OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The median citation count of Earth System Dynamics is 4. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2020-11-01 to 2024-11-01.)

Article	Citations
Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6	291
Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming	224
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability	165
Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence	155
The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections	124
Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021	110
Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models	110
Climate change in the Baltic Sea region: a summary	99
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble	75
Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?	70
Coupling human and natural systems for sustainability: experience from China's Loess Plateau	64
Vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019	58
Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6	57
Sea level dynamics and coastal erosion in the Baltic Sea region	56
Salinity dynamics of the Baltic Sea	55
Evaluating the dependence structure of compound precipitation and wind speed extremes	54
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	46
Oceanographic regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea until 2100	46
Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region	44
Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning	41
Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa	37
Storylines of weather-induced crop failure events under climate change	35
Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields	35
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	34
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	33

Modelled land use and land cover change emissions – a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches	32
Assessment of a full-field initialized decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth	30
Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6	29
Atmospheric regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea region until 2100	27
The extremely warm summer of 2018 in Sweden – set in a historical context	27
Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios	26
Comparison of uncertainties in land-use change fluxes from bookkeeping model parameterisation	25
A continued role of short-lived climate forcers under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways	25
Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts	24
The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints	24
Comparing interannual variability in three regional single-model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) over Europe	24
Expanding the design space of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering to include precipitation-based objectives and explore trade-offs	24
Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate	23
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble	23
Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops	22
Soil organic carbon dynamics from agricultural management practices under climate change	21
Impacts of compound hot–dry extremes on US soybean yields	21
An updated assessment of past and future warming over France based on a regional observational constraint	21
Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models	20
How modelling paradigms affect simulated future land use change	19
Synchronized spatial shifts of Hadley and Walker circulations	19
Divergent historical GPP trends among state-of-the-art multi-model simulations and satellite-based products	18
Historical and future contributions of inland waters to the Congo Basin carbon balance	17
A dynamical systems characterization of atmospheric jet regimes	17
The future of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation: using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences	16
Carbon dioxide removal via macroalgae open-ocean mariculture and sinking: an Earth system modeling study	16
A new view of heat wave dynamics and predictability over the eastern Mediterranean	16
Semi-equilibrated global sea-level change projections for the next 10 000 years	16
Space–time dependence of compound hot–dry events in the United States: assessment using a multi-site multi-variable weather generator	16
Indices of extremes: geographic patterns of change in extremes and associated vegetation impacts under climate intervention	16
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions on future glacial cycles	15
Spatiotemporal patterns of synchronous heavy rainfall events in East Asia during the Baiu season	15
Diverging land-use projections cause large variability in their impacts on ecosystems and related indicators for ecosystem services	14
Evaluation of convection-permitting extreme precipitation simulations for the south of France	14
Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study	14
Spatiotemporal patterns and drivers of terrestrial dissolved organic carbon (DOC) leaching into the European river network	14
Coupled regional Earth system modeling in the Baltic Sea region	14
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO₂flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	14
Exploring the coupled ocean and atmosphere system with a data science approach applied to observations from the Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition	14
Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems	13
Impact of bioenergy crop expansion on climate–carbon cycle feedbacks in overshoot scenarios	13
Countries most exposed to individual and concurrent extremes and near-permanent extreme conditions at different global warming levels	12
The synergistic impact of ENSO and IOD on Indian summer monsoon rainfall in observations and climate simulations – an information theory perspective	12
The thermal response of small and shallow lakes to climate change: new insights from 3D hindcast modelling	12
How large is the design space for stratospheric aerosol geoengineering?	12
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations	12
Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe	12
Temperatures from energy balance models: the effective heat capacity matters	12
Stratospheric ozone and quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) interaction with the tropical troposphere on intraseasonal and interannual timescales: a normal-mode perspective	12
A methodology for the spatiotemporal identification of compound hazards: wind and precipitation extremes in Great Britain (1979–2019)	12

Resolving ecological feedbacks on the ocean carbon sink in Earth system models	11
Extreme metrics from large ensembles: investigating the effects of ensemble size on their estimates	11
Abrupt climate change as a rate-dependent cascading tipping point	11
Sensitivity of land–atmosphere coupling strength to changing atmospheric temperature and moisture over Europe	11
Present and future European heat wave magnitudes: climatologies, trends, and their associated uncertainties in GCM-RCM model chains	11
Reliability of resilience estimation based on multi-instrument time series	11
Impact of urbanization on the thermal environment of the Chengdu–Chongqing urban agglomeration under complex terrain	10
Climate-controlled root zone parameters show potential to improve water flux simulations by land surface models	10
Weather extremes over Europe under 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming from HAPPI regional climate ensemble simulations	10
Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability	10
The half-order energy balance equation – Part 1: The homogeneous HEBE and long memories	10
Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high-resolution, site-specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes	9
Evaluation of global teleconnections in CMIP6 climate projections using complex networks	9
Complex network analysis of fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>): transport and clustering	9
STITCHES: creating new scenarios of climate model output by stitching together pieces of existing simulations	9
Parameter uncertainty dominates C-cycle forecast errors over most of Brazil for the 21st century	9
Multiscale fractal dimension analysis of a reduced order model of coupled ocean–atmosphere dynamics	9
The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty	9
Bookkeeping estimates of the net land-use change flux – a sensitivity study with the CMIP6 land-use dataset	9
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles	8
Rankings of extreme and widespread dry and wet events in the Iberian Peninsula between 1901 and 2016	8
Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal timescales – a poor man's initialized prediction system	8
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	8
MIROC6 Large Ensemble (MIROC6-LE): experimental design and initial analyses	8
Robust global detection of forced changes in mean and extreme precipitation despite observational disagreement on the magnitude of change	8
Trends and uncertainties of mass-driven sea-level change in the satellite altimetry era	8
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	8
Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model	8
The fractional energy balance equation for climate projections through 2100	8
The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models	8
First assessment of the earth heat inventory within CMIP5 historical simulations	8
MESMER-M: an Earth system model emulator for spatially resolved monthly temperature	8
Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends	7
Dating hiatuses: a statistical model of the recent slowdown in global warming and the next one	7
The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models	7
The ExtremeX global climate model experiment: investigating thermodynamic and dynamic processes contributing to weather and climate extremes	7
Indian Ocean marine biogeochemical variability and its feedback on simulated South Asia climate	7
Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks	7
Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall	7
Glacial runoff buffers droughts through the 21st century	7
The sensitivity of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to volcanic aerosol spatial distribution in the MPI Grand Ensemble	7
Continental heat storage: contributions from the ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing	6
Time-varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to local scale	6
The half-order energy balance equation – Part 2: The inhomogeneous HEBE and 2D energy balance models	6
Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes	6
Accounting for surface waves improves gas flux estimation at high wind speed in a large lake	6
Daytime low-level clouds in West Africa – occurrence, associated drivers, and shortwave radiation attenuation	6
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables	6
Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options	6
Regime-oriented causal model evaluation of Atlantic–Pacific teleconnections in CMIP6	6
The rate of information transfer as a measure of ocean–atmosphere interactions	6
Climate change projections of terrestrial primary productivity over the Hindu Kush Himalayan forests	6
Biases in the albedo sensitivity to deforestation in CMIP5 models and their impacts on the associated historical radiative forcing	5
The response of the regional longwave radiation balance and climate system in Europe to an idealized afforestation experiment	5
Hemispherically symmetric strategies for stratospheric aerosol injection	5
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy	5
Assessing sensitivities of climate model weighting to multiple methods, variables, and domains in the south-central United States	5
Seasonal discharge response to temperature-driven changes in evaporation and snow processes in the Rhine Basin	5
On the additivity of climate responses to the volcanic and solar forcing in the early 19th century	5
Water transport among the world ocean basins within the water cycle	5
The response of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling under different aerosol-based radiation management geoengineering	5
Role of mean and variability change in changes in European annual and seasonal extreme precipitation events	4
Interannual global carbon cycle variations linked to atmospheric circulation variability	4
Future sea level contribution from Antarctica inferred from CMIP5 model forcing and its dependence on precipitation ansatz	4
The global impact of the transport sectors on the atmospheric aerosol and the resulting climate effects under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)	4
Bayesian estimation of Earth's climate sensitivity and transient climate response from observational warming and heat content datasets	4
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	4
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations	4
Improving the prediction of the Madden–Julian Oscillation of the ECMWF model by post-processing	4
Ensemble forecast of an index of the Madden–Julian Oscillation using a stochastic weather generator based on circulation analogs	4
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review	4
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress	4
How does the phytoplankton–light feedback affect the marine N₂O inventory?	4
Economic impacts of a glacial period: a thought experiment to assess the disconnect between econometrics and climate sciences	4