Epidemics

Article	Citations
The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy	167
A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities	77
Estimating the generation interval and inferring the latent period of COVID-19 from the contact tracing data	59
Modelling the early phase of the Belgian COVID-19 epidemic using a stochastic compartmental model and studying its implied future trajectories	56
Estimation of the incubation period of COVID-19 using viral load data	49
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics	47
Memory is key in capturing COVID-19 epidemiological dynamics	46
Chopping the tail: How preventing superspreading can help to maintain COVID-19 control	41
A model for COVID-19 with isolation, quarantine and testing as control measures	39
Quantification of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.7 in Switzerland	35
Estimated prevalence of undiagnosed HCV infected individuals in Italy: A mathematical model by route of transmission and fibrosis progression	33
Assessing the nationwide impact of COVID-19 mitigation policies on the transmission rate of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil	33
Impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in Switzerland	31
Modeling waning and boosting of COVID-19 in Canada with vaccination	26
Rational evaluation of various epidemic models based on the COVID-19 data of China	25
An evaluation of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo performance to calibrate age-structured compartmental SEIR models to incidence data	25
Determinants of RSV epidemiology following suppression through pandemic contact restrictions	23
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling	23
Challenges in modelling the dynamics of infectious diseases at the wildlife–human interface	23
The impact of lockdown strategies targeting age groups on the burden of COVID-19 in France	21
Assessing the efficacy of interventions to control indoor SARS-Cov-2 transmission: An agent-based modeling approach	20
To quarantine, or not to quarantine: A theoretical framework for disease control via contact tracing	20
Assessing the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Belgium by means of an extended SEIQRD model and public mobility data	20
Lessons for preparedness and reasons for concern from the early COVID-19 epidemic in Iran	19
Challenges in modeling the emergence of novel pathogens	19

COVID-19 Belgium: Extended SEIR-QD model with nursing homes and long-term scenarios-based forecasts	19
Impacts of K-12 school reopening on the COVID-19 epidemic in Indiana, USA	18
Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting	18
Competition between RSV and influenza: Limits of modelling inference from surveillance data	17
Complementary roles of wild boar and red deer to animal tuberculosis maintenance in multi-host communities	17
Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number	16
COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan demonstrates the limitations of publicly available case numbers for epidemiological modeling	16
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates	16
Social contact patterns among employees in 3 U.S. companies during early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, April to June 2020	16
Optimizing COVID-19 control with asymptomatic surveillance testing in a university environment	15
Optimal allocation of PCR tests to minimise disease transmission through contact tracing and quarantine	15
Nationally representative social contact patterns among U.S. adults, August 2020-April 2021	15
Bayesian sequential data assimilation for COVID-19 forecasting	15
Challenges of evaluating and modelling vaccination in emerging infectious diseases	15
Investigating the relationship between interventions, contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility	15
The African swine fever modelling challenge: Model comparison and lessons learnt	14
Variability in transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2 in close contact settings: A contact tracing study in Shandong Province, China	14
Modelling the dynamics of infection, waning of immunity and re-infection with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Aotearoa New Zealand	14
Quantifying transmission fitness costs of multi-drug resistant tuberculosis	14
The impact of social distancing, contact tracing, and case isolation interventions to suppress the COVID-19 epidemic: A modeling study	14
A new logistic growth model applied to COVID-19 fatality data	14
The challenges of data in future pandemics	13
Pseudo-likelihood based logistic regression for estimating COVID-19 infection and case fatality rates by gender, race, and age in California	13
Modelling suggests ABO histo-incompatibility may substantially reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission	13
Challenges on the interaction of models and policy for pandemic control	12
How much leeway is there to relax COVID-19 control measures?	12
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis	12
RAMPVIS: Answering the challenges of building visualisation capabilities for large-scale emergency responses	12
Mathematical modelling of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review	12
Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub	11
Sustaining effective COVID-19 control in Malaysia through large-scale vaccination	11
Emergence of zoonoses such as COVID-19 reveals the need for health sciences to embrace an explicit eco-social conceptual framework of health and disease	11
Recalibrating the notion of modelling for policymaking during pandemics	11
Communicating uncertainty in epidemic models	11
Optimally pooled viral testing	11
Insight into Delta variant dominated second wave of COVID-19 in Nepal	11
How time-scale differences in asymptomatic and symptomatic transmission shape SARS-CoV-2 outbreak dynamics	10
Quantifying mechanistic traits of influenza viral dynamics using in vitro data	10
Policy-driven mathematical modeling for COVID-19 pandemic response in the Philippines	10
Identification and evaluation of epidemic prediction and forecasting reporting guidelines: A systematic review and a call for action	10
A combination of probabilistic and mechanistic approaches for predicting the spread of African swine fever on Merry Island	10
Association between meteorological factors and the epidemics of influenza (sub)types in a subtropical basin of Southwest China	10
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics	10
Social contacts and other risk factors for respiratory infections among internally displaced people in Somaliland	10
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden	10
Dynamic network strategies for SARS-CoV-2 control on a cruise ship	9
Dose response for Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis and other nontyphoid enteric salmonellae	9
Network models and the interpretation of prolonged infection plateaus in the COVID19 pandemic	9
Geospatial clustering and modelling provide policy guidance to distribute funding for active TB case finding in Ethiopia	9
Impact of inter-hospital transfers on the prevalence of resistant pathogens in a hospital–community system	9

Participatory syndromic surveillance as a tool for tracking COVID-19 in Bangladesh	9
Assessing the risk of cascading COVID-19 outbreaks from prison-to-prison transfers	9
The variations of SIkJalpha model for COVID-19 forecasting and scenario projections	8
Zika virus outbreak in Brazil under current and future climate	8
Social mixing patterns relevant to infectious diseases spread by close contact in urban Blantyre, Malawi	8
Estimation of the probability of epidemic fade-out from multiple outbreak data	8
The impact of mobility network properties on predicted epidemic dynamics in Dhaka and Bangkok	8
Stochastic modelling of African swine fever in wild boar and domestic pigs: Epidemic forecasting and comparison of disease management strategies	8
Responsible modelling: Unit testing for infectious disease epidemiology	8
Modeling the population effects of escape mutations in SARS-CoV-2 to guide vaccination strategies	8
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology	8
Cross-sectional cycle threshold values reflect epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 in Madagascar	8
Precautionary breaks: Planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease	8
Bayesian evidence synthesis to estimate subnational TB incidence: An application in Brazil	7
Symptom-based vs asymptomatic testing for controlling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in low- and middle-income countries: A modelling analysis	7
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them	7
Infectious disease modelling for SARS-CoV-2 in Africa to guide policy: A systematic review	7
Response to COVID-19 during the Tokyo Olympic Games: Did we properly assess the risk?	7
Can the combination of TasP and PrEP eliminate HIV among MSM in British Columbia, Canada?	7
Gecko: A time-series model for COVID-19 hospital admission forecasting	7
Simulated effects of increasing salmonid production on sea lice populations in Norway	7
An exploration of within-herd dynamics of a transboundary livestock disease: A foot and mouth disease case study	7
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review	7
Who acquires infection from whom? Estimating herpesvirus transmission rates between wild rodent host groups	7
The role of airborne transmission in a large single source outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in a Belgian nursing home in 2020	7
Challenges in evaluating risks and policy options around endemic establishment or elimination of novel pathogens	7
The triple epidemics of arboviruses in Feira de Santana, Brazilian Northeast: Epidemiological characteristics and diffusion patterns	7
Effective strategies to promote HIV self-testing for men who have sex with men: Evidence from a mathematical model	7
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies	6
A semi-parametric mixed model for short-term projection of daily COVID-19 incidence in Canada	6
Infectious disease dynamics and restrictions on social gathering size	6
Development of an influenza pandemic decision support tool linking situational analytics to national response policy	6
It’s risky to wander in September: Modelling the epidemic potential of Rift Valley fever in a Sahelian setting	6
Modelling the epidemic extremities of dengue transmissions in Thailand	6
Realtime case study simulations of transmission of Pancreas Disease (PD) in Norwegian salmonid farming for disease control purposes	6
The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy	6
Building resource constraints and feasibility considerations in mathematical models for infectious disease: A systematic literature review	6
The African swine fever modelling challenge: Objectives, model description and synthetic data generation	6
Rapid assessment of the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation: case study and lessons learned	6
Modeling the effects of social distancing on the large-scale spreading of diseases	6
Large-scale measurement of aggregate human colocation patterns for epidemiological modeling	6
Combining seroprevalence and capture-mark-recapture data to estimate the force of infection of brucellosis in a managed population of Alpine ibex	6
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration	6
Deriving risk maps from epidemiological models of vector borne diseases: State-of-the-art and suggestions for best practice	6
Quantifying heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission during the lockdown in India	6
Structural identifiability of compartmental models for infectious disease transmission is influenced by data type	6
The impact of reactive case detection on malaria transmission in Zanzibar in the presence of human mobility	6
Existing human mobility data sources poorly predicted the spatial spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Madagascar	6
Modelling how face masks and symptoms-based quarantine synergistically and cost-effectively reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Bangladesh	6
Using video-analysis technology to estimate social mixing and simulate influenza transmission at a mass gathering	5
Lockdowns exert selection pressure on overdispersion of SARS-CoV-2 variants	5
Contribution and quality of mathematical modeling evidence in World Health Organization guidelines: A systematic review	5
Epidemiological and genomic findings of the first documented Italian outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant of concern	5
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview	5
Impact of disruptions to routine vaccination programs, quantifying burden of measles, and mapping targeted supplementary immunization activities	5
Impact of cross-border-associated cases on the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Switzerland during summer 2020 and 2021	5
Gaps in mobility data and implications for modelling epidemic spread: A scoping review and simulation study	5
Timeliness of reporting of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence results and their utility for infectious disease surveillance	5
Advancing genomic epidemiology by addressing the bioinformatics bottleneck: Challenges, design principles, and a Swiss example	5
Small area population denominators for improved disease surveillance and response	5
Accounting for cross-immunity can improve forecast accuracy during influenza epidemics	5
Population structure and diet generalism define a preliminary ecological profile of zoonotic virus hosts in the Western Ghats, India	5
Large-scale calibration and simulation of COVID-19 epidemiologic scenarios to support healthcare planning	5
The performance of phenomenological models in providing near-term Canadian case projections in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic: March – April, 2020	5
High-resolution estimates of tuberculosis incidence among non-U.S.-born persons residing in the United States, 2000–2016	5
Small area population denominators for improved disease surveillance and response	5
Testing a simple and frugal model of health protective behaviour in epidemic times	5
Synchronized spread of COVID-19 in the cities of Bahia, Brazil	5
Estimating the global reduction in transmission and rise in detection capacity of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 in early 2020	5
Globally local: Hyper-local modeling for accurate forecast of COVID-19	5
On the contact tracing for COVID-19: A simulation study	4
Percolation across households in mechanistic models of non-pharmaceutical interventions in SARS-CoV-2 disease dynamics	4
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva	4
Modeling nation-wide U.S. swine movement networks at the resolution of the individual premises	4
A mixed methods analysis of participation in a social contact survey	4
The role of regular asymptomatic testing in reducing the impact of a COVID-19 wave	4
Forecasting COVID-19 infections with the semi-unrestricted Generalized Growth Model	4
A statistical framework for tracking the time-varying superspreading potential of COVID-19 epidemic	4
Inferring ASF transmission in domestic pigs and wild boars using a paired model iterative approach	4
Projecting Omicron scenarios in the US while tracking population-level immunity	4

Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine	4
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer	4
Integrative modelling of reported case numbers and seroprevalence reveals time-dependent test efficiency and infectious contacts	4
A country-specific model of COVID-19 vaccination coverage needed for herd immunity in adult only or population wide vaccination programme	4
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida	4
Network structure and rapid HIV transmission among people who inject drugs: A simulation-based analysis	4
A novel method to jointly estimate transmission rate and decay rate parameters in environmental transmission models	4