OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The median citation count of Earth System Dynamics is 4. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-04-01 to 2025-04-01.)

Article	Citations
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE	250
Disentangling the climate divide with emotional patterns: a network-based mindset reconstruction approach	220
A methodology for the spatiotemporal identification of compound hazards: wind and precipitation extremes in Great Britain (1979–2019)	169
Towards robust community assessments of the Earth's climate sensitivity	134
Atmospheric rivers in CMIP5 climate ensembles downscaled with a high-resolution regional climate model	134
Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods	133
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics	101
Considerations for determining warm-water coral reef tipping points	89
Interannual land cover and vegetation variability based on remote sensing data in the HTESSEL land surface model: implementation and effects on simulated water dynamics	72
Seasonal discharge response to temperature-driven changes in evaporation and snow processes in the Rhine Basin	70
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO₂ and non-CO₂ overshoot pathways	69
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble	66
Exploring the coupled ocean and atmosphere system with a data science approach applied to observations from the Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition	64
The sensitivity of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to volcanic aerosol spatial distribution in the MPI Grand Ensemble	59
Stable stadial and interstadial states of the last glacial's climate identified in a combined stable water isotope and dust record from Greenland	56
Complex network analysis of fine particulate matter (PM_2.5): transport and clustering	55
Are physiological and ecosystem-level tipping points caused by ocean acidification? A critical evaluation	51
The global impact of the transport sectors on the atmospheric aerosol and the resulting climate effects under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)	47
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin	43
Regime-oriented causal model evaluation of Atlantic–Pacific teleconnections in CMIP6	42
The perfect storm? Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa	39
Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways	32
Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture	31
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios	31
Multiscale fractal dimension analysis of a reduced order model of coupled ocean–atmosphere dynamics	30

First comprehensive assessment of industrial-era land heat uptake from multiple sources	30
Improving the prediction of the Madden–Julian Oscillation of the ECMWF model by post-processing	29
Indices of extremes: geographic patterns of change in extremes and associated vegetation impacts under climate intervention	29
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis	28
Climatology and trends of concurrent temperature extremes in the global extratropics	27
Tipping points in coupled human–environment system models: a review	27
Carbon budget concept and its deviation through the pulse response lens	26
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration on atmosphere and ocean disentangled	25
Detecting the human fingerprint in the summer 2022 western–central European soil drought	25
MIROC6 Large Ensemble (MIROC6-LE): experimental design and initial analyses	25
Carbon dioxide removal via macroalgae open-ocean mariculture and sinking: an Earth system modeling study	24
Future water storage changes over the Mediterranean, Middle East, and North Africa in response to global warming and stratospheric aerosol intervention	23
Salinity dynamics of the Baltic Sea	21
Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability	21
Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models	21
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics	20
Early opportunity signals of a tipping point in the UK's second-hand electric vehicle market	18
Reliability of resilience estimation based on multi-instrument time series	18
Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe	17
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes	17
Chaotic oceanic excitation of low-frequency polar motion variability	16
Evaluation of global teleconnections in CMIP6 climate projections using complex networks	16
A 20-year satellite-reanalysis-based climatology of extreme precipitation characteristics over the Sinai Peninsula	16
Classification of synoptic circulation patterns with a two-stage clustering algorithm using the modified structural similarity index metric (SSIM)	16
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy	16
Climate-controlled root zone parameters show potential to improve water flux simulations by land surface models	15
CO₂ surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?	15
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority	15
Sensitivity of land–atmosphere coupling strength to changing atmospheric temperature and moisture over Europe	15
Modelling sea-level fingerprints of glaciated regions with low mantle viscosity	15
Dynamic savanna burning emission factors based on satellite data using a machine learning approach	14
Distribution-based pooling for combination and multi-model bias correction of climate simulations	14
The impacts of elevated CO₂ on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest	14
Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model	14
How does the phytoplankton–light feedback affect the marine N₂O inventory?	14
Storylines of weather-induced crop failure events under climate change	14
The effects of diachronous surface uplift of the European Alps on regional climate and the oxygen isotopic composition of precipitation	14
Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models	13
ESD Ideas: A 6-year oscillation in the whole Earth system?	13
The aerosol pathway is crucial for observationally constraining climate sensitivity and anthropogenic forcing	13
Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation	13
ESD Ideas: planetary antifragility: a new dimension in the definition of the safe operating space for humanity	13
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China	13
Accounting for surface waves improves gas flux estimation at high wind speed in a large lake	13
ESD Ideas: Exoplanet, origins of life and biosphere researchers offer a perspective fundamental to ensuring humanity's future	12
Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks	12
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?	11
Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system	11
Continental heat storage: contributions from the ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing	11
Resilience of UK crop yields to compound climate change	10

Present and future European heat wave magnitudes: climatologies, trends, and their associated uncertainties in GCM-RCM model chains	10
Evaluation of convection-permitting extreme precipitation simulations for the south of France	10
The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints	10
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends	10
Emergent constraints for the climate system as effective parameters of bulk differential equations	10
Extreme metrics from large ensembles: investigating the effects of ensemble size on their estimates	10
Spatiotemporal changes in the boreal forest in Siberia over the period 1985–2015 against the background of climate change	10
Extremely warm European summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation	9
Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios	9
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models	9
Diagnosing the causes of AMOC slowdown in a coupled model: a cautionary tale	9
Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models	9
MESMER-M: an Earth system model emulator for spatially resolved monthly temperature	9
Spatiotemporal patterns and drivers of terrestrial dissolved organic carbon (DOC) leaching into the European river network	8
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	8
The half-order energy balance equation – Part 1: The homogeneous HEBE and long memories	8
Editorial: Global warming is due to an enhanced greenhouse effect, and anthropogenic heat emissions currently play a negligible role at the global scale	8
Process-based estimate of global-mean sea-level changes in the Common Era	8
The Indonesian Throughflow circulation under solar geoengineering	8
Vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019	8
Advancing the estimation of future climate impacts within the United States	8
Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways	8
The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models	8
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	8
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability	8
Modelling forest ruin due to climate hazards	7
First assessment of the earth heat inventory within CMIP5 historical simulations	7
Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study	7
Glacial runoff buffers droughts through the 21st century	7
Understanding pattern scaling errors across a range of emissions pathways	7
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	7
Sedimentary microplankton distributions are shaped by oceanographically connected areas	6
A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps	6
Hemispherically symmetric strategies for stratospheric aerosol injection	6
Impact of bioenergy crop expansion on climate–carbon cycle feedbacks in overshoot scenarios	6
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world	6
Is time a variable like the others in multivariate statistical downscaling and bias correction?	6
How can solar geoengineering and mitigation be combined under climate targets?	6
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations	6
ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement	6
Trivial improvements in predictive skill due to direct reconstruction of the global carbon cycle	6
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	6
Understanding variations in downwelling longwave radiation using Brutsaert's equation	6
Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points	6
ESD Ideas: A weak positive feedback between sea level and the planetary albedo	5
Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems	5
Earth system economics: a biophysical approach to the human component of the Earth system	5
Contrasting responses of vegetation productivity to intraseasonal rainfall in Earth system models	5
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress	5
Changing effects of external forcing on Atlantic–Pacific interactions	5
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization	5
Storylines of summer Arctic climate change constrained by Barents–Kara seas and Arctic tropospheric warming for climate risk assessment	5
Combining local model calibration with the emergent constraint approach to reduce uncertainty in the tropical land carbon cycle feedback	5
ESD Ideas: Positive tipping points towards global regenerative systems	5
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	4
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO₂ flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	4
Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6	4
Modelled land use and land cover change emissions – a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches	4
Observation-based temperature and freshwater noise over the Atlantic Ocean	4
Modelling the effect of aerosol and greenhouse gas forcing on the South Asian and East Asian monsoons with an intermediate-complexity climate model	4
Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5	4
Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	4
Impacts of North American forest cover changes on the North Atlantic Ocean circulation	4
Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model	4
Environmental drivers and remote sensing proxies of post-fire thaw depth in eastern Siberian larch forests	4
Future changes in compound explosive cyclones and atmospheric rivers in the North Atlantic	4
Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems	4
Climate change in the Baltic Sea region: a summary	4
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon	4
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles	4
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points	4
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	4
Weather extremes over Europe under 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming from HAPPI regional climate ensemble simulations	4