Earth System Dynamics

Article	Citations
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO2 and non-CO2 overshoot pathways	249
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration on atmosphere and ocean disentangled	190
Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture	158
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis	155
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery	102
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE	84
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models	81
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes	77
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	74
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles	70
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	70
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability	66
Sedimentary microplankton distributions are shaped by oceanographically connected areas	61
Modelling forest ruin due to climate hazards	58
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	54
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	50
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	50
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world	50
Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts	39
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables	38
The European summer heatwave of 2019 – a regional storyline perspective	36
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points	34
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake	33
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates	33
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events	33

Changes in apparent temperature and PM2.5 around the Beijing–Tianjin megalopolis under greenhouse gas and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenarios	33
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	32
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model	30
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model	30
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6	30
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review	30
Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes	30
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5	28
Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region	24
Sea level dynamics and coastal erosion in the Baltic Sea region	23
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate	23
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition	22
Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends	21
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates	21
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe	21
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes	20
Freshwater input from glacier melt outside Greenland alters modeled northern high-latitude ocean circulation	19
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations	19
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance	18
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems	18
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO2	18
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	18
Process-based analysis of terrestrial carbon flux predictability	18
The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond	18
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments	16
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on future glacial cycles	16
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles	16
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy	16
Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries	15
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability	15
High probability of triggering climate tipping points under current policies modestly amplified by Amazon dieback and permafrost thaw	15
The sensitivity of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to volcanic aerosol spatial distribution in the MPI Grand Ensemble	15
Paleogeographic numerical modeling of marginal seas for the Holocene – an exemplary study of the Baltic Sea	15
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios	14
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin	14
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble	13
Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system	13
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics	13
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics	13
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?	12
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends	12
CO2 surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?	12
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China	11
The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints	11
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations	11
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	11
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy	11
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon	11
The impacts of elevated CO2 on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest	11
Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways	11

Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points	11
Absence of causality between seismic activity and global warming	10
Indian Ocean marine biogeochemical variability and its feedback on simulated South Asia climate	10
The long-term impact of transgressing planetary boundaries on biophysical atmosphere–land interactions	10
Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems	10
Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?	10
Observation-based temperature and freshwater noise over the Atlantic Ocean	10
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress	10
Estimating freshwater flux amplification with ocean tracers via linear response theory	9
Past and future response of the North Atlantic warming hole to anthropogenic forcing	9
Seasonal forecasting skill for the High Mountain Asia region in the Goddard Earth Observing System	9
The implications of maintaining Earth's hemispheric albedo symmetry for shortwave radiative feedbacks	9
Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall	9
Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops	9
The fractional energy balance equation for climate projections through 2100	9
The response of the regional longwave radiation balance and climate system in Europe to an idealized afforestation experiment	9
Influence of floodplains and groundwater dynamics on the present-day climate simulated by the CNRM climate model	9
A simple physical model for glacial cycles	8
Regional dynamical and statistical downscaling temperature, humidity and wind speed for the Beijing region under stratospheric aerosol injection geoengineering	8
Parameter uncertainty dominates C-cycle forecast errors over most of Brazil for the 21st century	8
Diagnosing aerosol–meteorological interactions on snow within Earth system models: a proof-of-concept study over High Mountain Asia	8
Nonlinear causal dependencies as a signature of the complexity of the climate dynamics	8
Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models	8
Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land cover and land management changes	8
Atmospheric regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea region until 2100	8
Soil organic carbon dynamics from agricultural management practices under climate change	8
Exploring the opportunities and challenges of using large language models to represent institutional agency in land system modelling	8
Countries most exposed to individual and concurrent extremes and near-permanent extreme conditions at different global warming levels	8
Tipping cascades between conflict and cooperation in climate change	8
Disentangling the climate divide with emotional patterns: a network-based mindset reconstruction approach	8
Process-based estimate of global-mean sea-level changes in the Common Era	7
The perfect storm? Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa	7
Diagnosing the causes of AMOC slowdown in a coupled model: a cautionary tale	7
Spatiotemporal changes in the boreal forest in Siberia over the period 1985–2015 against the background of climate change	7
Sensitivity of land–atmosphere coupling strength to changing atmospheric temperature and moisture over Europe	7
Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability	7
Indices of extremes: geographic patterns of change in extremes and associated vegetation impacts under climate intervention	7
Early opportunity signals of a tipping point in the UK's second-hand electric vehicle market	7
Change in negative emission burden between an overshoot versus peak-shaved stratospheric aerosol injection pathway	7
Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation	7
The global impact of the transport sectors on the atmospheric aerosol and the resulting climate effects under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)	7
Detecting the human fingerprint in the summer 2022 western–central European soil drought	7
Carbon dioxide removal via macroalgae open-ocean mariculture and sinking: an Earth system modeling study	7
Continental heat storage: contributions from the ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing	7
Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model	7
Changing effects of external forcing on Atlantic–Pacific interactions	6
How can solar geoengineering and mitigation be combined under climate targets?	6
Advancing the estimation of future climate impacts within the United States	6
Understanding variations in downwelling longwave radiation using Brutsaert's equation	6
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization	6
The interaction of solar radiation modification with Earth system tipping elements	6
Hemispherically symmetric strategies for stratospheric aerosol injection	6
Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe	6
ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement	6
Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	5
Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning	5
An updated assessment of past and future warming over France based on a regional observational constraint	5
The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections	5
Observation-inferred resilience loss of the Amazon rainforest possibly due to internal climate variability	5
Ensemble forecast of an index of the Madden–Julian Oscillation using a stochastic weather generator based on circulation analogs	5
Developing the Svalbard Integrated Arctic Earth Observing System (SIOS)	5
Synchronization phenomena observed in glacial–interglacial cycles simulated in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity	5
Estimating ocean heat content from the ocean thermal expansion parameters using satellite data	5
Effect of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on atmospheric pCO2 variations	5
Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high-resolution, site-specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes	5
Coupling human and natural systems for sustainability: experience from China's Loess Plateau	4
Natural marine bromoform emissions in the fully coupled ocean–atmosphere model NorESM2	4
Multiscale fractal dimension analysis of a reduced order model of coupled ocean–atmosphere dynamics	4
Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models	4
The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models	4
Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6	4
Atmospheric rivers in CMIP5 climate ensembles downscaled with a high-resolution regional climate model	4
Sea-ice thermodynamics can determine waterbelt scenarios for Snowball Earth	4
Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods	4
How does the phytoplankton–light feedback affect the marine N2O inventory?	4
Ensemble design for seasonal climate predictions: studying extreme Arctic sea ice lows with a rare event algorithm	4
Low confidence in multi-decadal trends of wind-driven upwelling across the Benguela Upwelling System	4
Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep-ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3	4
The state of global catastrophic risk research: a bibliometric review	4
Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways	4

Resilience of UK crop yields to compound climate change	4
A global threshold model of enabling conditions for social tipping in pro-environmental behaviours – the role of sea level rise anticipation and climate change concern	4
Improving the prediction of the Madden–Julian Oscillation of the ECMWF model by post-processing	4