Earths Future

Papers
(The TQCC of Earths Future is 15. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-01-01 to 2026-01-01.)
ArticleCitations
204
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Has Hydropower Made the World More Flood‐Prone?194
Issue Information167
Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States159
Discovering the Multisectoral Impacts of Global Energy Sector Outcomes Through Multiple Ensemble Aggregation Measures148
Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise126
Irreversible Land Water Availability Changes From a Potential ITCZ Shift During Temperature Overshoot116
The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region99
Inorganic Nitrogen Nutrition in Boreal Plants Is Underestimated and Insensitive to Environmental Changes99
Issue Information99
Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty98
Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index98
Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS97
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends92
Is There Sufficient Information to Reliably Estimate Return Periods for Very Rare Heat Extremes in Event Attribution?91
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources89
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion88
Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise87
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events86
Is Reservoir Storage Effectively Utilized in the Southeastern US? A Regional Assessment to Improve Water Supply Availability Considering Potential Storage and Flood Scenarios85
Historical and Projected Cropland Impacts of Heatwaves in Central Asia Under Climate Change79
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models77
Past Precipitation Stored in Deep Soils Sustains Greening of Dryland Tree Plantations in Northern China77
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes76
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China74
Wetland Gain and Loss in the Mississippi River Bird‐Foot Delta73
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle72
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People71
Marine Cloud Brightening to Cool the Arctic: An Earth System Model Comparison69
Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate69
Changes in Compound Extreme Events and Their Impacts on Cropland Productivity in China, 1985–201969
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Issue Information67
Assessing the Time of Emergence of Marine Ecosystems From Global to Local Scales Using IPSL‐CM6A‐LR/APECOSM Climate‐To‐Fish Ensemble Simulations67
Issue Information66
Climate‐Driven Sea Level Rise Exacerbates Alaskan and Cascadian Tsunami Hazards in Southern California: Implications to Design Parameters63
Issue Information63
The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise62
Net‐Zero CO2 Germany—A Retrospect From the Year 205059
Controls of Ecohydrological Grassland Dynamics in Agrivoltaic Systems59
Projecting Future Fire Regimes in a Semiarid Watershed of the Inland Northwestern United States: Interactions Among Climate Change, Vegetation Productivity, and Fuel Dynamics59
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau58
Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling57
Aotearoa New Zealand's 21st‐Century Wildfire Climate57
Evaluating Adaptation Pathways in a Complex Multi‐Risk System56
Large‐Scale Evaluation of Beach Morphodynamic Evolution and Environmental Drivers Along China's Eastern Coast Through Long‐Term Landsat Analysis55
Research Priorities for Climate Litigation55
A Demonstration of a Simple Methodology of Flood Prediction for a Coastal City Under Threat of Sea Level Rise: The Case of Norfolk, VA, USA54
Meteorological Influences on Anthropogenic PM2.5 in Future Climates: Species Level Analysis in the Community Earth System Model v251
Measuring and Attributing Sedimentary and Geomorphic Responses to Modern Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities51
Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming51
Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection51
Hysteretic Behavior of Global to Regional Monsoon Area Under CO2 Ramp‐Up and Ramp‐Down50
Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean50
Different Strategies of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Would Significantly Affect Climate Extreme Mitigation50
A Convergence Science Approach to Understanding the Changing Arctic50
Balancing Physical and Human‐Driven Morphodynamic Changes: Insights From the Pearl River Estuary49
Remote Sensing Big Data for Water Environment Monitoring: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Prospects48
New Climate Change Center of Saudi Arabia: Advancing Understanding and Prediction for the Arabian Peninsula Climate48
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Could Prevent Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline, But Injection Location is Key47
Characterizing Compound Inland Flooding Mechanisms and Risks in North America Under Climate Change47
Will Anthropogenic Warming Increase Evapotranspiration? Examining Irrigation Water Demand Implications of Climate Change in California47
Fire and Ice: The Impact of Wildfire‐Affected Albedo and Irradiance on Glacier Melt46
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century46
Global Lake Health in the Anthropocene: Societal Implications and Treatment Strategies46
Widespread Unquantified Conversion of Old Boreal Forests to Plantations45
Extension of Large Fire Emissions From Summer to Autumn and Its Drivers in the Western US45
The Contribution of Microrefugia to Landscape Thermal Inertia for Climate‐Adaptive Conservation Strategies45
Hydrological Intensification Will Increase the Complexity of Water Resource Management45
Enhancing Urban Thermal Environment and Energy Sustainability With Temperature‐Adaptive Radiative Roofs45
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic45
Issue Information44
Issue Information44
Methane Emissions in Asian Wetlands During 2010–2020: Insights From an Online‐Coupled Microbial Functional‐Group‐Based Model43
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast43
Escalating High Tide Flooding Along the Atlantic and Gulf Coast of the United States Due To Sea Level Rise43
Quantifying the Safe Operating Space for Land‐System SDG Achievement via Machine Learning and Scenario Discovery42
Incorporating Intensity Distance Attenuation Into PLUM Ground‐Motion‐Based Earthquake Early Warning in the United States: The APPLES Configuration42
Predicting the Start of the Growing Season in Boreal Forest Under High and Low Emission Scenarios42
Mass Extinctions and Their Relationship With Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration: Implications for Earth's Future41
Relationship of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to Soil Nitrogen Cycling Along an Elevation Gradient in the Colorado Front Range41
Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning41
Current and Future Patterns of Global Wildfire Based on Deep Neural Networks41
The Critical Role of Hydrological Distance in Shaping Nutrient Dynamics Along the Watershed‐Lake Continuum41
Soil Moisture Memory of Land Surface Models Utilized in Major Reanalyses Differ Significantly From SMAP Observation41
Interacting Sea‐Level Rise, Sea‐Ice Loss, Storm Flooding, Erosion, and Permafrost Thaw Threaten Ecosystems, Wildlife, and Communities on the Yukon‐Kuskokwim Delta41
High‐Temperature Exposure and Land Transactions in China40
Quantifying Meltwater Contributions and Socio‐Economy Impacts of Future Third Pole Transboundary Fluvial Floods40
Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study40
A Multivariate Scaling System Is Essential to Characterize the Tropical Cyclones' Risk40
Integrating Multi‐Level Sustainability and Ecosystem Integrity for Adaptive Scenario Planning in China40
Rainfall and Salinity Effects on Future Pacific Climate Change39
Projecting Multiscale River Flood Changes Across Japan at +2°C and +4°C Climates39
Ice Sheet and Climate Processes Driving the Uncertainty in Projections of Future Sea Level Rise: Findings From a Structured Expert Judgement Approach38
Balancing Productivity and Climate Impact: A Framework to Assess Climate‐Smart Irrigation38
Deep Root Loss and Regeneration in the Anthropocene Drive Continental‐Scale Changes in Deep Soil Structure37
Top‐Down Versus Bottom‐Up Atmospheric Emission Estimates From Oil and Natural Gas Operations37
Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP637
Antarctic Biosecurity Policy Effectively Manages the Rates of Alien Introductions37
El Niño Intensified Fog Formation in the Namib Desert36
Water Availability in China's Oases Decreased Between 1987 and 201736
Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century36
Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Non‐Linear Changes36
Changes in the Frequency of Flood Events Across the United States Detectable by the Middle of This Century35
Projecting Future Chronic Coastal Hazard Impacts, Hotspots, and Uncertainty at Regional Scale35
Assessing the Socio‐Economic Effects of Carbon Capture, Utility and Storage Investment From the Perspective of Carbon Neutrality in China35
Global and Regional Drivers of Power Plant CO2Emissions Over the Last Three Decades Revealed From Unit‐Based Database34
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Heat and Moisture Anomalies During Crop Failure Events in the Southeastern Australian Wheat Belt34
Estimating the Global Influence of Cover Crops on Ecosystem Service Indicators in Croplands With the LPJ‐GUESS Model34
Drivers of Future Indian Ocean Warming and Its Spatial Pattern in CMIP Models34
The Limited Effect of Reduced Typhoon Frequency on Stream Hydrochemistry in a Subtropical Forest Watershed34
Small Ponds as Carbon Emission and Burial Hotspots in Lowland Agricultural Landscape33
Reply to Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Meetpal S. Kukal33
Responses of the Natural Phytoplankton Assemblage to Patagonian Dust Input and Anthropogenic Changes in the Southern Ocean33
Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Anukesh Krishnankutty Ambika and Vimal Mishra33
Old‐Growth Forest Area Projected to Increase on United States Federal Lands Under Alternative Future Scenarios31
The Anthropocene Is More Than a Time Interval31
Analyzing the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Forests Carbon Sink and Sources Between 2000 and 201931
Land Cover Changes Redistribute China's Water Resources Through Atmospheric Moisture Recycling31
2021 Heatwave Over Western North America: Structural Uncertainty and Internal Variability in GCM Projections of Humidex and Temperature Extremes31
A Bioeconomic Projection of Climate‐Induced Wildfire Risk in the Forest Sector31
Pan‐Arctic Assessment of Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw31
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change31
A Comparative Study of the Argo‐Era Ocean Heat Content Among Four Different Types of Data Sets31
Anthropogenic Climate Change Negatively Impacts Vegetation and Forage Conditions in the Greater Four Corners Region31
Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau31
Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges31
Inflated Negative Impacts of Temperature On Global Agricultural Yields Due To Ozone Omission30
Understanding Europe's Forest Harvesting Regimes30
STAR‐ESDM: A Generalizable Approach to Generating High‐Resolution Climate Projections Through Signal Decomposition30
Dryland Watersheds in Flux: How Nitrogen Deposition and Changing Precipitation Regimes Shape Nitrogen Export30
Forest Dieback in Drinking Water Protection Areas—A Hidden Threat to Water Quality30
Increased Streamflow Intermittence in Europe Due To Climate Change Projected by Combining Global Hydrological Modeling and Machine Learning30
A Review of Advances in Flash Drought Research: Challenges and Future Directions30
Projected Changes to Characteristics of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode Events in the CMIP6 Models30
Upper Bounds of Maximum Land Surface Temperatures in a Warming Climate and Limits to Plant Growth30
Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States30
Urbanization Contributes Little to Global Warming but Substantially Intensifies Local and Regional Land Surface Warming29
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners29
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Unraveling the Interplay: Intensive Solar Radiation Amplifies Maize Yield Reduction Under Dry‐Heat Stress29
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Tracking Interprovincial Flows of Atmospheric PAH Emissions Through Downscaling Estimates With Province‐Specific Emission Factors29
Issue Information29
Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 210029
Thank You to Our 2024 Reviewers29
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Recent Accelerated Decadal Shift in Winter North American Temperature Patterns Under Pacific‐Atlantic Decadal Variability28
Geophysical Uncertainties in Air Pollution Exposure and Benefits of Emissions Reductions for Global Health28
Projections of Lightning‐Ignited Wildfire Risk in the Western United States28
Anthropogenic Dust as a Significant Source of Ice‐Nucleating Particles in the Urban Environment28
Assessment of Global Dengue Transmission Risk Under Future Climate Scenarios28
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Stabilize Northern Hemisphere Terrestrial Permafrost Under the ARISE‐SAI‐1.5 Scenario28
Uncovering the Dynamic Drivers of Floods Through Interpretable Deep Learning28
Assessing the Effect of Glacier Runoff Changes on Basin Runoff and Agricultural Production in the Indus, Amu Darya, and Tarim Interior Basins28
Advancing the Modeling of Future Climate and Innovation Impacts on Perennial Crops to Support Adaptation: A Case Study of California Almonds28
Persistent Extreme Surface Solar Radiation and Its Implications on Solar Photovoltaics27
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Compounding Tides and Sea Level Rise27
Assessing Global and Regional Trends in Spatially Co‐Occurring Hot or Wet Annual Maxima Under Climate Change27
Potential Vorticity Dynamics Explain How Extratropical Oceans and the Arctic Modulate Wintertime Land‐Temperature Variations27
Socio‐Ecological Impacts of the Investment of Urban Nature in Heat Mitigation for Two Megacities27
Reduced Crop Yield Stability Is More Likely to Be Associated With Heat Than With Moisture Extremes in the US Midwest27
Investigating Potential Ecological Benefits From Mariculture26
Increased Significance of Global Concurrent Hazards From 1981 to 202026
Projected Changes in Socioeconomic Exposure to Heatwaves in South Asia Under Changing Climate26
Partitioning the Uncertainties in Compound Hot and Dry Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Runoff Extremes Projections in CMIP626
Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty26
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau26
Climate Controls on River Chemistry26
Land Reclamation Controls on Multi‐Centennial Estuarine Evolution26
Planning for Climate Migration in Great Lake Legacy Cities26
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO2 Removal in the Bering Sea26
Understanding Climate Change and Anthropogenic Impacts on the Salinization of Low‐Lying Coastal Groundwater Systems26
The Earth's Terrestrial Biodiversity Hotspots in Land Use Debt25
Undesirable Effects of Biogenic Emissions From Urban Green Spaces on Air Quality Are Counteracted by Their Transpiration and Dry Deposition25
Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China25
Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise?25
An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)25
Evaluating Extreme Storm Events in an Ensemble of High‐Resolution Projections25
Climate Change Likely to Intensify Storm‐Driven Compound Flooding in an Exemplar UK Estuary25
Potential Impacts on Ozone and Climate From a Proposed Fleet of Supersonic Aircraft25
Arctic Ozone Hole and Enhanced Mid‐Latitude Ozone Losses Due To Heterogeneous Halogen Chemistry Following a Regional Nuclear Conflict25
Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Potential to Overcome Reactive Flood Adaptation in the Continental US25
Sensitivity to Data Choice for Index‐Based Flood Insurance25
Issue Information25
The Case for the Anthropocene Epoch Is Stronger Than the Case for the Holocene Epoch24
Elevated Forest Canopy Loss After Wildfires in Moist and Cool Forests in the Pacific Northwest24
Reviving the Aral Sea: A Hydro‐Eco‐Social Perspective24
Systemic Financial Risk Arising From Residential Flood Losses24
Carbon Cycle Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection With Multiple Temperature Stabilization Targets and Strategies24
Evaluating How Climate Adaptation Measures Affect the Interconnected Water‐Energy Resource Systems of the Western United States24
Characterizing Climatic Socio‐Environmental Tipping Points in Coastal Communities: A Conceptual Framework for Research and Practice24
Drivers of Future Physical Water Scarcity and Its Economic Impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean24
The Critical Role of Snowmelt Onset‐Driven Vapor Pressure Deficit Variations in Wildfire Dynamics of Northern Latitudes24
Spatio‐Temporal Dynamics of Aboveground Biomass in China's Oasis Grasslands Between 1989 and 202123
Impacts of Idealized Land Use and Land Management Changes on Weather Extremes in West Africa23
Projections of Peak Water Timing From the East Rongbuk Glacier, Mt. Everest, Using a Higher‐Order Ice Flow Model23
Sustainability Evaluation of the Doughnut Economics: A Bibliometric Analysis23
Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections23
Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR623
How Low Should We Alert? Quantifying Intensity Threshold Alerting Strategies for Earthquake Early Warning in the United States23
Global‐Scale Shifts in Rooting Depths Due To Anthropocene Land Cover Changes Pose Unexamined Consequences for Critical Zone Functioning22
A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification22
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa22
Quantifying Past and Future Terrestrial Water Storage Scarcity Across China Through Midcentury22
Landslide Hazard Is Projected to Increase Across High Mountain Asia22
Satellite Observed Land Surface Greening in Summer Controlled by the Precipitation Frequency Rather Than Its Total Over Tibetan Plateau22
A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks22
A National‐Scale Coastal Flood Hazard Assessment for the Atoll Nation of Tuvalu22
Natural Denudation Versus Anthropogenically Accelerated Erosion in Central Brazil: A Confrontation of Time and Space Scales22
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa22
Mapping Water, Energy and Carbon Footprints Along Urban Agglomeration Supply Chains22
Future Pathways of Water, Energy, and Food in the Eastern Nile Basin21
Decomposing Three Decades of Nitrogen Emissions in Canada21
Multi‐Model Simulation of Solar Geoengineering Indicates Avoidable Destabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet21
Centennial Memory of the Arctic Ocean for Future Arctic Climate Recovery in Response to a Carbon Dioxide Removal21
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The Streamflow Response to Multi‐Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming and Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude21
Accelerating the Renewable Energy Revolution to Get Back to the Holocene21
The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate21
Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity21
Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers21
High Spatial Variability of Biomass Burning Emissions Observed at Three Tibetan Plateau Sites21
Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the Economy‐Wide Impacts From a Changing Wildfire Climate on a Regional Rural Landscape21
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields21
Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change21
Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer20
Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change20
New Insights Into Multi‐Component Atmospheric Wet Deposition Across China: A Multidimensional Analysis20
Quantifying Global Wetland Methane Emissions With In Situ Methane Flux Data and Machine Learning Approaches20
Low‐Altitude High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Is Feasible With Existing Aircraft20
Hydroclimatic Vulnerability of Wetlands to Upwind Land Use Changes20
Developing a Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble to Assess Climate Risks and Uncertainties20
Participatory Modeling for Analyzing Interactions Between High‐Priority Sustainable Development Goals to Promote Local Sustainability20
The Effects of Model Complexity on Model Output Uncertainty in Co‐Evolved Coupled Natural‐Human Systems20
Exposure of Global Rail and Road Infrastructures in Future Record‐Breaking Climate Extremes20
Envisioning Farm Power Subsidy for Groundwater Irrigation in India for Attaining SDGs20
Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions of 85 Federal Entities in Russia20
What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?19
CMIP6 Earth System Models Project Greater Acceleration of Climate Zone Change Due To Stronger Warming Rates19
Waning Greenhouse Gas Emissions From U.S. Federal Lease Coal Production by the Mid‐21st Century19
Long‐Term Variability in the Arabian Peninsula Droughts Driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation19
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems19
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Plant‐Level Emissions and Synergistic Control of Pollutants and Carbon Dioxide in China's Cement Industry Based on Real‐Time Monitoring Data19
Heterogeneities in Regional Air Pollutant Emission Mitigation Across China During 2012–202019
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Replacing Corn on Sloping Farmland by Bioenergy Crops With Optimized Harvest Frequencies: Implications for Soil and Water Conservation and Biofuel Production19
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