Earths Future

Papers
(The TQCC of Earths Future is 16. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-08-01 to 2026-08-01.)
ArticleCitations
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Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise214
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Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index134
Early Achieving Carbon Neutrality Will Greatly Reduce Unequal Risk to Humid Heatwave in a Warming World122
Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS107
Inorganic Nitrogen Nutrition in Boreal Plants Is Underestimated and Insensitive to Environmental Changes104
Drivers of Contrasting Changes in Streamflow in the Indus and Ganga River Basins103
Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty102
Historical and Projected Cropland Impacts of Heatwaves in Central Asia Under Climate Change94
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources94
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China91
Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States90
Wetland Gain and Loss in the Mississippi River Bird‐Foot Delta88
Is Reservoir Storage Effectively Utilized in the Southeastern US? A Regional Assessment to Improve Water Supply Availability Considering Potential Storage and Flood Scenarios88
Fielding Floods for Flourishing Farms: A Framework for Assessing the Reuse of Small Flood Reservoirs as Irrigation Reservoirs87
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People86
Charting a Transformational Course Toward a Safe and Just Future: The Earth Commission's Contribution76
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle76
Quantifying Asymmetries in the Societal Impact of Mass Loss From the Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheets75
The Untapped Hydropower Potential of World's Cities75
Poleward Shift of Arctic Oceanic CO 2 Uptake From Asymmetric Seasonal Changes Under Climate Warming74
Understanding Interannual Variability of Brahmaputra River Basin Flows Through Bayesian Causal Networks74
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends74
Is There Sufficient Information to Reliably Estimate Return Periods for Very Rare Heat Extremes in Event Attribution?73
Marine Cloud Brightening to Cool the Arctic: An Earth System Model Comparison72
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events71
Has Hydropower Made the World More Flood‐Prone?71
The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region71
Irreversible Land Water Availability Changes From a Potential ITCZ Shift During Temperature Overshoot69
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models69
Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise68
Changes in Compound Extreme Events and Their Impacts on Cropland Productivity in China, 1985–201968
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion68
Rapid Intensification and Relative Sea‐Level Rise Amplify Compound Flooding From Hurricanes Harvey and Beryl67
Past Precipitation Stored in Deep Soils Sustains Greening of Dryland Tree Plantations in Northern China66
Discovering the Multisectoral Impacts of Global Energy Sector Outcomes Through Multiple Ensemble Aggregation Measures66
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Assessing the Time of Emergence of Marine Ecosystems From Global to Local Scales Using IPSL‐CM6A‐LR/APECOSM Climate‐To‐Fish Ensemble Simulations66
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Climate‐Driven Sea Level Rise Exacerbates Alaskan and Cascadian Tsunami Hazards in Southern California: Implications to Design Parameters62
Climate‐Driven Hydraulic Traits Shift in Natural and Planted Forests: Patterns, Drivers, and Future Acclimation62
Issue Information62
A Convergence Science Approach to Understanding the Changing Arctic61
Characterizing Compound Inland Flooding Mechanisms and Risks in North America Under Climate Change61
Global Lake Health in the Anthropocene: Societal Implications and Treatment Strategies60
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau60
Hysteretic Behavior of Global to Regional Monsoon Area Under CO2 Ramp‐Up and Ramp‐Down60
Measuring and Attributing Sedimentary and Geomorphic Responses to Modern Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities59
Large‐Scale Evaluation of Beach Morphodynamic Evolution and Environmental Drivers Along China's Eastern Coast Through Long‐Term Landsat Analysis59
Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming59
Widespread Unquantified Conversion of Old Boreal Forests to Plantations57
A Demonstration of a Simple Methodology of Flood Prediction for a Coastal City Under Threat of Sea Level Rise: The Case of Norfolk, VA, USA57
Balancing Physical and Human‐Driven Morphodynamic Changes: Insights From the Pearl River Estuary57
The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise57
Quantifying the Sea Level and Estuary Contributions to Changing High Water Levels in Four Major Australian Estuaries56
Research Priorities for Climate Litigation55
Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean54
Different Strategies of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Would Significantly Affect Climate Extreme Mitigation52
Controls of Ecohydrological Grassland Dynamics in Agrivoltaic Systems51
Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection50
Multi‐Species Constraints Resolve Methane Source Versus Sink Changes: Lessons From 202049
Current Status, Past Trends, and Future Projections of Renewable Forest Resources and Ecosystem Services Across the United States49
Snow Cover Dynamics and Environmental Coupling Regulate Freezing Intensity Across China's Frozen Ground Regions49
Evaluating Adaptation Pathways in a Complex Multi‐Risk System47
The Fate of Western Headwaters: Climate Controls on Base‐Flow Decline47
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Could Prevent Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline, But Injection Location is Key47
Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling47
Unlocking the Impact of Temperature and Salinity on Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Estuarine Salt Marsh Soils46
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century46
New Climate Change Center of Saudi Arabia: Advancing Understanding and Prediction for the Arabian Peninsula Climate45
Thresholds of Carbon and Nitrogen Emissions for Sustainable Development in China44
Unmasking the Thermo‐Pollution Nexus: A Multimodal Decomposition of LST‐AOD Dynamics in a Tropical Megacity44
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic44
Issue Information44
Intensifying Sub‐Daily Rainfall Extremes in Tropical Cities: Projections From Downscaled Baselines in a Warming Climate44
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Heat and Moisture Anomalies During Crop Failure Events in the Southeastern Australian Wheat Belt43
Methane Emissions in Asian Wetlands During 2010–2020: Insights From an Online‐Coupled Microbial Functional‐Group‐Based Model43
Escalating High Tide Flooding Along the Atlantic and Gulf Coast of the United States Due To Sea Level Rise43
Quantifying Meltwater Contributions and Socio‐Economy Impacts of Future Third Pole Transboundary Fluvial Floods43
Measurement of Gas Fraction and Gas Permeability of Thawing Permafrost Caused by Climate Change42
Projecting Multiscale River Flood Changes Across Japan at +2°C and +4°C Climates42
Rainfall and Salinity Effects on Future Pacific Climate Change42
Relationship of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to Soil Nitrogen Cycling Along an Elevation Gradient in the Colorado Front Range41
Balancing Productivity and Climate Impact: A Framework to Assess Climate‐Smart Irrigation41
Changes in the Frequency of Flood Events Across the United States Detectable by the Middle of This Century41
Drivers of Future Indian Ocean Warming and Its Spatial Pattern in CMIP Models41
Integrating Multi‐Level Sustainability and Ecosystem Integrity for Adaptive Scenario Planning in China41
Increased Aerosols From Siberian Wildfires Buffered Arctic Warming During 2013–201941
Water Availability in China's Oases Decreased Between 1987 and 201741
Reply to Comment by Darwish on “Soaring Building Collapses in Southern Mediterranean Coasts: Hydroclimatic Drivers and Adaptive Landscape Mitigations”40
Impact of Green Infrastructure Morphology on Compound PM 2.5 and Heat Exposure Risk40
High‐Temperature Exposure and Land Transactions in China40
Initial Estimates of Soil Mercury Emissions Induced by Soil Heating During Global Wildfires40
Quantifying the Safe Operating Space for Land‐System SDG Achievement via Machine Learning and Scenario Discovery39
Predicting the Start of the Growing Season in Boreal Forest Under High and Low Emission Scenarios39
The Critical Role of Hydrological Distance in Shaping Nutrient Dynamics Along the Watershed‐Lake Continuum39
Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study39
The Contribution of Microrefugia to Landscape Thermal Inertia for Climate‐Adaptive Conservation Strategies39
Ice Sheet and Climate Processes Driving the Uncertainty in Projections of Future Sea Level Rise: Findings From a Structured Expert Judgement Approach38
Mass Extinctions and Their Relationship With Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration: Implications for Earth's Future38
Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning38
Antarctic Biosecurity Policy Effectively Manages the Rates of Alien Introductions38
Global and Regional Drivers of Power Plant CO2Emissions Over the Last Three Decades Revealed From Unit‐Based Database38
Estimating the Global Influence of Cover Crops on Ecosystem Service Indicators in Croplands With the LPJ‐GUESS Model38
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast38
Top‐Down Versus Bottom‐Up Atmospheric Emission Estimates From Oil and Natural Gas Operations38
El Niño Intensified Fog Formation in the Namib Desert38
Projecting Future Chronic Coastal Hazard Impacts, Hotspots, and Uncertainty at Regional Scale37
Climate and Anthropogenic Perturbations Impact Stream Geochemistry37
Soil Moisture Memory of Land Surface Models Utilized in Major Reanalyses Differ Significantly From SMAP Observation37
Extension of Large Fire Emissions From Summer to Autumn and Its Drivers in the Western US37
Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Non‐Linear Changes36
Assessing the Susceptibility of Water Availability Due To Climate Change in China36
Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP636
Interacting Sea‐Level Rise, Sea‐Ice Loss, Storm Flooding, Erosion, and Permafrost Thaw Threaten Ecosystems, Wildlife, and Communities on the Yukon‐Kuskokwim Delta36
Enhancing Urban Thermal Environment and Energy Sustainability With Temperature‐Adaptive Radiative Roofs35
Challenges and Opportunities for National‐Scale Projections of Future Coastal Landscape Change35
Current and Future Patterns of Global Wildfire Based on Deep Neural Networks35
Identifying Key Uncertainties and Drivers of Future Resource Security Outcomes Through a Multisector Scenario Ensemble35
Incorporating Intensity Distance Attenuation Into PLUM Ground‐Motion‐Based Earthquake Early Warning in the United States: The APPLES Configuration35
Deep Root Loss and Regeneration in the Anthropocene Drive Continental‐Scale Changes in Deep Soil Structure35
Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Anukesh Krishnankutty Ambika and Vimal Mishra34
A Comparative Study of the Argo‐Era Ocean Heat Content Among Four Different Types of Data Sets34
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Reply to Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Meetpal S. Kukal34
Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century34
Old‐Growth Forest Area Projected to Increase on United States Federal Lands Under Alternative Future Scenarios33
Analyzing the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Forests Carbon Sink and Sources Between 2000 and 201933
Forest Dieback in Drinking Water Protection Areas—A Hidden Threat to Water Quality33
Dryland Watersheds in Flux: How Nitrogen Deposition and Changing Precipitation Regimes Shape Nitrogen Export33
The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information33
Small Ponds as Carbon Emission and Burial Hotspots in Lowland Agricultural Landscape33
Anthropogenic Climate Change Negatively Impacts Vegetation and Forage Conditions in the Greater Four Corners Region33
Upper Bounds of Maximum Land Surface Temperatures in a Warming Climate and Limits to Plant Growth33
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change33
Increased Streamflow Intermittence in Europe Due To Climate Change Projected by Combining Global Hydrological Modeling and Machine Learning33
STAR‐ESDM: A Generalizable Approach to Generating High‐Resolution Climate Projections Through Signal Decomposition33
Inflated Negative Impacts of Temperature On Global Agricultural Yields Due To Ozone Omission33
Pan‐Arctic Assessment of Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw32
The Anthropocene Is More Than a Time Interval32
Responses of the Natural Phytoplankton Assemblage to Patagonian Dust Input and Anthropogenic Changes in the Southern Ocean32
The Limited Effect of Reduced Typhoon Frequency on Stream Hydrochemistry in a Subtropical Forest Watershed32
Projected Changes to Characteristics of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode Events in the CMIP6 Models32
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners32
Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 210032
Unraveling the Interplay: Intensive Solar Radiation Amplifies Maize Yield Reduction Under Dry‐Heat Stress32
Disentangling the Roles of Microbial Traits and Mineral Protection in Regulating Temperature Sensitivity of Soil Carbon Decomposition in Eroded and Depositional Agricultural Soils31
Warming Drives Streamflow Reductions and Intensifies Hydrologic Whiplash, Threatening California's Water Supply31
Land Cover Changes Redistribute China's Water Resources Through Atmospheric Moisture Recycling31
Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges31
Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau31
Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States31
A Review of Advances in Flash Drought Research: Challenges and Future Directions31
Understanding Europe's Forest Harvesting Regimes31
How Precipitation Timing Asymmetry Restructures Vegetation Phenology in Water‐Limited Ecosystems31
Co‐Producing Climate Services for California's Energy Sector31
2021 Heatwave Over Western North America: Structural Uncertainty and Internal Variability in GCM Projections of Humidex and Temperature Extremes31
Thank You to Our 2024 Reviewers30
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Arctic Ozone Hole and Enhanced Mid‐Latitude Ozone Losses Due To Heterogeneous Halogen Chemistry Following a Regional Nuclear Conflict30
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Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China30
Freshwater Availability in the Mississippi River Basin and Adjacent Texas Aquifers Under Human and Climate Pressures30
Planning for Climate Migration in Great Lake Legacy Cities30
Projections of Lightning‐Ignited Wildfire Risk in the Western United States30
The Earth's Terrestrial Biodiversity Hotspots in Land Use Debt29
Assessing Global and Regional Trends in Spatially Co‐Occurring Hot or Wet Annual Maxima Under Climate Change29
Tracking Interprovincial Flows of Atmospheric PAH Emissions Through Downscaling Estimates With Province‐Specific Emission Factors29
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Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Stabilize Northern Hemisphere Terrestrial Permafrost Under the ARISE‐SAI‐1.5 Scenario29
Recent Accelerated Decadal Shift in Winter North American Temperature Patterns Under Pacific‐Atlantic Decadal Variability29
Evaluating Extreme Storm Events in an Ensemble of High‐Resolution Projections29
Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Potential to Overcome Reactive Flood Adaptation in the Continental US28
Emerging Importance of Compound Flooding in Future Tropical Cyclone Hazard Profiles28
Land Reclamation Controls on Multi‐Centennial Estuarine Evolution28
Socio‐Ecological Impacts of the Investment of Urban Nature in Heat Mitigation for Two Megacities28
Assessing the Effect of Glacier Runoff Changes on Basin Runoff and Agricultural Production in the Indus, Amu Darya, and Tarim Interior Basins28
Impacts of Policy Design and Risk Management on Groundwater Conservation Program Effectiveness28
Persistent Extreme Surface Solar Radiation and Its Implications on Solar Photovoltaics27
Understanding Climate Change and Anthropogenic Impacts on the Salinization of Low‐Lying Coastal Groundwater Systems27
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Salt Marsh Vegetation Communities in Response to Soil Moisture and Salinity Fluctuations: A Coupled Modeling Approach27
Partitioning the Uncertainties in Compound Hot and Dry Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Runoff Extremes Projections in CMIP627
Potential Vorticity Dynamics Explain How Extratropical Oceans and the Arctic Modulate Wintertime Land‐Temperature Variations27
Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty26
Undesirable Effects of Biogenic Emissions From Urban Green Spaces on Air Quality Are Counteracted by Their Transpiration and Dry Deposition26
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Compounding Tides and Sea Level Rise26
Reduced Crop Yield Stability Is More Likely to Be Associated With Heat Than With Moisture Extremes in the US Midwest26
Uncovering the Dynamic Drivers of Floods Through Interpretable Deep Learning26
Climate Change Likely to Intensify Storm‐Driven Compound Flooding in an Exemplar UK Estuary26
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau26
Blue Nitrogen: Global Rates and Economic Importance26
Investigating Potential Ecological Benefits From Mariculture26
Increased Significance of Global Concurrent Hazards From 1981 to 202026
Geophysical Uncertainties in Air Pollution Exposure and Benefits of Emissions Reductions for Global Health26
Street‐to‐Pipe Diagnosis of Compound Rain–Tailwater Flooding in a Coastal Combined Sewer System: Sewer Pre‐Filling and Outfall Throttling25
Modeling Irrigation Efficiency Paradox From Farmers' Behaviors25
Potential Impacts on Ozone and Climate From a Proposed Fleet of Supersonic Aircraft25
Discharge Regimes of North American High‐Latitude Rivers25
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO2 Removal in the Bering Sea25
Classification‐Based Greenspace Exposure Assessment Reveals the Compensatory Role of Urban Cropland in Greenspace Equity25
Assessing Dominant Uncertainties in Future Precipitation Projections for a Hurricane‐Prone Region25
Trapped in Irrigation: Future Irrigation Expansion Amplifies Food–Water–Energy Policy Trade‐Offs in Germany25
An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)25
Assessment of Global Dengue Transmission Risk Under Future Climate Scenarios25
Advancing the Modeling of Future Climate and Innovation Impacts on Perennial Crops to Support Adaptation: A Case Study of California Almonds25
Anthropogenic Dust as a Significant Source of Ice‐Nucleating Particles in the Urban Environment25
Elevated Forest Canopy Loss After Wildfires in Moist and Cool Forests in the Pacific Northwest24
Carbon Cycle Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection With Multiple Temperature Stabilization Targets and Strategies24
Satellite Observed Land Surface Greening in Summer Controlled by the Precipitation Frequency Rather Than Its Total Over Tibetan Plateau24
Systemic Financial Risk Arising From Residential Flood Losses24
Impacts of Idealized Land Use and Land Management Changes on Weather Extremes in West Africa24
Sensitivity to Data Choice for Index‐Based Flood Insurance24
The Critical Role of Snowmelt Onset‐Driven Vapor Pressure Deficit Variations in Wildfire Dynamics of Northern Latitudes24
A National‐Scale Coastal Flood Hazard Assessment for the Atoll Nation of Tuvalu24
Issue Information24
Global Warming Enhances Tropical Cyclone–Induced Extreme Precipitation in the Arabian Sea: Insights From Convection‐Permitting Model Experiments24
Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections24
Building Capacity in an Environmental Management Industry: Investing in Collective Social Capital to Advance Stream Management24
Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR623
Characterizing Climatic Socio‐Environmental Tipping Points in Coastal Communities: A Conceptual Framework for Research and Practice23
Centennial Memory of the Arctic Ocean for Future Arctic Climate Recovery in Response to a Carbon Dioxide Removal23
Replacement of Corn by Perennial Cellulosic Bioenergy Crops on Sloping Farmland: Implications for Water Quality and Economic Benefits23
Natural Denudation Versus Anthropogenically Accelerated Erosion in Central Brazil: A Confrontation of Time and Space Scales23
The Case for the Anthropocene Epoch Is Stronger Than the Case for the Holocene Epoch23
Global‐Scale Shifts in Rooting Depths Due To Anthropocene Land Cover Changes Pose Unexamined Consequences for Critical Zone Functioning23
Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise?23
Projections of Peak Water Timing From the East Rongbuk Glacier, Mt. Everest, Using a Higher‐Order Ice Flow Model23
Competition Between Accommodation Space and River Sediment Supply in New Zealand Estuaries23
Reviving the Aral Sea: A Hydro‐Eco‐Social Perspective23
The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate23
Spatio‐Temporal Dynamics of Aboveground Biomass in China's Oasis Grasslands Between 1989 and 202123
Sustainability Evaluation of the Doughnut Economics: A Bibliometric Analysis23
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa22
Land Cover Shapes Altitudinal Land Surface Warming Patterns Across Switzerland22
Drivers of Future Physical Water Scarcity and Its Economic Impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean22
Envisioning Farm Power Subsidy for Groundwater Irrigation in India for Attaining SDGs22
The Streamflow Response to Multi‐Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming and Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude22
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa22
Divergent Changes in Oceanic and Terrestrial Surface Water Budgets Under Global Warming: Insights From ERA5 Reanalysis22
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Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer22
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields22
A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification22
Quantifying Past and Future Terrestrial Water Storage Scarcity Across China Through Midcentury22
Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers22
Hydroclimatic Vulnerability of Wetlands to Upwind Land Use Changes22
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