Law Probability & Risk

Papers
(The TQCC of Law Probability & Risk is 1. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-08-01 to 2026-08-01.)
ArticleCitations
We can do so much better than binary decisions and error rates: why don’t we?12
How the work being done on statistical fingerprint models provides the basis for a much broader and greater impact affecting many areas within the criminal justice system7
Development and evaluation of a goodness-of-fit test for comparing within-source distributions of scores suitable for small sample sizes6
Evidence-based evaluations of criminal evidence—the role of evaluation structures for guilt determinations3
Chain event graphs for assessing activity-level propositions in forensic science in relation to drug traces on banknotes2
Information economics in the criminal standard of proof2
Towards cumulative forensic science: a commentary on ‘Methodological problems in every black-box study of forensic firearm comparisons’1
Odds ratios as a measure of disproportionate treatment: application to jury venires1
Presumed prior, contextual prior, and bizarre consequences—a reply to Ronald Meester and Lonneke Stevens1
Criminal evidence indexes for taxometric investigations of guilty-suspect base rates and classifications1
Reconciling common-source, specific-source, feature-based, and score-based likelihood ratios1
From causality to liability: integrating Bayesian inference and PageRank logic in legal responsibility assessment1
Training legal fact-finders to recognize probabilistic fallacies1
Bi-Gaussianized calibration of likelihood ratios1
Modeling the middle ground: A rejoinder to Biedermann, Sjerps, and Kafadar, Rodu, & Campbell-Aaron1
Advancing the conversation on forensic inconclusives1
Methodological problems in every black-box study of forensic firearm comparisons1
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