OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The median citation count of Earths Future is 5. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-09-01 to 2025-09-01.)

Article	Citations
	487
	180
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models	159
Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty	153
Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS	140
Wetland Gain and Loss in the Mississippi River Bird‐Foot Delta	128
Inorganic Nitrogen Nutrition in Boreal Plants Is Underestimated and Insensitive to Environmental Changes	127
Issue Information	126
Historical and Projected Cropland Impacts of Heatwaves in Central Asia Under Climate Change	118
Irreversible Land Water Availability Changes From a Potential ITCZ Shift During Temperature Overshoot	116
Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index	105
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events	96
The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region	88
Global Wet/Dry Patterns and Mechanisms Since the Last Glacial Maximum: A Key to Future Projection	88
Time Evolution of the Surface Urban Heat Island	84
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends	84
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People	83
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources	81
Defining the “Ice Shed” of the Arctic Ocean's Last Ice Area and Its Future Evolution	80
Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States	79
Issue Information	79
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle	77
Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise	74
A Safety Factor Approach to Designing Urban Infrastructure for Dynamic Conditions	73
Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise	69

Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes	68
Changes in Compound Extreme Events and Their Impacts on Cropland Productivity in China, 1985–2019	68
Is Reservoir Storage Effectively Utilized in the Southeastern US? A Regional Assessment to Improve Water Supply Availability Considering Potential Storage and Flood Scenarios	67
Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate	64
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China	63
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion	62
Research Priorities for Climate Litigation	62
	62
Meteorological Influences on Anthropogenic PM_2.5 in Future Climates: Species Level Analysis in the Community Earth System Model v2	60
A Demonstration of a Simple Methodology of Flood Prediction for a Coastal City Under Threat of Sea Level Rise: The Case of Norfolk, VA, USA	60
Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming	59
Issue Information	58
Issue Information	56
Assessing the Time of Emergence of Marine Ecosystems From Global to Local Scales Using IPSL‐CM6A‐LR/APECOSM Climate‐To‐Fish Ensemble Simulations	55
Issue Information	55
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau	55
Characterizing Compound Inland Flooding Mechanisms and Risks in North America Under Climate Change	54
Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean	54
Different Strategies of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Would Significantly Affect Climate Extreme Mitigation	54
Evaluating Adaptation Pathways in a Complex Multi‐Risk System	52
Projecting Future Fire Regimes in a Semiarid Watershed of the Inland Northwestern United States: Interactions Among Climate Change, Vegetation Productivity, and Fuel Dynamics	51
Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection	51
Hysteretic Behavior of Global to Regional Monsoon Area Under CO₂ Ramp‐Up and Ramp‐Down	51
Climate‐Driven Sea Level Rise Exacerbates Alaskan and Cascadian Tsunami Hazards in Southern California: Implications to Design Parameters	51
Balancing Physical and Human‐Driven Morphodynamic Changes: Insights From the Pearl River Estuary	50
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Could Prevent Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline, But Injection Location is Key	49
The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise	48
Net‐Zero CO₂ Germany—A Retrospect From the Year 2050	47
Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling	47
Widespread Unquantified Conversion of Old Boreal Forests to Plantations	47
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic	47
Aotearoa New Zealand's 21st‐Century Wildfire Climate	46
Controls of Ecohydrological Grassland Dynamics in Agrivoltaic Systems	46
Will Anthropogenic Warming Increase Evapotranspiration? Examining Irrigation Water Demand Implications of Climate Change in California	46
Fire and Ice: The Impact of Wildfire‐Affected Albedo and Irradiance on Glacier Melt	45
Global Lake Health in the Anthropocene: Societal Implications and Treatment Strategies	43
A Convergence Science Approach to Understanding the Changing Arctic	43
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century	42
Remote Sensing Big Data for Water Environment Monitoring: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Prospects	42
Hydrological Intensification Will Increase the Complexity of Water Resource Management	42
Measuring and Attributing Sedimentary and Geomorphic Responses to Modern Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities	41
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast	41
Extension of Large Fire Emissions From Summer to Autumn and Its Drivers in the Western US	41
Heat and Moisture Anomalies During Crop Failure Events in the Southeastern Australian Wheat Belt	40
Issue Information	39
Incorporating Intensity Distance Attenuation Into PLUM Ground‐Motion‐Based Earthquake Early Warning in the United States: The APPLES Configuration	39
The Contribution of Microrefugia to Landscape Thermal Inertia for Climate‐Adaptive Conservation Strategies	39
Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning	39
Issue Information	39
Rainfall and Salinity Effects on Future Pacific Climate Change	38

High‐Temperature Exposure and Land Transactions in China	38
Quantifying the Safe Operating Space for Land‐System SDG Achievement via Machine Learning and Scenario Discovery	37
Projecting Future Chronic Coastal Hazard Impacts, Hotspots, and Uncertainty at Regional Scale	37
Future Changes in δ¹³C of Dissolved Inorganic Carbon in the Ocean	37
Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study	37
Enhancing Urban Thermal Environment and Energy Sustainability With Temperature‐Adaptive Radiative Roofs	36
Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Non‐Linear Changes	35
Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP6	35
Mass Extinctions and Their Relationship With Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration: Implications for Earth's Future	35
Current and Future Patterns of Global Wildfire Based on Deep Neural Networks	35
Ice Sheet and Climate Processes Driving the Uncertainty in Projections of Future Sea Level Rise: Findings From a Structured Expert Judgement Approach	35
Projecting Multiscale River Flood Changes Across Japan at +2°C and +4°C Climates	35
Soil Moisture Memory of Land Surface Models Utilized in Major Reanalyses Differ Significantly From SMAP Observation	34
Interacting Sea‐Level Rise, Sea‐Ice Loss, Storm Flooding, Erosion, and Permafrost Thaw Threaten Ecosystems, Wildlife, and Communities on the Yukon‐Kuskokwim Delta	34
Assessing the Socio‐Economic Effects of Carbon Capture, Utility and Storage Investment From the Perspective of Carbon Neutrality in China	34
El Niño Intensified Fog Formation in the Namib Desert	33
Relationship of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to Soil Nitrogen Cycling Along an Elevation Gradient in the Colorado Front Range	33
Drivers of Future Indian Ocean Warming and Its Spatial Pattern in CMIP Models	33
Estimating the Global Influence of Cover Crops on Ecosystem Service Indicators in Croplands With the LPJ‐GUESS Model	33
Predicting the Start of the Growing Season in Boreal Forest Under High and Low Emission Scenarios	33
Antarctic Biosecurity Policy Effectively Manages the Rates of Alien Introductions	33
Global and Regional Drivers of Power Plant CO₂Emissions Over the Last Three Decades Revealed From Unit‐Based Database	33
Water Availability in China's Oases Decreased Between 1987 and 2017	32
A Multivariate Scaling System Is Essential to Characterize the Tropical Cyclones' Risk	32
The Critical Role of Hydrological Distance in Shaping Nutrient Dynamics Along the Watershed‐Lake Continuum	32
Anthropogenic Climate Change Negatively Impacts Vegetation and Forage Conditions in the Greater Four Corners Region	31
Coronavirus: The Not‐So‐Trivial Loss of Well‐Being	31
Reply to Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Meetpal S. Kukal	31
Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century	31
Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Anukesh Krishnankutty Ambika and Vimal Mishra	31
Dryland Watersheds in Flux: How Nitrogen Deposition and Changing Precipitation Regimes Shape Nitrogen Export	30
Small Ponds as Carbon Emission and Burial Hotspots in Lowland Agricultural Landscape	30
Upper Bounds of Maximum Land Surface Temperatures in a Warming Climate and Limits to Plant Growth	30
The Limited Effect of Reduced Typhoon Frequency on Stream Hydrochemistry in a Subtropical Forest Watershed	30
STAR‐ESDM: A Generalizable Approach to Generating High‐Resolution Climate Projections Through Signal Decomposition	30
Responses of the Natural Phytoplankton Assemblage to Patagonian Dust Input and Anthropogenic Changes in the Southern Ocean	30
Forest Dieback in Drinking Water Protection Areas—A Hidden Threat to Water Quality	30
Projected Changes to Characteristics of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode Events in the CMIP6 Models	29
A Bioeconomic Projection of Climate‐Induced Wildfire Risk in the Forest Sector	29
A Comparative Study of the Argo‐Era Ocean Heat Content Among Four Different Types of Data Sets	29
Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges	29
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change	29
The Anthropocene Is More Than a Time Interval	28
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Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 2100	28
Inflated Negative Impacts of Temperature On Global Agricultural Yields Due To Ozone Omission	28
Analyzing the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Forests Carbon Sink and Sources Between 2000 and 2019	28
Understanding Europe's Forest Harvesting Regimes	27
Old‐Growth Forest Area Projected to Increase on United States Federal Lands Under Alternative Future Scenarios	27
2021 Heatwave Over Western North America: Structural Uncertainty and Internal Variability in GCM Projections of Humidex and Temperature Extremes	27
Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau	27
Issue Information	27
Pan‐Arctic Assessment of Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw	27
Urbanization Contributes Little to Global Warming but Substantially Intensifies Local and Regional Land Surface Warming	27
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Thank You to Our 2024 Reviewers	27
A Review of Advances in Flash Drought Research: Challenges and Future Directions	27
Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States	27
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners	27
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Assessing the Effect of Glacier Runoff Changes on Basin Runoff and Agricultural Production in the Indus, Amu Darya, and Tarim Interior Basins	26
Increased Significance of Global Concurrent Hazards From 1981 to 2020	26
Potential Vorticity Dynamics Explain How Extratropical Oceans and the Arctic Modulate Wintertime Land‐Temperature Variations	26
Advancing the Modeling of Future Climate and Innovation Impacts on Perennial Crops to Support Adaptation: A Case Study of California Almonds	26
Potential Impacts on Ozone and Climate From a Proposed Fleet of Supersonic Aircraft	26
Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty	25
Persistent Extreme Surface Solar Radiation and Its Implications on Solar Photovoltaics	25
Geophysical Uncertainties in Air Pollution Exposure and Benefits of Emissions Reductions for Global Health	25
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO₂ Removal in the Bering Sea	25
Assessment of Global Dengue Transmission Risk Under Future Climate Scenarios	25
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Stabilize Northern Hemisphere Terrestrial Permafrost Under the ARISE‐SAI‐1.5 Scenario	25
Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Potential to Overcome Reactive Flood Adaptation in the Continental US	25
Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China	25
Planning for Climate Migration in Great Lake Legacy Cities	25
Projections of Lightning‐Ignited Wildfire Risk in the Western United States	25
Investigating Potential Ecological Benefits From Mariculture	25
Tracking Interprovincial Flows of Atmospheric PAH Emissions Through Downscaling Estimates With Province‐Specific Emission Factors	25
	25
Land Reclamation Controls on Multi‐Centennial Estuarine Evolution	25
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Compounding Tides and Sea Level Rise	25

Socio‐Ecological Impacts of the Investment of Urban Nature in Heat Mitigation for Two Megacities	24
Anthropogenic Dust as a Significant Source of Ice‐Nucleating Particles in the Urban Environment	24
Understanding Climate Change and Anthropogenic Impacts on the Salinization of Low‐Lying Coastal Groundwater Systems	24
An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)	24
Projected Changes in Socioeconomic Exposure to Heatwaves in South Asia Under Changing Climate	24
Partitioning the Uncertainties in Compound Hot and Dry Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Runoff Extremes Projections in CMIP6	24
Climate Controls on River Chemistry	24
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau	23
Evaluating How Climate Adaptation Measures Affect the Interconnected Water‐Energy Resource Systems of the Western United States	23
Natural Denudation Versus Anthropogenically Accelerated Erosion in Central Brazil: A Confrontation of Time and Space Scales	23
The Case for the Anthropocene Epoch Is Stronger Than the Case for the Holocene Epoch	23
Elevated Forest Canopy Loss After Wildfires in Moist and Cool Forests in the Pacific Northwest	23
Issue Information	23
A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks	23
Assessing Global and Regional Trends in Spatially Co‐Occurring Hot or Wet Annual Maxima Under Climate Change	23
Uncovering the Dynamic Drivers of Floods Through Interpretable Deep Learning	23
How Low Should We Alert? Quantifying Intensity Threshold Alerting Strategies for Earthquake Early Warning in the United States	23
Drivers of Future Physical Water Scarcity and Its Economic Impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean	23
A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification	22
Characterizing Climatic Socio‐Environmental Tipping Points in Coastal Communities: A Conceptual Framework for Research and Practice	22
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa	22
Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections	22
A National‐Scale Coastal Flood Hazard Assessment for the Atoll Nation of Tuvalu	22
Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise?	22
Carbon Cycle Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection With Multiple Temperature Stabilization Targets and Strategies	22
Systemic Financial Risk Arising From Residential Flood Losses	22
Projections of Peak Water Timing From the East Rongbuk Glacier, Mt. Everest, Using a Higher‐Order Ice Flow Model	22
Satellite Observed Land Surface Greening in Summer Controlled by the Precipitation Frequency Rather Than Its Total Over Tibetan Plateau	22
Landslide Hazard Is Projected to Increase Across High Mountain Asia	22
Centennial Memory of the Arctic Ocean for Future Arctic Climate Recovery in Response to a Carbon Dioxide Removal	22
Sustainability Evaluation of the Doughnut Economics: A Bibliometric Analysis	22
Global‐Scale Shifts in Rooting Depths Due To Anthropocene Land Cover Changes Pose Unexamined Consequences for Critical Zone Functioning	22
Mapping Water, Energy and Carbon Footprints Along Urban Agglomeration Supply Chains	21
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa	21
Reviving the Aral Sea: A Hydro‐Eco‐Social Perspective	21
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields	21
Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR6	21
Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity	21
The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate	21
Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change	21
Spatio‐Temporal Dynamics of Aboveground Biomass in China's Oasis Grasslands Between 1989 and 2021	21
Melting Alpine Water Towers Aggravate Downstream Low Flows: A Stress‐Test Storyline Approach	20
New Insights Into Multi‐Component Atmospheric Wet Deposition Across China: A Multidimensional Analysis	20
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands	20
High Spatial Variability of Biomass Burning Emissions Observed at Three Tibetan Plateau Sites	20
Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers	20
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Decomposing Three Decades of Nitrogen Emissions in Canada	20
Developing a Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble to Assess Climate Risks and Uncertainties	20
Hydroclimatic Vulnerability of Wetlands to Upwind Land Use Changes	19
Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer	19
Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean	19
The Streamflow Response to Multi‐Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming and Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude	19
Satellites Reveal Spatial Heterogeneity in Dryland Photovoltaic Plants' Effects on Vegetation Dynamics	19
Heterogeneities in Regional Air Pollutant Emission Mitigation Across China During 2012–2020	19
The Effects of Model Complexity on Model Output Uncertainty in Co‐Evolved Coupled Natural‐Human Systems	19
Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions of 85 Federal Entities in Russia	19
Accelerating the Renewable Energy Revolution to Get Back to the Holocene	19
Exposure of Global Rail and Road Infrastructures in Future Record‐Breaking Climate Extremes	19
What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?	19
Quantifying Global Wetland Methane Emissions With In Situ Methane Flux Data and Machine Learning Approaches	19
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems	19
Low‐Altitude High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Is Feasible With Existing Aircraft	19
Future Pathways of Water, Energy, and Food in the Eastern Nile Basin	19
Participatory Modeling for Analyzing Interactions Between High‐Priority Sustainable Development Goals to Promote Local Sustainability	19
Long‐Term Variability in the Arabian Peninsula Droughts Driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation	19
Multi‐Model Simulation of Solar Geoengineering Indicates Avoidable Destabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet	19
Future Soil Erosion Risk in China: Differences in Erosion Driven by General and Extreme Precipitation Under Climate Change	19
Urbanization Amplified Asymmetrical Changes of Rainfall and Exacerbated Drought: Analysis Over Five Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin, China	18
Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the Economy‐Wide Impacts From a Changing Wildfire Climate on a Regional Rural Landscape	18
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Population Exposure Projections to Intensified Summer Heat	18
Inference of Wildfire Causes From Their Physical, Biological, Social and Management Attributes	18
Changes in United States Summer Temperatures Revealed by Explainable Neural Networks	18
Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance	18
Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change	18
Development of a Multi‐Region Power System Risk Management Model for Supporting China's Carbon Neutrality Ambition in 2060s	18
Ground‐Truth: Can Forest Carbon Protocols Ensure High‐Quality Credits?	18
Reversal Asymmetry of Rainfall Change Over the Indian Ocean During the Radiative Forcing Increase and Stabilization	18
The Projected Response of the Water Cycle to Global Warming Over Drylands in East Asia	18
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CMIP6 Earth System Models Project Greater Acceleration of Climate Zone Change Due To Stronger Warming Rates	18
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Recent Water Constraints Mediate the Dominance of Climate and Atmospheric CO₂ on Vegetation Growth Across China	18
Increasing Mosquito Abundance Under Global Warming	18
The Dichotomy of Wet and Dry Trends Over India by Aerosol Indirect Effects in CMIP5 Models	18
Irreversible and Large‐Scale Heavy Metal Pollution Arising From Increased Damming and Untreated Water Reuse in the Nile Delta	17
How Extreme Events in China Would Be Affected by Global Warming—Insights From a Bias‐Corrected CMIP6 Ensemble	17
Replacing Corn on Sloping Farmland by Bioenergy Crops With Optimized Harvest Frequencies: Implications for Soil and Water Conservation and Biofuel Production	17
Issue Information	17
Leveraging Governance Performance to Enhance Climate Resilience	17
Future Extreme Precipitation in Summer Will Become More Widespread in China Depending on Level of Warming	17
Dietary Transition Determining the Tradeoff Between Global Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals Varied in Regions	17
Delayed Onset of Indian Summer Monsoon in Response to CO₂ Removal	17
Plant‐Level Emissions and Synergistic Control of Pollutants and Carbon Dioxide in China's Cement Industry Based on Real‐Time Monitoring Data	17