OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Weather and Forecasting is 3. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-05-01 to 2025-05-01.)

Article	Citations
Assessment of an Experimental Version of fvGFS for TC Genesis Forecasting Ability in the Western North Pacific	111
Characteristics of Warm Season Heavy Rainfall in Minnesota	48
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 for Southwest Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Associated Extreme Rainfall Events on Extended Range Scale over India	35
Forecasting High Wind Events in the HRRR Model over Wyoming and Colorado. Part I: Evaluation of Wind Speeds and Gusts	32
Reorganization of Snowfall beneath Cloud Top within the Comma Head Region of Two Extreme U.S. East Coast Winter Cyclones	30
Assessing NOAA Rip-Current Hazard Likelihood Predictions: Comparison with Lifeguard Observations and Parameterizations of Bathymetric and Transient Rip-Current Types	29
Development and Validation of NOAA’s 20-Year Global Wave Ensemble Reforecast	24
A Comparative Study of Various Approaches for Producing Probabilistic Forecasts of Upper-Level Aviation Turbulence	23
A Bayesian Framework for the Probabilistic Interpretation of Radar Observations and Severe Hailstorm Reports	22
An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary Layer Structure	21
Simulated QLCS Vortices in a High-Shear, Low-CAPE Environment	20
Parametric Postprocessing of Dual-Resolution Precipitation Forecasts	19
Machine Learning–Derived Severe Weather Probabilities from a Warn-on-Forecast System	16
A Forecast Cycle–Based Evaluation for Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasts by the Operational HWRF Model	16
Machine Learning–Based Hurricane Wind Reconstruction	14
Learning from Precipitation Events in the Wider Domain to Improve the Performance of a Deep Learning–Based Precipitation Nowcasting Model	13
Forecasting U.S. Tornado Outbreak Activity and Associated Environments in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)	13
Identifying the development of a tropical depression into a tropical storm over the South China Sea	12
The Development of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12	12
Comparison of 2018–2022 Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts Before and After NOAA G-IV Missions	11
A Deep Learning Model for Precipitation Nowcasting Using Multiple Optical Flow Algorithms	11
Deterministic Rapid Intensity Forecast Guidance for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s Area of Responsibility	11
Equity, Inclusion, and Justice: An Opportunity for Action for AMS Publications Stakeholders	11
Effects of Prognostic Number Concentrations of Snow and Graupel on the Simulated Precipitation over the Korean Peninsula	10
An Analysis of the Spatial and Temporal Synergy between Profiles of Aircraft-Based Observations and Operational Radiosonde Reports over the United States	9

Development of a Wave Model Component in the First Coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System at NOAA	9
Large-Sample Application of Radar Reflectivity Object-Based Verification to Evaluate HRRR Warm-Season Forecasts	9
The Forecast Skill of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in Two Global Ensembles	9
ProxyVis—A Proxy for Nighttime Visible Imagery Applicable to Geostationary Satellite Observations	8
Short-Term Weather Forecast Skill of Artificial Neural Networks	8
Satellite-Based Nowcasting of West African Mesoscale Storms Has Skill at up to 4-h Lead Time	8
The Meteorology of the Tathra Bushfire	8
Enhancing Seasonal Forecast Skills by Optimally Weighting the Ensemble from Fresh Data	8
Performance of 2020 Real-Time Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts from High-Resolution Global-Nested Hurricane Models: HAFS-globalnest and GFDL T-SHiELD	8
Analyzing Tornado Warning Performance during Individual Storm Life Cycles	8
Bias Correction of Tropical Cyclone Intensity for Ensemble Forecasts Using the XGBoost Method	8
Correction of Monthly SST Forecasts in CFSv2 Using the Local Dynamical Analog Method	8
Masthead	8
Winter Precipitation Type from Microwave Radiometers in New York State Mesonet Profiler Network	8
Results from a Pseudo-Real-Time Next-Generation 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Prototype	8
Developing a Hail and Wind Damage Swath Event Database from Daily MODIS True Color Imagery and Storm Reports for Impact Analysis and Applications	8
A Simple Model for Predicting Tropical Cyclone Minimum Central Pressure from Intensity and Size	7
Fast Storm Surge Ensemble Prediction using Searching Optimization of a Numerical Scenario Database	7
Subseasonal Earth System Prediction with CESM2	7
Journal Information and Table of Contents	7
A Climatological Study of National Weather Service Watches, Warnings, and Advisories and Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers in the Western United States 2006–18	7
A Multivariable Convolutional Neural Network for Forecasting Synoptic-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the South China Sea	7
Regional Cloud Forecast Verification Using Standard, Spatial, and Object-Oriented Methods	7
Masthead	6
Masthead	6
Quantifying the Uncertainty in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model under Sea Breeze and Low-Level Jet Conditions in the New York Bight: Importance to Offshore Wind Energy	6
Investigating the Potential of Using Mixdown Altitudes to Forecast Peak Wind Gusts	6
The Development of a Consensus Machine Learning Model for Hurricane Rapid Intensification Forecasts with Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Data	6
Evaluation of 0–6-Hour Forecasts from the Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System and the Hybrid Analysis and Forecast System for Real-Time Cases in 2021	6
Advantages to Writing Shorter Articles	6
Impact of SST and Surface Waves on Hurricane Florence (2018): A Coupled Modeling Investigation	5
Comparison of the Performance of the Observation-Based Hybrid EDMF and EDMF-TKE PBL Schemes in 2020 Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from the Global-Nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System	5
Masthead	5
A Hybrid Ultra-short-term and Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting Method based on CEEMDAN and GA-BPNN	5
Development of a Two-Step EOF Statistical Postprocessing Algorithm to Identify Patterns of Systematic Error and Variance within GEFSv12 Reforecasts	5
A Markov Model Approach for Statistical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii Baseline Forecasts	5
Initialized seasonal prediction with the NCAR models in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME)	5
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part I: Tying Weather Variables to Road Hazards and Quantifying Impacts	5
Nowcasting Applications of Geostationary Satellite Hourly Surface PM2.5 Data	5
Just What Is “Good”? Musings on Hail Forecast Verification through Evaluation of FV3-HAILCAST Hail Forecasts	5
Using NOAA Satellite Imagery to Detect and Track Hazardous Sea Spray in the High Latitudes	5
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 in Depicting Monthly Rainfall and Associated Extreme Events over Taiwan during the Summer Monsoon	5
Sources of Tropical Cyclone Track Bifurcation in the COAMPS-TC and GFS Ensembles	5
ProbSevere Version 3: Improved Exploitation of Data Fusion and Machine Learning for Nowcasting Severe Weather	5
Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System	5
Evaluating the Multiscale Implementation of Valid Time Shifting within a Real-Time EnVar Data Assimilation and Forecast System for the 2022 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment	5
A Machine Learning Tutorial for Operational Meteorology. Part I: Traditional Machine Learning	5
Masthead	5
Differences in Near-Storm Parameters Useful for Forecasting Intensity of Nocturnal and Diurnal Bow Echo Winds	5
Evaluation of ECMWF Precipitation Predictions in China during 2015–18	5

Design and Evaluation of Calibrated and Seamless Ensemble Weather Forecasts for Crop Protection Applications	4
Impact of Horizontal Grid Resolution from Ten-Kilometric to Hectometric Scales on Radiation Fog Forecasting over North China Plain	4
The Impact of Analysis Correction-Based Additive Inflation on Subseasonal Tropical Prediction in the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability	4
Direct Radiative Effects of Aerosols on Numerical Weather Forecasts—A Comparison of Two Aerosol Datasets in the NCEP GFS	4
Evaluation of HRRR Wind Speed Forecast and WindNinja Downscaling Accuracy during Santa Ana Wind Events in Southern California	4
Masthead	4
The Roles of Chaos Seeding and Multiple Perturbations in Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting over Southern China	4
Quantifying observation representativeness errors using a spatial verification method: A lightning-based illustration	4
A Calibrated and Consistent Combination of Probabilistic Forecasts for the Exceedance of Several Precipitation Thresholds Using Neural Networks	4
Revisiting Environmental Wind and Moisture Calculations in the Context of Tropical Cyclone Intensification	4
Masthead	4
Random Forest Approach for Improving Nonconvective High Wind Forecasting across Southeast Wyoming	4
Forecast Applications of GLM Gridded Products: A Data Fusion Perspective	4
A Comparison of the Impacts of Inner-Core, In-Vortex, and Environmental Dropsondes on Tropical Cyclone Forecasts during the 2017–20 Hurricane Seasons	4
Evaluation of Global Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Forecasts	4
Using Radiosonde Observations to Assess the “Three Ingredients Method” to Forecast QLCS Mesovortices	4
Radar Reflectivity–Based Model Initialization Using Specified Latent Heating (Radar-LHI) within a Diabatic Digital Filter or Pre-Forecast Integration	4
A Comparison between 2D and 3D Rescaling Masks of Initial Condition Perturbation in a 3-km Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction System	4
TCIC-SC-RNet: A Hybrid Model for TC Intensity Estimation Based on Transfer Learning	4
Weather Associated with Rapid-Growth California Wildfires	4
Unified ensemble mean forecasting of tropical cyclones based on the feature-oriented mean method	4
Evaluation of Probabilistic Snow Forecasts for Winter Weather Operations at Intermountain West Airports	4
Hybrid Numerical Weather Prediction: Downscaling GraphCast AI Forecasts for Downslope Windstorms	4
Masthead	4
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part II: Forecast Performance	4
Firm Behavior in the Face of Severe Weather: Economic Analysis between Probabilistic and Deterministic Warnings	4
A Probabilistic Prediction of Rogue Waves from a WAVEWATCH III Model for the Northeast Pacific	4
Improving Afternoon Thunderstorm Prediction over Complex Terrain with the Assimilation of Dense Ground-Based Observations: Four Cases in the Taipei Basin	4
Bias Correction, Anonymization, and Analysis of Smartphone Pressure Observations Using Machine Learning and Multiresolution Kriging	4
Masthead	4
Documenting the Progressions of Secondary Eyewall Formations	4
The Influence of Wildfire Smoke on Cloud Microphysics during the September 2020 Pacific Northwest Wildfires	4
Weather to subseasonal prediction from the UFS coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System	4
Quantification of QLCS Tornadogenesis, Associated Characteristics, and Environments across a Large Sample	3
Advancing the Seasonal Outlook of the Wet Seasons of Florida	3
Evaluating Medium-Range Forecast Performance of Regional-Scale Circulation Patterns	3
The Early Evening Transition in Southeastern U.S. Tornado Environments	3
Flow Dependence of Medium-Range Precipitation Forecast Skill over California	3
Exploring the Usefulness of Machine Learning Severe Weather Guidance in the Warn-on-Forecast System: Results from the 2022 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	3
Collaborative Exploration of Storm-Scale Probabilistic Guidance for NWS Forecast Operations	3
Validation of HWRF-based Probabilistic TC Wind and Precipitation forecasts	3
Masthead	3
Examining sub-daily tornado warning performance and associated environmental characteristics	3
Exploring NWS Forecasters’ Assessment of AI Guidance Trustworthiness	3
Forecast Dropouts in the NAVGEM Model: Characterization with Respect to Other Models, Large-Scale Indices, and Ensemble Forecasts	3
The WRF-Based Incremental Analysis Updates and Its Implementation in an Hourly Cycling Data Assimilation System	3
Methods for Validating HRRR Simulated Cloud Properties for Different Weather Phenomena Using Satellite and Radar Observations	3
Hurricane Forecasting: A Novel Multimodal Machine Learning Framework	3
Updates in the NCEP GFS PBL and Convection Models with Environmental Wind Shear Effect and Modified Entrainment and Detrainment Rates and Their Impacts on the GFS Hurricane and CAPE Forecasts	3
Impacts of Sampling and Storm-Motion Estimates on RUC/RAP-Based Discriminations of Nontornadic and Tornadic Supercell Environments	3
WoFS and the Wisdom of the Crowd: The Impact of the Warn-on-Forecast System on Hourly Forecasts during the 2021 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	3
Radar-Based Comparison of Thunderstorm Outflow Boundary Speeds versus Peak Wind Gusts from Automated Stations	3
Role of a Pacific Easterly Wave in the Genesis of Hagupit (2008)	3
Using Artificial Neural Networks to Improve CFS Week-3–4 Precipitation and 2-m Air Temperature Forecasts	3
Doppler Lidar and Mobile Radiosonde Observation-Based Evaluation of Warn-on-Forecast System Predicted Near-Supercell Environments during TORUS 2019	3
An Evaluation of NOAA Modeled and In Situ Soil Moisture Values and Variability across the Continental United States	3
On the utility of individual tendency output: Revealing interactions between parameterised processes during a marine cold air outbreak	3
Environmental Evolution of Long-Lived Supercell Thunderstorms in the Great Plains	3
History and Development of the USAF Agriculture Meteorology Modeling System and Resulting USAF–NASA Strategic Partnership	3
Spatial Aligned Mean: A Method to Improve Consensus Forecasts of Precipitation from Convection-Allowing Model Ensembles	3
Assessing the Influence of Complex Terrain on Severe Convective Environments in Northeastern Alabama	3
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part II: An Hourly Winter Storm Severity Index	3
Severe Convective Storms in Limited Instability Organized by Pattern and Distribution	3
An Impact Study of GNSS RO Data on the Prediction of Typhoon Nepartak (2016) Using a Multiresolution Global Model with 3D-Hybrid Data Assimilation	3
Evaluation of Aerosol Optical Depth Forecasts from NOAA’s Global Aerosol Forecast Model (GEFS-Aerosols)	3
Performance of a Convective-Scale Ensemble Prediction System on 2017 Warm-Season Afternoon Thunderstorms over Taiwan	3
Simulations of Severe Convective Systems Using 1- versus 3-km Grid Spacing	3
Improving Precipitation Forecasts with Convolutional Neural Networks	3
The Relationship between Northeast Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures, Synoptic Evolution, and Surface Air Temperatures over the Pacific Northwest	3
Sources of Subseasonal Skill and Predictability in Wintertime California Precipitation Forecasts	3
Investigation of Machine Learning Using Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique Analysis Parameters to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity	3
Storm-Scale Predictability and Analysis of the 13 April 2020 Central Savannah River Area Tornado Outbreak	3
The Statistical Relationship of Lightning Activity and Short-Duration Rainfall Events over Guangzhou, China, in 2017	3
Masthead	3