OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Earth System Dynamics is 11. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-08-01 to 2025-08-01.)

Article	Citations
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO₂ and non-CO₂ overshoot pathways	249
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration on atmosphere and ocean disentangled	190
Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture	158
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis	155
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery	102
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE	84
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models	81
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes	77
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	74
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles	70
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO₂ flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	70
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability	66
Sedimentary microplankton distributions are shaped by oceanographically connected areas	61
Modelling forest ruin due to climate hazards	58
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	54
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	50
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	50
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world	50
Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts	39
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables	38
The European summer heatwave of 2019 – a regional storyline perspective	36
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points	34
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO₂ uptake	33
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates	33
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events	33

Changes in apparent temperature and PM_2.5 around the Beijing–Tianjin megalopolis under greenhouse gas and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenarios	33
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	32
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model	30
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model	30
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6	30
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review	30
Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes	30
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5	28
Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region	24
Sea level dynamics and coastal erosion in the Baltic Sea region	23
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate	23
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition	22
Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends	21
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates	21
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe	21
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes	20
Freshwater input from glacier melt outside Greenland alters modeled northern high-latitude ocean circulation	19
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations	19
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance	18
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems	18
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO₂	18
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	18
Process-based analysis of terrestrial carbon flux predictability	18
The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond	18
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments	16
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO₂ emissions on future glacial cycles	16
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles	16
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy	16
Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries	15
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability	15
High probability of triggering climate tipping points under current policies modestly amplified by Amazon dieback and permafrost thaw	15
The sensitivity of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to volcanic aerosol spatial distribution in the MPI Grand Ensemble	15
Paleogeographic numerical modeling of marginal seas for the Holocene – an exemplary study of the Baltic Sea	15
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios	14
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin	14
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble	13
Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system	13
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics	13
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics	13
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?	12
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends	12
CO₂ surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?	12
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China	11
The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints	11
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations	11
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	11
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy	11
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon	11
The impacts of elevated CO₂ on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest	11
Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways	11

Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points