OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Earth System Dynamics is 10. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-07-01 to 2026-07-01.)

Article	Citations
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO ₂ and non-CO ₂ overshoot pathways	213
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE	130
Climate change metrics: bridging IPCC AR6 updates and dynamic life cycle assessments	82
Beyond tipping points: risks, equity, and the ethics of intervention	62
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis	60
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration on atmosphere and ocean disentangled	58
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery	50
Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture	48
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models	45
How polar-midlatitude atmospheric teleconnections depend on regional sea ice fraction and global warming level	43
Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels	43
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes	38
A theoretical framework to understand sources of error in Earth System Model emulation	35
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability	34
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles	34
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	31
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO ₂ flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	31
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world	29
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events	28
Spatiotemporal variation of growth–stage specific concurrent climate extremes and their impacts on rice yield in southern China	28
Changes in apparent temperature and PM _2.5 around the Beijing–Tianjin megalopolis under greenhouse gas and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenari	27
Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts	26
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables	25
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates	24
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points	24

Developing Guidelines for working with Multi-Model Ensembles in CMIP	24
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO ₂ uptake	24
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6	23
Emerging global freshwater challenges unveiled through observation-constrained projections	23
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model	22
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	21
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review	20
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes	20
The European summer heatwave of 2019 – a regional storyline perspective	20
Earth's future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution	20
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate	19
Global stability and tipping point prediction in a coral–algae model using landscape–flux theory	19
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5	19
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model	18
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates	18
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe	17
Future changes in regional inter-monthly precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors	17
AR6 updates to RF by GHGs and aerosols lowers the probability of accomplishing the Paris Agreement compared to AR5 formulations	17
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition	16
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO ₂	16
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments	16
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance	16
Strong intensification of extreme fire weather in Europe under 3 °C compared to 2 °C global warming	16
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems	16
Storylines of future drought in the face of uncertain rainfall projections: a New Zealand case study	16
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations	16
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations	16
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	16
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles	15
Freshwater input from glacier melt outside Greenland alters modeled northern high-latitude ocean circulation	15
The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond	15
Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries	15
A new biogeochemical modelling framework (FLaMe-v1.0) for lake methane emissions on the regional scale: development and application to the European domain	14
Paleogeographic numerical modeling of marginal seas for the Holocene – an exemplary study of the Baltic Sea	14
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming	14
Simple physics-based adjustments reconcile the results of Eulerian and Lagrangian techniques for moisture tracking in atmospheric rivers	14
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics	14
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics	13
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin	13
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy	13
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios	13
Seamless seasonal to multi-annual predictions of temperature and Standardized Precipitation Index by constraining transient climate model simulations	13
High probability of triggering climate tipping points under current policies modestly amplified by Amazon dieback and permafrost thaw	13
The impacts of elevated CO ₂ on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest	12
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China	12
CMIP6 multi-model assessment of Northeast Atlantic and German Bight storm activity	12
Assessing the impact of the Human Development Index on historical trends in the INFERNO fire model	12
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations	12
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress	12
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends	12

Deep learning-based chlorophyll prediction: comparison with a dynamic model and applications to fish catch forecasting	12
An EOF-Based Emulator of Means and Covariances of Monthly Climate Fields	11
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon	11
Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems	11
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	11
Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways	11
Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points	11
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social–ecological multi-layer network model	10
The long-term impact of transgressing planetary boundaries on biophysical atmosphere–land interactions	10
Carbon–climate feedback higher when assuming Michaelis–Menten kinetics of respiration	10
Influence of floodplains and groundwater dynamics on the present-day climate simulated by the CNRM climate model	10
Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?	10
The implications of maintaining Earth's hemispheric albedo symmetry for shortwave radiative feedbacks	10
Observation-based temperature and freshwater noise over the Atlantic Ocean	10
Estimating freshwater flux amplification with ocean tracers via linear response theory	10