Earths Future

Article	Citations
Assessment to China's Recent Emission Pattern Shifts	334
Increased Flood Exposure Due to Climate Change and Population Growth in the United States	131
Global CO2Consumption by Silicate Rock Chemical Weathering: Its Past and Future	128
Regional Climate Sensitivity of Climate Extremes in CMIP6 Versus CMIP5 Multimodel Ensembles	116
The 2018–2020 Multi‐Year Drought Sets a New Benchmark in Europe	100
Identifying a Safe and Just Corridor for People and the Planet	99
Event‐Based Storylines to Address Climate Risk	91
Iran's Agriculture in the Anthropocene	89
Causes of the Widespread 2019–2020 Australian Bushfire Season	86
Seasonality, Intensity, and Duration of Rainfall Extremes Change in a Warmer Climate	82
Heat Stress Indicators in CMIP6: Estimating Future Trends and Exceedances of Impact‐Relevant Thresholds	82
Guidelines for Studying Diverse Types of Compound Weather and Climate Events	82
Projected Changes in Socioeconomic Exposure to Heatwaves in South Asia Under Changing Climate	81
Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales	80
Climate Change and Changes in Compound Coastal‐Riverine Flooding Hazard Along the U.S. Coasts	78
Analysis of Compound Climate Extremes and Exposed Population in Africa Under Two Different Emission Scenarios	78
Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change	76
Increasing Human‐Perceived Heat Stress Risks Exacerbated by Urbanization in China: A Comparative Study Based on Multiple Metrics	76
Remote Sensing Big Data for Water Environment Monitoring: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Prospects	75
The Pakistan Flood of August 2022: Causes and Implications	71
The Anthropocene: Comparing Its Meaning in Geology (Chronostratigraphy) with Conceptual Approaches Arising in Other Disciplines	71
TROPOMI NO2 in the United States: A Detailed Look at the Annual Averages, Weekly Cycles, Effects of Temperature, and Correlation With Surface NO2 Concentrations	71
High‐Resolution Data Sets for Global Carbonate and Silicate Rock Weathering Carbon Sinks and Their Change Trends	69
Nearly Half of Global Vegetated Area Experienced Inconsistent Vegetation Growth in Terms of Greenness, Cover, and Productivity	66
Tropical Cyclone Frequency	64

Tropical Cyclone Compound Flood Hazard Assessment: From Investigating Drivers to Quantifying Extreme Water Levels	64
Integrated Assessment of Urban Overheating Impacts on Human Life	63
Time Evolution of the Surface Urban Heat Island	61
Multisector Dynamics: Advancing the Science of Complex Adaptive Human‐Earth Systems	60
The State of the Art in Modeling Waterlogging Impacts on Plants: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know	58
Dual Influence of Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities on the Spatiotemporal Vegetation Dynamics Over the Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau From 1981 to 2015	57
Widespread Race and Class Disparities in Surface Urban Heat Extremes Across the United States	56
“Certain Uncertainty: The Role of Internal Climate Variability in Projections of Regional Climate Change and Risk Management”	56
Future Population Exposure to Daytime and Nighttime Heat Waves in South Asia	55
Selecting CMIP6 GCMs for CORDEX Dynamical Downscaling: Model Performance, Independence, and Climate Change Signals	54
Heatwaves in Southeast Asia and Their Changes in a Warmer World	54
Robustness of CMIP6 Historical Global Mean Temperature Simulations: Trends, Long‐Term Persistence, Autocorrelation, and Distributional Shape	54
Implications of CMIP6 Projected Drying Trends for 21st Century Amazonian Drought Risk	53
Risky Development: Increasing Exposure to Natural Hazards in the United States	53
Increased Global Vegetation Productivity Despite Rising Atmospheric Dryness Over the Last Two Decades	53
The Value of Initial Condition Large Ensembles to Robust Adaptation Decision‐Making	52
Climate Warming Consistently Reduces Grassland Ecosystem Productivity	51
Forecasting the Frequency and Magnitude of Postfire Debris Flows Across Southern California	50
Impacts of Global Climate Warming on Meteorological and Hydrological Droughts and Their Propagations	50
Responses of Precipitation and Runoff to Climate Warming and Implications for Future Drought Changes in China	50
The Value of Urban Flood Modeling	49
Urbanization Contributes Little to Global Warming but Substantially Intensifies Local and Regional Land Surface Warming	46
The COVID‐19 Pandemic Not Only Poses Challenges, but Also Opens Opportunities for Sustainable Transformation	46
Future Risks of Unprecedented Compound Heat Waves Over Three Vast Urban Agglomerations in China	45
Coastal Migration due to 21st Century Sea‐Level Rise	45
Exploring the Drivers of Global and Local Sea‐Level Change Over the 21st Century and Beyond	45
Cascading Hazards in the Aftermath of Australia's 2019/2020 Black Summer Wildfires	44
Amplified Drought and Flood Risk Under Future Socioeconomic and Climatic Change	43
Attributing and Projecting Heatwaves Is Hard: We Can Do Better	42
Hydrological Intensification Will Increase the Complexity of Water Resource Management	42
Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau Permafrost at Risk in the Late 21st Century	42
Phosphorus Supply Increases Nitrogen Transformation Rates and Retention in Soil: A Global Meta‐Analysis	41
Future Global Convective Environments in CMIP6 Models	41
The Greater Mekong's Climate‐Water‐Energy Nexus: How ENSO‐Triggered Regional Droughts Affect Power Supply and CO2 Emissions	40
Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate	40
Significant Increase of the Global Population Exposure to Increased Precipitation Extremes in the Future	40
Fates and Use Efficiency of Nitrogen Fertilizer in Maize Cropping Systems and Their Responses to Technologies and Management Practices: A Global Analysis on Field 15N Tracer Studies	40
Can Reservoir Regulation Along the Yellow River Be a Sustainable Way to Save a Sinking Delta?	40
Future Climate Change Hotspots Under Different 21st Century Warming Scenarios	39
Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk	39
Cold‐Season Arctic Amplification Driven by Arctic Ocean‐Mediated Seasonal Energy Transfer	39
Spatially Explicit Inventory of Sources of Nitrogen Inputs to the Yellow Sea, East China Sea, and South China Sea for the Period 1970–2010	38
Cloud‐Nucleating Particles Over the Southern Ocean in a Changing Climate	38
Biases Beyond the Mean in CMIP6 Extreme Precipitation: A Global Investigation	38
Uncertainties, Limits, and Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation for Soil Moisture Drought in Southwestern North America	38
High Sensitivity of Compound Drought and Heatwave Events to Global Warming in the Future	37
Dams and Climate Interact to Alter River Flow Regimes Across the United States	37
Climate Controls on River Chemistry	37
Explicit Calculations of Wet‐Bulb Globe Temperature Compared With Approximations and Why It Matters for Labor Productivity	36
How Much Food Can We Grow in Urban Areas? Food Production and Crop Yields of Urban Agriculture: A Meta‐Analysis	36

Intensifying Australian Heatwave Trends and Their Sensitivity to Observational Data	35
Assessing Shifts in Regional Hydroclimatic Conditions of U.S. River Basins in Response to Climate Change over the 21st Century	35
Impact of Rocket Launch and Space Debris Air Pollutant Emissions on Stratospheric Ozone and Global Climate	35
Projected Changes in Compound Flood Hazard From Riverine and Coastal Floods in Northwestern Europe	34
Quantifying the Uncertainty Sources of Future Climate Projections and Narrowing Uncertainties With Bias Correction Techniques	34
Identifying Key Drivers of Wildfires in the Contiguous US Using Machine Learning and Game Theory Interpretation	34
Patterns and Distributions of Urban Expansion in Global Watersheds	34
The Carbon Sink Potential of Southern China After Two Decades of Afforestation	33
Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections	33
The Arctic Ocean in CMIP6 Models: Biases and Projected Changes in Temperature and Salinity	33
The Digital Forest: Mapping a Decade of Knowledge on Technological Applications for Forest Ecosystems	33
Localized Scenarios and Latitudinal Patterns of Vertical and Lateral Resilience of Tidal Marshes to Sea‐Level Rise in the Contiguous United States	32
Effects of Vegetation Changes and Multiple Environmental Factors on Evapotranspiration Across China Over the Past 34 Years	32
Evaluating Participatory Modeling Methods for Co‐creating Pathways to Sustainability	32
Linking Total Precipitable Water to Precipitation Extremes Globally	32
Projected Changes in Increased Drought Risks Over South Asia Under a Warmer Climate	32
Can Exploratory Modeling of Water Scarcity Vulnerabilities and Robustness Be Scenario Neutral?	31
Sea Level Rise Driving Increasingly Predictable Coastal Inundation in Sydney, Australia	31
Future Land Use/Land Cover Change Has Nontrivial and Potentially Dominant Impact on Global Gross Primary Productivity	31
Past Variance and Future Projections of the Environmental Conditions Driving Western U.S. Summertime Wildfire Burn Area	31
Global Spatio‐Temporal Assessment of Changes in Multiple Ecosystem Services Under Four IPCC SRES Land‐use Scenarios	31
Implications of Increasing Household Air Conditioning Use Across the United States Under a Warming Climate	30
Projected Changes in Reference Evapotranspiration in California and Nevada: Implications for Drought and Wildland Fire Danger	30
Mapping 21st Century Global Coastal Land Reclamation	30
Urbanization Impacts on Evapotranspiration Across Various Spatio‐Temporal Scales	30
Hydrology as a Driver of Floating River Plastic Transport	29
Atmospheric River Precipitation Enhanced by Climate Change: A Case Study of the Storm That Contributed to California's Oroville Dam Crisis	29
Trends, Breaks, and Biases in the Frequency of Reported Glacier Lake Outburst Floods	29
Anthropogenic Effects on the Contemporary Sediment Budget of the Lower Rhine‐Meuse Delta Channel Network	29
The Asynergies of Structural Disaster Risk Reduction Measures: Comparing Floods and Earthquakes	29
Groundwater Rise and Associated Flooding in Coastal Settlements Due To Sea‐Level Rise: A Review of Processes and Methods	28
Increase in Population Exposure Due to Dry and Wet Extremes in India Under a Warming Climate	28
The Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions in the Jing‐Jin‐Ji Urban Agglomeration Over China's Economic Transition	28
How International Economic Sanctions Harm the Environment	28
Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics	28
Comparisons Between CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models: Simulations of Climate Indices Influencing Food Security, Infrastructure Resilience, and Human Health in Canada	28
Global Cooling Hiatus Driven by an AMOC Overshoot in a Carbon Dioxide Removal Scenario	28
Drivers and Mechanisms of the 2021 Pacific Northwest Heatwave	27
Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia	27
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century	27
Does Transfer Payments Promote Low‐Carbon Development of Resource‐Exhausted Cities in China?	27
Climate Change Determines Future Population Exposure to Summertime Compound Dry and Hot Events	27
Heterogeneous Spatial Effects of FDI on CO2 Emissions in China	27
Solar or Diesel: A Comparison of Costs for Groundwater‐Fed Irrigation in Sub‐Saharan Africa Under Two Energy Solutions	26
Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming	26
Contrasting Fate of Western Third Pole's Water Resources Under 21st Century Climate Change	26
Urbanization Amplified Asymmetrical Changes of Rainfall and Exacerbated Drought: Analysis Over Five Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin, China	26
Evaluation of the CMIP6 Precipitation Simulations Over Global Land	25
Changes in Global and Regional Characteristics of Heat Stress Waves in the 21st Century	25
Evolving Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the North Atlantic in a Warming Climate	25
Evaluation of Extreme Temperatures Over Australia in the Historical Simulations of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models	25
From Pleistocene to Pyrocene: Fire Replaces Ice	25
How May the Choice of Downscaling Techniques and Meteorological Reference Observations Affect Future Hydroclimate Projections?	25
From Flood to Drip Irrigation Under Climate Change: Impacts on Evapotranspiration and Groundwater Recharge in the Mediterranean Region of Valencia (Spain)	24
Detectable Human Influence on Changes in Precipitation Extremes Across China	24
Flash Drought: Review of Concept, Prediction and the Potential for Machine Learning, Deep Learning Methods	24
Decadal Variability of Winter Warm Arctic‐Cold Eurasia Dipole Patterns Modulated by Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation	24
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO2 Removal in the Bering Sea	24
Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluating the Performance of Regional Climate Projections for Southeast Australia for 1950–2100	24
From Anthropocene to Noosphere: The Great Acceleration	24
Quantifying On‐Farm Nitrous Oxide Emission Reductions in Food Supply Chains	24
A Warming Climate Adds Complexity to Post‐Fire Hydrologic Hazard Planning	24
Projected Increases in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Productivity Loss Caused by Drought Under Climate Change	24
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic	24
Future Changes in Climate and Hydroclimate Extremes in East Africa	23
Bridging the Gap Between Biofuels and Biodiversity Through Monetizing Environmental Services of Miscanthus Cultivation	23
Representing Socio‐Economic Uncertainty in Human System Models	23
Australian Coastal Flooding Trends and Forcing Factors	23
Rates of Historical Anthropogenic Soil Erosion in the Midwestern United States	23
Mapping the Vulnerability of Arctic Wetlands to Global Warming	22
Fire and Ice: The Impact of Wildfire‐Affected Albedo and Irradiance on Glacier Melt	22
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa	22
Uncertainty Analysis in Multi‐Sector Systems: Considerations for Risk Analysis, Projection, and Planning for Complex Systems	22
What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?	22
Global Marine Heatwaves and Cold‐Spells in Present Climate to Future Projections	22
Impact‐Based Forecasting for Pluvial Floods	22
Anthropogenic Warming and Population Growth May Double US Heat Stress by the Late 21st Century	21
Predominant Type of Dust Storms That Influences Air Quality Over Northern China and Future Projections	21
Projected Changes to Hydroclimate Seasonality in the Continental United States	21
Vulnerability to Water Shortage Under Current and Future Water Supply‐Demand Conditions Across U.S. River Basins	21

Advancing the Evidence Base of Future Warming Impacts on Human Mobility in African Drylands	21
Inundation of Stormwater Infrastructure Is Common and Increases Risk of Flooding in Coastal Urban Areas Along the US Atlantic Coast	21
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Incorporating Climate‐Change‐Driven Sea Level Rise	21
SSP‐Based Land‐Use Change Scenarios: A Critical Uncertainty in Future Regional Climate Change Projections	20
Net‐Zero CO2 Germany—A Retrospect From the Year 2050	20
The Upper Tail of Precipitation in Convection‐Permitting Regional Climate Models and Their Utility in Nonstationary Rainfall and Flood Frequency Analysis	20
Projections of Mountain Snowpack Loss for Wolverine Denning Elevations in the Rocky Mountains	20
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields	20
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners	20
Quantitative Stress Test of Compound Coastal‐Fluvial Floods in China's Pearl River Delta	19
Scaling Deep Decarbonization Technologies	19
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle	19
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa	19
Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States	19
A Simulation‐Based Framework for Earthquake Risk‐Informed and People‐Centered Decision Making on Future Urban Planning	19
Modulation of Land Photosynthesis by the Indian Ocean Dipole: Satellite‐Based Observations and CMIP6 Future Projections	19
Heatwaves Similar to the Unprecedented One in Summer 2021 Over Western North America Are Projected to Become More Frequent in a Warmer World	19
Stable ≠ Sustainable: Delta Dynamics Versus the Human Need for Stability	19
CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections	19
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes	18
Projections of Freshwater Use in the United States Under Climate Change	18
How to Balance Green and Grain in Marginal Mountainous Areas?	18
The Climatic Impact‐Driver Framework for Assessment of Risk‐Relevant Climate Information	18
Living With Fire and the Need for Diversity	18
Irreversible and Large‐Scale Heavy Metal Pollution Arising From Increased Damming and Untreated Water Reuse in the Nile Delta	18
Multivariate Analysis of Compound Flood Hazard Across Canada's Atlantic, Pacific and Great Lakes Coastal Areas	18
Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models	18
Global Flash Drought Analysis: Uncertainties From Indicators and Datasets	18
Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing	18
A Participatory Science Approach to Expanding Instream Infrastructure Inventories	17
Contextualizing Climate Change Impacts on Human Mobility in African Drylands	17
Potential for Electric Vehicle Adoption to Mitigate Extreme Air Quality Events in China	17
The Implications of Global Change for the Co‐Evolution of Argentina's Integrated Energy‐Water‐Land Systems	17
A Review of Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty Applications Using Green Infrastructure for Flood Management	17
Resilience of School Systems Following Severe Earthquakes	17
A Cross‐Cutting Approach for Relating Anthropocene, Environmental Injustice and Sacrifice Zones	17
New LiDAR‐Based Elevation Model Shows Greatest Increase in Global Coastal Exposure to Flooding to Be Caused by Early‐Stage Sea‐Level Rise	17
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands	17
Uncovering the Past and Future Climate Drivers of Wheat Yield Shocks in Europe With Machine Learning	17
Do Longer Dry Spells Associated With Warmer Years Compound the Stress on Global Water Resources?	17
Significant Land Contributions to Interannual Predictability of East Asian Summer Monsoon Rainfall	17
Projecting Climate Dependent Coastal Flood Risk With a Hybrid Statistical Dynamical Model	17
Projecting Compound Flood Hazard Under Climate Change With Physical Models and Joint Probability Methods	17
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems	17
Different Spatiotemporal Patterns in Global Human Population and Built‐Up Land	16
Scenarios of Human Responses to Unprecedented Social‐Environmental Extreme Events	16
Increased Risk of Extreme Precipitation Over an Urban Agglomeration With Future Global Warming	16
Using a New Top‐Down Constrained Emissions Inventory to Attribute the Previously Unknown Source of Extreme Aerosol Loadings Observed Annually in the Monsoon Asia Free Troposphere	16
Spatial Heterogeneity of Vegetation Resilience Changes to Different Drought Types	16
A Multivariate Scaling System Is Essential to Characterize the Tropical Cyclones' Risk	16
Defining the “Ice Shed” of the Arctic Ocean's Last Ice Area and Its Future Evolution	16
Knowledge Priorities on Climate Change and Water in the Upper Indus Basin: A Horizon Scanning Exercise to Identify the Top 100 Research Questions in Social and Natural Sciences	16
A Holistic Assessment of 1979–2016 Global Cryospheric Extent	16
Monitoring Landsat Based Burned Area as an Indicator of Sustainable Development Goals	16
Eight Archetypes of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Synergies and Trade‐Offs	15
Probabilistic Evaluation of Drought in CMIP6 Simulations	15
The Effects of Climate Change on Interregional Electricity Market Dynamics on the U.S. West Coast	15
Amplification Effect of Urbanization on Atmospheric Aridity Over China Under Past Global Warming	15
Reservoir Governance in World's Water Towers Needs to Anticipate Multi‐purpose Use	15
Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta	15
Multi‐Region Multi‐Sector Contributions to Drivers of Air Pollution in China	15
Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China	15
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast	15
Causal Impacts of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on Global Soil Moisture Over the Period 2015–2100	15
Landslide Hazard and Exposure Modelling in Data‐Poor Regions: The Example of the Rohingya Refugee Camps in Bangladesh	15
Linking Critical Zone With Watershed Science: The Example of the Heihe River Basin	14
Water Smart Cities Increase Irrigation to Provide Cool Refuge in a Climate Crisis	14
Comparing Patterns of Hurricane Washover into Built and Unbuilt Environments	14
Global Projections of Storm Surges Using High‐Resolution CMIP6 Climate Models	14
Future Flood Risk Exacerbated by the Dynamic Impacts of Sea Level Rise Along the Northern Gulf of Mexico	14
Impact of Quasi‐Idealized Future Land Cover Scenarios at High Latitudes in Complex Terrain	14
Linear and Nonlinear Trend Analyzes in Global Satellite‐Based Precipitation, 1998–2017	14
Observation‐Constrained Projection of Flood Risks and Socioeconomic Exposure in China	14
Wetter California Projected by CMIP6 Models With Observational Constraints Under a High GHG Emission Scenario	14
Disentangling the Impacts of Anthropogenic Aerosols on Terrestrial Carbon Cycle During 1850–2014	14
Arctic Ocean Freshwater in CMIP6 Coupled Models	14
The Political Complexity of Coastal Flood Risk Reduction: Lessons for Climate Adaptation Public Works in the U.S.	14
Lake Ice Will Be Less Safe for Recreation and Transportation Under Future Warming	14
Decreasing Dust Over the Middle East Partly Caused by Irrigation Expansion	14
Building a Global Ecosystem Research Infrastructure to Address Global Grand Challenges for Macrosystem Ecology	14
Past, Present, and Future Pacific Sea‐Level Change	14
How Low Should We Alert? Quantifying Intensity Threshold Alerting Strategies for Earthquake Early Warning in the United States	14
Terrestrial Stilling Projected to Continue in the Northern Hemisphere Mid‐Latitudes	14
The Spatiotemporal Evolution of Rainfall Extremes in a Changing Climate: A CONUS‐Wide Assessment Based on Multifractal Scaling Arguments	14
Ensemble Drought Exposure Projection for Multifactorial Interactive Effects of Climate Change and Population Dynamics: Application to the Pearl River Basin	14
Global Economic Structure Transition Boosts Atmospheric Mercury Emissions in China	14
Atmospheric Contributions to the Reversal of Surface Temperature Anomalies Between Early and Late Winter Over Eurasia	14
The Potential Impact of a Clean Energy Society on Air Quality	14
Using Biomimicry to Support Resilient Infrastructure Design	14
Land Policy for Flood Risk Management—Toward a New Working Paradigm	14
A Typology for Characterizing Human Action in MultiSector Dynamics Models	14
Global Modeling of Seasonal Mortality Rates From River Floods	14
Potential of Land‐Neutral Negative Emissions Through Biochar Sequestration	13
Timing and Order of Extreme Drought and Wetness Determine Bioclimatic Sensitivity of Tree Growth	13
Transient and Quasi‐Equilibrium Climate States at 1.5°C and 2°C Global Warming	13