Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Papers
(The TQCC of Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences is 10. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-05-01 to 2025-05-01.)
ArticleCitations
Changing sea level, changing shorelines: integration of remote-sensing observations at the Terschelling barrier island80
Mind the gap: misalignment between drought monitoring and community realities73
The Cambodian Mekong floodplain under future development plans and climate change73
Uncovering the veil of night light changes in times of catastrophe73
The influence of aftershocks on seismic hazard analysis: a case study from Xichang and the surrounding areas66
Modeling of indoor 222Rn in data-scarce regions: an interactive dashboard approach for Bogotá, Colombia63
Transferability of machine-learning-based modeling frameworks across flood events for hindcasting maximum river water depths in coastal watersheds62
Climatology of large hail in Europe: characteristics of the European Severe Weather Database61
Characterizing hail-prone environments using convection-permitting reanalysis and overshooting top detections over south-central Europe58
GTDI: a game-theory-based integrated drought index implying hazard-causing and hazard-bearing impact change54
Ground motion variability in Israel from 3-D simulations of M 6 and M 7 earthquakes53
Assessing flood hazard changes using climate model forcing47
Spatiotemporal heterogeneity of b values revealed by a data-driven approach for the 17 June 2019 MS 6.0 Changning earthquake sequence, Sichuan, China45
Temporal changes in rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-wildfire flash floods in southern California44
Assessing flooding impact to riverine bridges: an integrated analysis43
The 2017 Split wildfire in Croatia: evolution and the role of meteorological conditions43
Does a convection-permitting regional climate model bring new perspectives on the projection of Mediterranean floods?43
Brief communication: Western Europe flood in 2021 – mapping agriculture flood exposure from synthetic aperture radar (SAR)43
A new regionally consistent exposure database for Central Asia: population and residential buildings42
Wind-wave characteristics and extremes along the Emilia-Romagna coast41
Storm surge hazard over Bengal delta: a probabilistic–deterministic modelling approach41
Characteristics of precipitation extremes over the Nordic region: added value of convection-permitting modeling40
Invited perspectives: Landslide populations – can they be predicted?39
Are heavy-rainfall events a major trigger of associated natural hazards along the German rail network?39
Addressing class imbalance in soil movement predictions39
Automated determination of landslide locations after large trigger events: advantages and disadvantages compared to manual mapping38
CHILDA – Czech Historical Landslide Database38
Semi-automatic mapping of shallow landslides using free Sentinel-2 images and Google Earth Engine37
Review article: Physical vulnerability database for critical infrastructure hazard risk assessments – a systematic review and data collection37
Insights into the vulnerability of vegetation to tephra fallouts from interpretable machine learning and big Earth observation data36
The record-breaking precipitation event of December 2022 in Portugal36
Assessing the relationship between weather conditions and rockfall using terrestrial laser scanning to improve risk management36
Review article: Towards improved drought prediction in the Mediterranean region – modeling approaches and future directions36
Dynamic response and breakage of trees subject to a landslide-induced air blast36
Idealized simulations of Mei-yu rainfall in Taiwan under uniform southwesterly flow using a cloud-resolving model35
The Mw 7.5 Tadine (Maré, Loyalty Islands) earthquake and related tsunami of 5 December 2018: seismotectonic context and numerical modeling34
Amplified potential for vegetation stress under climate-change-induced intensifying compound extreme events in the Greater Mediterranean Region32
Using machine learning algorithms to identify predictors of social vulnerability in the event of a hazard: Istanbul case study32
Invited perspectives: “Natural hazard management, professional development and gender equity: let's get down to business”31
Storm characteristics influence nitrogen removal in an urban estuarine environment30
Precipitation extremes in Ukraine from 1979 to 2019: climatology, large-scale flow conditions, and moisture sources30
A coupled hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling approach for estimating rainfall thresholds of debris-flow occurrence29
Reconstructing hail days in Switzerland with statistical models (1959–2022)28
A globally applicable framework for compound flood hazard modeling27
Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa27
Assessment of wind–damage relations for Norway using 36 years of daily insurance data26
The potential of machine learning for weather index insurance26
More than one landslide per road kilometer – surveying and modeling mass movements along the Rishikesh–Joshimath (NH-7) highway, Uttarakhand, India26
Risk perception of local stakeholders on natural hazards: implications for theory and practice26
Towards a global impact-based forecasting model for tropical cyclones26
Assessing Typhoon Soulik-induced morphodynamics over the Mokpo coastal region in South Korea based on a geospatial approach25
InSAR-informed in situ monitoring for deep-seated landslides: insights from El Forn (Andorra)25
Meteotsunami in the United Kingdom: the hidden hazard24
Using high-resolution regional climate models to estimate return levels of daily extreme precipitation over Bavaria23
Study on seismic risk assessment model of water supply systems in mainland China23
Climatic characteristics of the Jianghuai cyclone and its linkage with precipitation during the Meiyu period from 1961 to 202022
Evaluation of debris-flow building damage forecasts22
A user perspective on the avalanche danger scale – insights from North America22
Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties22
Probabilistic assessment of postfire debris-flow inundation in response to forecast rainfall22
Subseasonal forecasts of heat waves in West African cities21
Book review: Over the seawall: tsunamis, cyclones, drought, and the delusion of controlling nature21
Brief communication: On the extremeness of the July 2021 precipitation event in western Germany20
Revisiting regression methods for estimating long-term trends in sea surface temperature20
Submarine landslide source modeling using the 3D slope stability analysis method for the 2018 Palu, Sulawesi, tsunami20
Variable hydrograph inputs for a numerical debris-flow runout model20
Ground motion prediction maps using seismic-microzonation data and machine learning20
Estimating emergency costs for earthquakes and floods in Central Asia based on modelled losses20
Enhancement of state response capability and famine mitigation: a comparative analysis of two drought events in northern China during the Ming dynasty20
Strategies for comparison of modern probabilistic seismic hazard models and insights from the Germany and France border region20
Landslide initiation thresholds in data-sparse regions: application to landslide early warning criteria in Sitka, Alaska, USA20
Brief communication: SWM – stochastic weather model for precipitation-related hazard assessments using ERA5-Land data20
Scoring and ranking probabilistic seismic hazard models: an application based on macroseismic intensity data20
Integrating macroseismic intensity distributions with a probabilistic approach: an application in Italy20
Multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-1920
A non-extensive approach to probabilistic seismic hazard analysis19
Comparison of conditioning factor classification criteria in large-scale statistically based landslide susceptibility models19
Differences in volcanic risk perception among Goma's population before the Nyiragongo eruption of May 2021, Virunga volcanic province (DR Congo)19
A participatory approach to determine the use of road cut slope design guidelines in Nepal to lessen landslides18
Mapping current and future flood exposure using a 5 m flood model and climate change projections18
Comparison of machine learning techniques for reservoir outflow forecasting18
Brief communication: The crucial assessment of possible significant vertical movements preceding the 28 December 1908, Mw = 7.1, Messina Straits earthquake18
The Earthquake Risk Model of Switzerland, ERM-CH2318
Machine learning models to predict myocardial infarctions from past climatic and environmental conditions18
Comparing components for seismic risk modelling using data from the 2019 Le Teil (France) earthquake18
Still normal? Near-real-time evaluation of storm surge events in the context of climate change18
Nonlinear processes in tsunami simulations for the Peruvian coast with focus on Lima and Callao18
A simulation–optimization framework for post-disaster allocation of mental health resources18
Update on the seismogenic potential of the Upper Rhine Graben southern region17
Reconstruction of wind and surge of the 1906 storm tide at the German North Sea coast17
Bayesian extreme value analysis of extreme sea levels along the German Baltic coast using historical information17
Linking reported drought impacts with drought indices, water scarcity and aridity: the case of Kenya17
Rapid tsunami force prediction by mode-decomposition-based surrogate modeling17
Brief communication: The Lahaina Fire disaster – how models can be used to understand and predict wildfires17
Assessing agriculture's vulnerability to drought in European pre-Alpine regions17
Integrating empirical models and satellite radar can improve landslide detection for emergency response17
Evaluating methods for debris-flow prediction based on rainfall in an Alpine catchment17
Brief communication: Seismological analysis of flood dynamics and hydrologically triggered earthquake swarms associated with Storm Alex17
VADUGS: a neural network for the remote sensing of volcanic ash with MSG/SEVIRI trained with synthetic thermal satellite observations simulated with a radiative transfer model17
Modelling seismic ground motion and its uncertainty in different tectonic contexts: challenges and application to the 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20)17
Insights into ground strike point properties in Europe through the EUCLID lightning location system17
Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems17
Improvements to the detection and analysis of external surges in the North Sea16
CRHyME (Climatic Rainfall Hydrogeological Modelling Experiment): a new model for geo-hydrological hazard assessment at the basin scale16
Monte Carlo-based sensitivity analysis of the RIM2D hydrodynamic model for the 2021 flood event in western Germany16
Assessing the coastal hazard of Medicane Ianos through ensemble modelling16
Invited perspectives: how does climate change affect the risk of natural hazards? Challenges and step changes from the reinsurance perspective16
Regional seismic risk assessment based on ground conditions in Uzbekistan16
Post-wildfire sediment source and transport modeling, empirical observations, and applied mitigation: an Arizona, USA, case study16
Potential tsunami hazard of the southern Vanuatu subduction zone: tectonics, case study of the Matthew Island tsunami of 10 February 2021 and implication in regional hazard assessment16
Applying machine learning for drought prediction in a perfect model framework using data from a large ensemble of climate simulations16
The impact of long-term changes in ocean waves and storm surge on coastal shoreline change: a case study of Bass Strait and south-east Australia16
Assessing minimum pyroclastic density current mass to impact critical infrastructures: example from Aso caldera (Japan)16
Preface: Advances in extreme value analysis and application to natural hazards16
Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks16
Review article: Towards resilient vital infrastructure systems – challenges, opportunities, and future research agenda16
Identifying the drivers of private flood precautionary measures in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam15
Characteristics of consecutive tsunamis and resulting tsunami behaviors in southern Taiwan induced by the Hengchun earthquake doublet on 26 December 200615
Gridded flood depth estimates from satellite-derived inundations15
The role of heat wave events in the occurrence and persistence of thermal stratification in the southern North Sea15
Impact of topography on in situ soil wetness measurements for regional landslide early warning – a case study from the Swiss Alpine Foreland15
Global application of a regional frequency analysis to extreme sea levels15
Rainfall thresholds estimation for shallow landslides in Peru from gridded daily data15
A methodological framework for the evaluation of short-range flash-flood hydrometeorological forecasts at the event scale15
Review article: A European perspective on wind and storm damage – from the meteorological background to index-based approaches to assess impacts15
Bayesian hierarchical modelling of sea-level extremes in the Finnish coastal region15
Lessons learned about the importance of raising risk awareness in the Mediterranean region (north Morocco and west Sardinia, Italy)15
A predictive equation for wave setup using genetic programming15
Brief communication: The potential use of low-cost acoustic sensors to detect rainfall for short-term urban flood warnings15
Multi-scale hydraulic graph neural networks for flood modelling15
Leveraging multi-model season-ahead streamflow forecasts to trigger advanced flood preparedness in Peru15
Using integrated hydrological–hydraulic modelling and global data sources to analyse the February 2023 floods in the Umbeluzi Catchment (Mozambique)15
Development of damage curves for buildings near La Rochelle during storm Xynthia based on insurance claims and hydrodynamic simulations15
An open-source radar-based hail damage model for buildings and cars15
Implementation of WRF-Hydro at two drainage basins in the region of Attica, Greece, for operational flood forecasting15
Nearshore tsunami amplitudes across the Maldives archipelago due to worst-case seismic scenarios in the Indian Ocean15
Dynamical changes in seismic properties prior to, during, and after the 2014–2015 Holuhraun eruption, Iceland15
Brief communication: Landslide activity on the Argentinian Santa Cruz River mega dam works confirmed by PSI DInSAR15
Invited perspectives: Challenges and step changes for natural hazard – perspectives from the German Committee for Disaster Reduction (DKKV)15
Brief communication: Impact forecasting could substantially improve the emergency management of deadly floods: case study July 2021 floods in Germany14
Sedimentary record of historical seismicity in a small, southern Oregon lake14
Identifying plausible historical scenarios for coupled lake level and seismicity rate changes: the case for the Dead Sea during the last 2 millennia14
Forecasting large hail and lightning using additive logistic regression models and the ECMWF reforecasts14
Precursors and pathways: dynamically informed extreme event forecasting demonstrated on the historic Emilia-Romagna 2023 flood14
Back analysis of a building collapse under snow and rain loads in a Mediterranean area14
Real-time urban rainstorm and waterlogging disaster detection by Weibo users14
Apparent contradiction in the projected climatic water balance for Austria: wetter conditions on average versus higher probability of meteorological droughts14
Importance of non-stationary analysis for assessing extreme sea levels under sea level rise14
The influence of infragravity waves on the safety of coastal defences: a case study of the Dutch Wadden Sea13
Landslides triggered by the 2015 Mw 6.0 Sabah (Malaysia) earthquake: inventory and ESI-07 intensity assignment13
Improving flood damage assessments in data-scarce areas by retrieval of building characteristics through UAV image segmentation and machine learning – a case study of the 2019 floods in southern Malaw13
Rapid estimation of seismic intensities by analyzing early aftershock sequences using the robust locally weighted regression program (LOWESS)13
Predicting deep-seated landslide displacement on Taiwan's Lushan through the integration of convolutional neural networks and the Age of Exploration-Inspired Optimizer13
Estimating return intervals for extreme climate conditions related to winter disasters and livestock mortality in Mongolia13
Hydrometeorological analysis of the 12 and 13 September 2019 widespread flash flooding in eastern Spain13
Propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought in the Horn of Africa using both standardized and threshold-based indices13
Brief communication: Forecasting extreme precipitation from atmospheric rivers in New Zealand13
Reconstruction of flow conditions from 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami deposits at the Phra Thong island using a deep neural network inverse model13
Joint probability analysis of storm surges and waves caused by tropical cyclones for the estimation of protection standard: a case study on the eastern coast of the Leizhou Peninsula and the island of13
Urban search and rescue (USAR) simulation system: spatial strategies for agent task allocation under uncertain conditions13
Assessing the impact of early warning and evacuation on human losses during the 2021 Ahr Valley flood in Germany using agent-based modelling13
Intense rains in Israel associated with the train effect13
Modelling extreme water levels using intertidal topography and bathymetry derived from multispectral satellite images12
What drives landslide risk? Disaggregating risk analyses, an example from the Franz Josef Glacier and Fox Glacier valleys, New Zealand12
Geographic information system models with fuzzy logic for susceptibility maps of debris flow using multiple types of parameters: a case study in Pinggu District of Beijing, China12
Grain size modulates volcanic ash retention on crop foliage and potential yield loss12
Quantifying the potential benefits of risk-mitigation strategies on future flood losses in Kathmandu Valley, Nepal12
Rockfall monitoring with a Doppler radar on an active rockslide complex in Brienz/Brinzauls (Switzerland)12
Urban growth and spatial segregation increase disaster risk: lessons learned from the 2023 disaster on the North Coast of São Paulo, Brazil12
Assimilation of temperature and relative humidity observations from personal weather stations in AROME-France12
The footprint of a historical paleoearthquake: the sixth-century-CE event in the European western Southern Alps12
Rapid assessment of abrupt urban mega-gully and landslide events with structure-from-motion photogrammetric techniques validates link to water resources infrastructure failures in an urban periphery12
Future heat extremes and impacts in a convection-permitting climate ensemble over Germany12
Demonstrating the use of UNSEEN climate data for hydrological applications: case studies for extreme floods and droughts in England12
Brief communication: Inclusiveness in designing an early warning system for flood resilience12
Assessing tropical cyclone compound flood risk using hydrodynamic modelling: a case study in Haikou City, China12
Estimation of the non-exceedance probability of extreme storm surges in South Korea using tidal-gauge data12
Algorithmically detected rain-on-snow flood events in different climate datasets: a case study of the Susquehanna River basin12
Long-term hazard assessment of explosive eruptions at Jan Mayen (Norway) and implications for air traffic in the North Atlantic12
Predicting drought and subsidence risks in France12
Comprehensive landslide susceptibility map of Central Asia12
Skillful decadal prediction of German Bight storm activity12
Review article: Design and evaluation of weather index insurance for multi-hazard resilience and food insecurity12
Generating reliable estimates of tropical-cyclone-induced coastal hazards along the Bay of Bengal for current and future climates using synthetic tracks12
An ensemble of state-of-the-art ash dispersion models: towards probabilistic forecasts to increase the resilience of air traffic against volcanic eruptions11
Testing the 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) against observations from Romania11
Accelerating compound flood risk assessments through active learning: A case study of Charleston County (USA)11
Effectiveness of Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 for flood detection assessment in Europe11
Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis of Batukaras, a tourism village in Indonesia11
Earthquake forecasting model for Albania: the area source model and the smoothing model11
Validated probabilistic approach to estimate flood direct impacts on the population and assets on European coastlines11
Earthquake hazard characterization by using entropy: application to northern Chilean earthquakes11
Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies11
Examining the Eastern European extreme summer temperatures of 2023 from a long-term perspective: the role of natural variability vs. anthropogenic factors11
Hurricane Irma: an unprecedented event over the last 3700 years? Geomorphological changes and sedimentological record in Codrington Lagoon, Barbuda11
Evaluation of liquefaction triggering potential in Italy: a seismic-hazard-based approach11
Probabilistic hazard analysis of the gas emission of Mefite d'Ansanto, southern Italy11
Analysis of borehole strain anomalies before the 2017 Jiuzhaigou Ms 7.0 earthquake based on a graph neural network11
Flash flood warnings in context: combining local knowledge and large-scale hydro-meteorological patterns11
Model-based assessment of climate change impact on inland flood risk at the German North Sea coast caused by compounding storm tide and precipitation events11
Estimating ground motion intensities using simulation-based estimates of local crustal seismic response11
Modelling ignition probability for human- and lightning-caused wildfires in Victoria, Australia11
The impact of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) zenith total delay data assimilation on the short-term precipitable water vapor and precipitation forecast over Italy using the Weather Research11
Modeling of a compound flood induced by the levee breach at Qianbujing Creek, Shanghai, during Typhoon Fitow10
Lessons from the 2018–2019 European droughts: a collective need for unifying drought risk management10
Analyzing the informative value of alternative hazard indicators for monitoring drought hazard for human water supply and river ecosystems at the global scale10
Global flood exposure from different sized rivers10
Co- and postseismic subaquatic evidence for prehistoric fault activity near Coyhaique, Aysén Region, Chile10
FOREWARNS: development and multifaceted verification of enhanced regional-scale surface water flood forecasts10
Building-scale flood loss estimation through vulnerability pattern characterization: application to an urban flood in Milan, Italy10
Limit analysis of earthquake-induced landslides considering two strength envelopes10
Brief communication: On the environmental impacts of the 2023 floods in Emilia-Romagna (Italy)10
Modelling hazards impacting the flow regime in the Hranice Karst due to the proposed Skalička Dam10
INSYDE-BE: adaptation of the INSYDE model to the Walloon region (Belgium)10
A data-driven evaluation of post-fire landslide susceptibility10
Identification and ranking of subaerial volcanic tsunami hazard sources in Southeast Asia10
A cross-scale study for compound flooding processes during Hurricane Florence10
Characteristics of debris flows recorded in the Shenmu area of central Taiwan between 2004 and 202110
Data-based wildfire risk model for Mediterranean ecosystems – case study of the Concepción metropolitan area in central Chile10
The potential of open-access data for flood estimations: uncovering inundation hotspots in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, through a normalized flood severity index10
Accounting for the effect of forest and fragmentation in probabilistic rockfall hazard10
Tsunami hazard assessment in the South China Sea based on geodetic locking of the Manila subduction zone10
Avalanche size estimation and avalanche outline determination by experts: reliability and implications for practice10
Interacting effects of land-use change and natural hazards on rice agriculture in the Mekong and Red River deltas in Vietnam10
Debris flow event on Osorno volcano, Chile, during summer 2017: new interpretations for chain processes in the southern Andes10
First application of the Integrated Karst Aquifer Vulnerability (IKAV) method – potential and actual vulnerability in Yucatán, Mexico10
Towards improving the spatial testability of aftershock forecast models10
Scrutinizing and rooting the multiple anomalies of Nepal earthquake sequence in 2015 with the deviation–time–space criterion and homologous lithosphere–coversphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling physi10
Freak wave events in 2005–2021: statistics and analysis of favourable wave and wind conditions10
Modelling tsunami initial conditions due to rapid coseismic seafloor displacement: efficient numerical integration and a tool to build unit source databases10
Multi-hazard analysis of flood and tsunamis on the western Mediterranean coast of Turkey10
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