OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Earth System Dynamics is 10. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-12-01 to 2025-12-01.)

Article	Citations
Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture	288
Climate change metrics: bridging IPCC AR6 updates and dynamic life cycle assessments	219
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE	188
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO ₂ and non-CO ₂ overshoot pathways	176
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration on atmosphere and ocean disentangled	118
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery	89
Beyond tipping points: risks, equity, and the ethics of intervention	83
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis	80
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	79
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes	74
Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels	70
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models	65
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	61
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	54
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO ₂ flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	46
Spatiotemporal variation of growth–stage specific concurrent climate extremes and their impacts on rice yield in southern China	43
Sedimentary microplankton distributions are shaped by oceanographically connected areas	43
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world	40
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability	37
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles	37
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events	36
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates	36
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	36
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	35
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables	33

Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts	30
Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes	29
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points	28
Changes in apparent temperature and PM _2.5 around the Beijing–Tianjin megalopolis under greenhouse gas and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenari	27
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO ₂ uptake	26
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6	26
The European summer heatwave of 2019 – a regional storyline perspective	25
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model	25
Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region	22
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review	22
Future changes in regional inter-monthly precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors	21
Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends	20
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition	20
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate	20
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes	19
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates	19
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5	18
AR6 updates to RF by GHGs and aerosols lowers the probability of accomplishing the Paris Agreement compared to AR5 formulations	17
Earth's future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution	17
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe	17
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations	17
Global stability and tipping point prediction in a coral–algae model using landscape–flux theory	17
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model	17
Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries	16
Storylines of future drought in the face of uncertain rainfall projections: a New Zealand case study	16
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations	16
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments	16
Freshwater input from glacier melt outside Greenland alters modeled northern high-latitude ocean circulation	15
The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond	15
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance	15
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO ₂	15
Process-based analysis of terrestrial carbon flux predictability	14
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability	14
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles	14
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy	14
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	14
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics	13
Simple physics-based adjustments reconcile the results of Eulerian and Lagrangian techniques for moisture tracking in atmospheric rivers	13
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics	13
High probability of triggering climate tipping points under current policies modestly amplified by Amazon dieback and permafrost thaw	13
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems	13
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin	13
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming	13
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble	12
Paleogeographic numerical modeling of marginal seas for the Holocene – an exemplary study of the Baltic Sea	12
A new biogeochemical modelling framework (FLaMe-v1.0) for lake methane emissions on the regional scale: development and application to the European domain	12
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends	12
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios	12
Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system	11
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China	11

Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points	11
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?	11
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy	11
Seamless seasonal to multi-annual predictions of temperature and Standardized Precipitation Index by constraining transient climate model simulations	11
CO ₂ surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?	11
The impacts of elevated CO ₂ on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest	11
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	10
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon	10
Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways	10
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations	10
Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems	10
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress	10