Epidemics

Papers
(The TQCC of Epidemics is 9. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-05-01 to 2025-05-01.)
ArticleCitations
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience179
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: Focusing on the case of Greece84
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact65
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies62
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine57
A prospective real-time transfer learning approach to estimate influenza hospitalizations with limited data54
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission48
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review37
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview37
A method to estimate the serial interval distribution under partially-sampled data36
Realtime case study simulations of transmission of Pancreas Disease (PD) in Norwegian salmonid farming for disease control purposes32
Contribution and quality of mathematical modeling evidence in World Health Organization guidelines: A systematic review31
Age-time-specific transmission of hand-foot-and-mouth disease enterovirus serotypes in Vietnam: A catalytic model with maternal immunity28
Assessing the nationwide impact of COVID-19 mitigation policies on the transmission rate of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil28
Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of HPV infection: A long-term retrospective study in Hokkien Golden Triangle, China, 2013–202125
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them24
Estimating the impact of test–trace–isolate–quarantine systems on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Australia23
The effective reproductive number: Modeling and prediction with application to the multi-wave Covid-19 pandemic22
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates21
A phenomenological approach to predicting tuberculosis cases with an assessment of measurement errors20
Modelling COVID-19 in the North American region with a metapopulation network and Kalman filter20
Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco20
Modelling outbreak response impact in human vaccine-preventable diseases: A systematic review of differences in practices between collaboration types before COVID-1920
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-1919
The triple epidemics of arboviruses in Feira de Santana, Brazilian Northeast: Epidemiological characteristics and diffusion patterns19
The impact of household size on measles transmission: A long-term perspective19
Mumps epidemic dynamics in the United States before vaccination (1923–1932)19
Ensemble2: Scen19
Extending EpiEstim to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study18
Serodynamics: A primer and synthetic review of methods for epidemiological inference using serological data18
Estimating transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different intraspatial levels in an institutional outbreak18
Building in-house capabilities in health agencies and outsourcing to academia or industry: Considerations for effective infectious disease modelling18
Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting18
Understanding MRSA clonal competition within a UK hospital; the possible importance of density dependence18
A model for reconstructing trends and distribution in age at first sex from multiple household surveys with reporting biases18
A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities17
First wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Santiago Chile: Seroprevalence, asymptomatic infection and infection fatality rate17
Optimizing spatial distribution of wastewater-based epidemiology to advance health equity16
The effects of HIV self-testing on HIV incidence and awareness of status among men who have sex with men in the United States: Insights from a novel compartmental model16
Coordinated support for local action: Modeling strategies to facilitate behavior adoption in urban-poor communities of Liberia for sustained COVID-19 suppression16
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis16
Retrospective modelling of the disease and mortality burden of the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Zurich, Switzerland15
Estimating the global reduction in transmission and rise in detection capacity of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 in early 202015
Dynamic network strategies for SARS-CoV-2 control on a cruise ship15
Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub14
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer14
Complex model calibration through emulation, a worked example for a stochastic epidemic model14
A simulation-based approach for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data13
Social contact patterns among employees in 3 U.S. companies during early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, April to June 202013
Variation in pneumococcal invasiveness metrics is driven by serotype carriage duration and initial risk of disease13
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration12
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue12
Outbreak reconstruction with a slowly evolving multi-host pathogen: A comparative study of three existing methods on Mycobacterium bovis outbreaks12
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy12
RAMPVIS: Answering the challenges of building visualisation capabilities for large-scale emergency responses12
Advancing genomic epidemiology by addressing the bioinformatics bottleneck: Challenges, design principles, and a Swiss example12
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida11
A country-specific model of COVID-19 vaccination coverage needed for herd immunity in adult only or population wide vaccination programme11
Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 surveillance and beyond: A survey11
Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number11
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva11
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden11
Impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in Switzerland11
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)11
Effective strategies to promote HIV self-testing for men who have sex with men: Evidence from a mathematical model11
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics11
Bayesian monitoring of COVID-19 in Sweden11
Estimating measures to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia to guide a ‘National Plan’ to reopening11
Transmission dynamics of an antimicrobial resistant Campylobacter jejuni lineage in New Zealand’s commercial poultry network11
Lives saved by public health restrictions over the Victorian COVID-19 Delta variant epidemic wave, Aug-Nov 202110
Modeling the transmission of antibiotic-resistant Enterobacterales in the community: A systematic review10
Using video-analysis technology to estimate social mixing and simulate influenza transmission at a mass gathering10
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–200810
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology10
Challenges in evaluating risks and policy options around endemic establishment or elimination of novel pathogens10
Estimating age-stratified transmission and reproduction numbers during the early exponential phase of an epidemic: A case study with COVID-19 data10
Globally local: Hyper-local modeling for accurate forecast of COVID-199
Reconstructing the first COVID-19 pandemic wave with minimal data in England9
A case for ongoing structural support to maximise infectious disease modelling efficiency for future public health emergencies: A modelling perspective9
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics9
Assessing the risk of cascading COVID-19 outbreaks from prison-to-prison transfers9
Dose response for Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis and other nontyphoid enteric salmonellae9
The confounding effect of multi-type human papillomavirus infections on type-specific natural history parameter identification9
A new logistic growth model applied to COVID-19 fatality data9
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design9
The impact of reactive case detection on malaria transmission in Zanzibar in the presence of human mobility9
Malaria temporal dynamic clustering for surveillance and intervention planning9
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