrated Framework to Streamline Resilience in the Context of Urban Climate Risk Assessment	13
Modeling Human Migration Under Environmental Change: A Case Study of the Effect of Sea Level Rise in Bangladesh	13
Timing and Order of Extreme Drought and Wetness Determine Bioclimatic Sensitivity of Tree Growth	13
Shrinking Habitats and Native Species Loss Under Climate Change: A Multifactorial Risk Assessment of China's Inland Wetlands	13
Peak Runoff Timing Is Linked to Global Warming Trajectories	13
Compound Post‐Fire Flood Hazards Considering Infrastructure Sedimentation	13
Power and Pathways: Exploring Robustness, Cooperative Stability, and Power Relationships in Regional Infrastructure Investment and Water Supply Management Portfolio Pathways	13