OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Epidemics is 8. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-05-01 to 2026-05-01.)

Article	Citations
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine	108
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact	44
A prospective real-time transfer learning approach to estimate influenza hospitalizations with limited data	32
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review	30
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: Focusing on the case of Greece	27
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview	27
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience	27
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission	27
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies	27
Sequential federated analysis of early outbreak data applied to incubation period estimation	27
A method to estimate the serial interval distribution under partially-sampled data	26
Supporting LGBTQ+ epidemiologists in the UK during research-related travel and international collaboration	25
Contribution and quality of mathematical modeling evidence in World Health Organization guidelines: A systematic review	25
Age-time-specific transmission of hand-foot-and-mouth disease enterovirus serotypes in Vietnam: A catalytic model with maternal immunity	25
Mumps epidemic dynamics in the United States before vaccination (1923–1932)	24
The impact of household size on measles transmission: A long-term perspective	22
Modelling outbreak response impact in human vaccine-preventable diseases: A systematic review of differences in practices between collaboration types before COVID-19	22
Ensemble	22
Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of HPV infection: A long-term retrospective study in Hokkien Golden Triangle, China, 2013–2021	22
A phenomenological approach to predicting tuberculosis cases with an assessment of measurement errors	21
The effective reproductive number: Modeling and prediction with application to the multi-wave Covid-19 pandemic	20
Modelling COVID-19 in the North American region with a metapopulation network and Kalman filter	20
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them	19
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates	18
Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco	18

Estimating transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different intraspatial levels in an institutional outbreak	17
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-19	17
A binary prototype for time-series surveillance and intervention	17
Estimating the impact of test–trace–isolate–quarantine systems on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Australia	17
A model for reconstructing trends and distribution in age at first sex from multiple household surveys with reporting biases	16
Building in-house capabilities in health agencies and outsourcing to academia or industry: Considerations for effective infectious disease modelling	15
Optimizing spatial distribution of wastewater-based epidemiology to advance health equity	15
A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities	15
Wastewater-based surveillance for influenza and respiratory syncytial virus: Insights from a 21-month study in Oklahoma	15
The effects of HIV self-testing on HIV incidence and awareness of status among men who have sex with men in the United States: Insights from a novel compartmental model	15
Extending EpiEstim to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study	15
Serodynamics: A primer and synthetic review of methods for epidemiological inference using serological data	15
Ceasing sampling at wastewater treatment plants where viral dynamics are most predictable	15
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis	14
First wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Santiago Chile: Seroprevalence, asymptomatic infection and infection fatality rate	14
A Cluster-Aggregate-Pool (CAP) ensemble algorithm for improved forecast performance of influenza-like illness	14
Variation in pneumococcal invasiveness metrics is driven by serotype carriage duration and initial risk of disease	13
Complex model calibration through emulation, a worked example for a stochastic epidemic model	13
Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub	13
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer	13
Modelling the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 14 days of infection	13
Wastewater surveillance: From COVID-19 emergency response to a pillar of continuous public health	13
A simulation-based approach for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data	13
Outbreak reconstruction with a slowly evolving multi-host pathogen: A comparative study of three existing methods on Mycobacterium bovis outbreaks	12
Retrospective modelling of the disease and mortality burden of the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Zurich, Switzerland	12
Projecting the population-level impact of norovirus vaccines	12
Foundation models for time series forecasting and policy evaluation in infectious disease epidemics	12
Investigating the impact of edge weight selection on the pig trade network topology	12
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue	12
RAMPVIS: Answering the challenges of building visualisation capabilities for large-scale emergency responses	12
Sequential Monte Carlo Squared for online inference in stochastic epidemic models	12
Learning associations of COVID-19 hospitalizations with wastewater viral signals by Markov modulated models	12
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration	12
Short term forecast of new daily pandemic hospitalizations: A time series model for a single hospital	11
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics	11
Using wastewater surveillance to improve infectious disease control in correctional facilities and congregate living settings: A modeling perspective	11
Machine learning approaches for real-time ZIP code and county-level estimation of state-wide infectious disease hospitalizations using local health system data	11
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida	11
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy	11
Advancing genomic epidemiology by addressing the bioinformatics bottleneck: Challenges, design principles, and a Swiss example	11
Maternal immunity drives age-related patterns of RSV disease	10
Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number	10
Verifying infectious disease scenario planning for geographically diverse populations	10
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)	10
Estimating measures to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia to guide a ‘National Plan’ to reopening	10
Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 surveillance and beyond: A survey	10
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva	10
A country-specific model of COVID-19 vaccination coverage needed for herd immunity in adult only or population wide vaccination programme	10
Estimating age-stratified transmission and reproduction numbers during the early exponential phase of an epidemic: A case study with COVID-19 data	9
The bridge between two worlds: Global South researchers' journeys through Global North academic training and beyond	9

Lives saved by public health restrictions over the Victorian COVID-19 Delta variant epidemic wave, Aug-Nov 2021	9
Reconstructing the first COVID-19 pandemic wave with minimal data in England	9
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–2008	9
Bayesian monitoring of COVID-19 in Sweden	9
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design	9
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology	8
A combination of probabilistic and mechanistic approaches for predicting the spread of African swine fever on Merry Island	8
Explaining the stable coexistence of drug-resistant and -susceptible pathogens: the resistance acquisition purifying selection model	8
Nationally representative social contact patterns among U.S. adults, August 2020-April 2021	8
Direct and indirect effects of hepatitis B vaccination in four low- and middle-income countries	8
Modeling the transmission of antibiotic-resistant Enterobacterales in the community: A systematic review	8
A case for ongoing structural support to maximise infectious disease modelling efficiency for future public health emergencies: A modelling perspective	8
COVID-19 in Scottish care homes: A metapopulation model of spread among residents and staff	8
Dose response for Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis and other nontyphoid enteric salmonellae	8
Predicting the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 on Mycoplasma pneumoniae in the United States	8
Does spatial information improve forecasting of influenza-like illness?	8
The impact of reactive case detection on malaria transmission in Zanzibar in the presence of human mobility	8
Malaria temporal dynamic clustering for surveillance and intervention planning	8