OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Earth System Dynamics is 11. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-11-01 to 2025-11-01.)

Article	Citations
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO₂ and non-CO₂ overshoot pathways	282
Beyond tipping points: risks, equity, and the ethics of intervention	209
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE	179
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration on atmosphere and ocean disentangled	170
Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture	116
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery	86
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis	86
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models	77
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes	76
Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels	72
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	69
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles	69
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability	63
Sedimentary microplankton distributions are shaped by oceanographically connected areas	59
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world	57
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	52
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	46
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO₂ flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	40
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	40
Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts	39
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events	38
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO₂ uptake	36
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates	36
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model	36
The European summer heatwave of 2019 – a regional storyline perspective	35

Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes	34
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points	33
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	32
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6	30
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables	28
Changes in apparent temperature and PM_2.5 around the Beijing–Tianjin megalopolis under greenhouse gas and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenarios	27
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model	26
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review	26
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5	25
Future changes in regional inter-monthly precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors	24
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations	24
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates	23
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition	22
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe	22
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes	20
Global stability and tipping point prediction in a coral–algae model using landscape–flux theory	19
Earth's future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution	19
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate	19
AR6 updates to RF by GHGs and aerosols lowers the probability of accomplishing the Paris Agreement compared to AR5 formulations	19
Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends	19
Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region	18
Freshwater input from glacier melt outside Greenland alters modeled northern high-latitude ocean circulation	17
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO₂	17
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	17
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems	16
The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond	16
Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries	16
Storylines of future drought in the face of uncertain rainfall projections: a New Zealand case study	16
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy	16
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO₂ emissions on future glacial cycles	16
Process-based analysis of terrestrial carbon flux predictability	16
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments	15
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations	15
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance	15
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles	15
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability	14
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming	14
Paleogeographic numerical modeling of marginal seas for the Holocene – an exemplary study of the Baltic Sea	14
High probability of triggering climate tipping points under current policies modestly amplified by Amazon dieback and permafrost thaw	14
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin	14
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios	14
Simple physics-based adjustments reconcile the results of Eulerian and Lagrangian techniques for moisture tracking in atmospheric rivers	14
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics	13
Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system	13
A new biogeochemical modelling framework (FLaMe-v1.0) for lake methane emissions on the regional scale: development and application to the European domain	13
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics	13
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble	13
The impacts of elevated CO₂ on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest	12
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends	12
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?	12

Seamless seasonal to multi-annual predictions of temperature and Standardized Precipitation Index by constraining transient climate model simulations	12
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy	12
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China	12
CO₂ surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?	12
Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways	11
Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems	11
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress	11
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	11