OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Earth System Dynamics is 11. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-01-01 to 2026-01-01.)

Article	Citations
Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture	225
Climate change metrics: bridging IPCC AR6 updates and dynamic life cycle assessments	192
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE	184
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO ₂ and non-CO ₂ overshoot pathways	123
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery	92
Beyond tipping points: risks, equity, and the ethics of intervention	88
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration on atmosphere and ocean disentangled	84
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis	84
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes	77
Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels	71
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models	65
How polar-midlatitude atmospheric teleconnections depend on regional sea ice fraction and global warming level	63
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	47
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world	46
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO ₂ flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	43
Sedimentary microplankton distributions are shaped by oceanographically connected areas	42
Spatiotemporal variation of growth–stage specific concurrent climate extremes and their impacts on rice yield in southern China	39
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	38
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles	38
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability	38
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	35
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	33
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model	30
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points	30
Changes in apparent temperature and PM _2.5 around the Beijing–Tianjin megalopolis under greenhouse gas and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenari	30

Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO ₂ uptake	27
The European summer heatwave of 2019 – a regional storyline perspective	27
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates	26
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	25
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables	25
Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts	24
Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes	22
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events	22
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review	21
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6	21
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations	21
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate	20
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5	20
Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends	19
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates	18
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes	18
Global stability and tipping point prediction in a coral–algae model using landscape–flux theory	17
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model	17
Future changes in regional inter-monthly precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors	17
Earth's future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution	17
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe	17
AR6 updates to RF by GHGs and aerosols lowers the probability of accomplishing the Paris Agreement compared to AR5 formulations	17
Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries	16
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition	16
Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region	16
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	15
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles	15
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance	15
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments	14
Freshwater input from glacier melt outside Greenland alters modeled northern high-latitude ocean circulation	14
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO ₂	14
The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond	14
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy	14
Storylines of future drought in the face of uncertain rainfall projections: a New Zealand case study	14
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations	14
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios	13
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin	13
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems	13
Paleogeographic numerical modeling of marginal seas for the Holocene – an exemplary study of the Baltic Sea	13
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics	13
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming	13
High probability of triggering climate tipping points under current policies modestly amplified by Amazon dieback and permafrost thaw	13
Simple physics-based adjustments reconcile the results of Eulerian and Lagrangian techniques for moisture tracking in atmospheric rivers	12
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?	12
Seamless seasonal to multi-annual predictions of temperature and Standardized Precipitation Index by constraining transient climate model simulations	12
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics	12
A new biogeochemical modelling framework (FLaMe-v1.0) for lake methane emissions on the regional scale: development and application to the European domain	12
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends	12
Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system	12
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy	12

CO ₂ surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?	12
The impacts of elevated CO ₂ on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest	11
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon	11
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China	11
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations	11
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress	11
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	11