Weather and Forecasting

Article	Citations
Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT) Encounters on 13 November 2019 over Central and Eastern China: Numerical Simulation and Generation Mechanism	109
A Nowcasting Approach for Low-Earth-Orbiting Hyperspectral Infrared Soundings within the Convective Environment	47
A Comparison of Right-Moving Supercell and Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornadoes in the Contiguous United States 2003–21	32
Parametric Postprocessing of Dual-Resolution Precipitation Forecasts	31
Verification of Quasi-Linear Convective Systems Predicted by the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS)	29
A Rapid Intensification Deterministic Ensemble (RIDE) for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s Area of Responsibility	21
Seasonal Forecasting of Precipitation, Temperature, and Snow Mass over the Western United States by Combining Ensemble Postprocessing with Empirical Ocean–Atmosphere Teleconnections	21
An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary Layer Structure	21
Warn-on-Forecast System: From Vision to Reality	20
Evaluation of HRRR wind speed forecast and WindNinja downscaling accuracy during Santa Ana wind events in southern California	19
Masthead	19
Assessing the Impact of Biased Target Variables on Machine Learning Models of Severe Hail	17
Corrigendum	17
Influence of a portable near-surface observing network on experimental ensemble forecasts of deep convection hazards during VORTEX-SE	16
Examining the Relationship between Tropopause Polar Vortices and Tornado Outbreaks	15
Characteristics of Warm Season Heavy Rainfall in Minnesota	15
Clustering Technique Suitable for Eulerian Framework to Generate Multiple Scenarios from Ensemble Forecasts	13
A Geospatial Verification Method for Severe Convective Weather Warnings: Implications for Current and Future Warning Methods	13
Masthead	13
On the Emergence of Frequency Bias from Accumulating or Disaggregating Bias-Corrected Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts	13
A Forecast Cycle–Based Evaluation for Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasts by the Operational HWRF Model	12
Masthead	11
Refinement of CrIS channel selection for global data assimilation and its impact on the global weather forecast	11
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 for Southwest Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Associated Extreme Rainfall Events on Extended Range Scale over India	11
Machine Learning–Based Hurricane Wind Reconstruction	11

Machine Learning–Derived Severe Weather Probabilities from a Warn-on-Forecast System	10
AMS Publications Support for Open, Transparent, and Equitable Research	9
Assessment of an Experimental Version of fvGFS for TC Genesis Forecasting Ability in the Western North Pacific	9
Development of a Hybrid Ensemble–Variational Data Assimilation System over the Western Maritime Continent	9
A Probabilistic Prediction of Rogue Waves from a WAVEWATCH III Model for the Northeast Pacific	9
Forecasting U.S. Tornado Outbreak Activity and Associated Environments in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)	9
An Hourly Climatology of Operational MRMS MESH-Diagnosed Severe and Significant Hail with Comparisons to Storm Data Hail Reports	8
Masthead	8
Evaluation of Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) Error Statistics Stratified by Internal Structure and Environmental Metrics	8
ARPEGE Cloud Cover Forecast Postprocessing with Convolutional Neural Network	8
Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction with an Encoding-to-Forecasting Deep Learning Model	8
Stochastic Downscaling to Chaotic Weather Regimes using Spatially Conditioned Gaussian Random Fields with Adaptive Covariance	8
Measuring Displacement Errors with Complex Wavelets	8
Improved Seasonal Forecast Skill of Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Extent in CanSIPS Version 2	8
Signatures of Oceanic Wind Events in Geostationary Cloud Top Temperature and Lightning Data	8
Investigating the Near-Surface Wind Fields of Downbursts Using a Series of High-Resolution Idealized Simulations	8
Limitations of Short-Term Thunderstorm Forecasts from Convection-Allowing Models with 3-km Horizontal Grid Spacing	8
Improving Afternoon Thunderstorm Prediction over Complex Terrain with the Assimilation of Dense Ground-Based Observations: Four Cases in the Taipei Basin	8
Short- and Medium-Range Predictability of Warm-Season Derechos. Part II: Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts	8
Probabilistic forecasting of cloud base height and visibility using quantile regression forests, based on NWP and observation features	8
Coherent Bimodal Events in Ensemble Forecasts of 2-m Temperature	7
Masthead	7
The Impact of Analysis Correction-Based Additive Inflation on Subseasonal Tropical Prediction in the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability	7
A Comparative Study of Various Approaches for Producing Probabilistic Forecasts of Upper-Level Aviation Turbulence	7
Microphysical Perturbation Experiments and Ensemble Forecasts on Summertime Heavy Rainfall over Northern Taiwan	7
Quantifying and Visualizing Severe Thunderstorm Motion Uncertainty for Improved Decision Support	7
Do Machine Learning Approaches Offer Skill Improvement for Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Gust Occurrence and Magnitude?	7
The Roles of Chaos Seeding and Multiple Perturbations in Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting over Southern China	7
A Comparison of the Impacts of Inner-Core, In-Vortex, and Environmental Dropsondes on Tropical Cyclone Forecasts during the 2017–20 Hurricane Seasons	7
Using Radiosonde Observations to Assess the “Three Ingredients Method” to Forecast QLCS Mesovortices	7
Toward Improved Short-Term Forecasting for Lake Victoria Basin. Part I: A Radar-Based Convective Mode Analysis	6
Validation of Cool-Season Snowfall Forecasts at a High-Elevation Site in Utah’s Little Cottonwood Canyon	6
Errors of Opportunity: Using Neural Networks to Predict Errors in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) on S2S Time Scales	6
Subseasonal Potential Predictability of Horizontal Water Vapor Transport and Precipitation Extremes in the North Pacific	6
Improving the Statistical Representation of Tropical Cyclone In-Storm Sea Surface Temperature Cooling	6
A New ENSO Statistical Prediction Model considering Extratropical Effects and Its Application to the Prediction of the 2015/16 El Niño Event	6
Radar Characteristics of Supercell Thunderstorms Traversing the Appalachian Mountains	6
Assessing NOAA Rip-Current Hazard Likelihood Predictions: Comparison with Lifeguard Observations and Parameterizations of Bathymetric and Transient Rip-Current Types	6
Impact of Assimilating Uncrewed Aircraft System Observations on River Valley Fog Prediction	6
An Automated Method to Analyze Tropical Cyclone Surface Winds from Real-Time Aircraft Reconnaissance Observations	6
Moving beyond the Aerosol Climatology of WRF-Solar: A Case Study over the North China Plain	5
A Revised Bourgouin Precipitation-Type Algorithm	5
Development and Evaluation of Global Korean Aviation Turbulence Forecast Systems Based on an Operational Numerical Weather Prediction Model and In Situ Flight Turbulence Observation Data	5
Comparing Partial and Continuously Cycling Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation Systems for Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Initialization	5
Development and Validation of NOAA’s 20-Year Global Wave Ensemble Reforecast	5
Reorganization of Snowfall beneath Cloud Top within the Comma Head Region of Two Extreme U.S. East Coast Winter Cyclones	5
Ensemble Predictability of Week 3/4 Precipitation and Temperature over the United States via Cluster Analysis of the Large-Scale Circulation	5
Climatology of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation in the S2S Models	5
Assessing Variations in the Predictive Skill of Ensemble Snowband Forecasts with Object-Oriented Verification and Self-Organizing Maps	5
Damages Associated with Excessive Rainfall Outlooks (ERO) and Missed Flash Floods	5

A Bayesian Framework for the Probabilistic Interpretation of Radar Observations and Severe Hailstorm Reports	5
Evaluating Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation over Southeast Asia	5
A Comparison between 2D and 3D Rescaling Masks of Initial Condition Perturbation in a 3-km Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction System	5
Forecasting High Wind Events in the HRRR Model over Wyoming and Colorado. Part I: Evaluation of Wind Speeds and Gusts	5
Verification of Rapid Refresh and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model Variables in Tornadic Tropical Cyclones	5
High Temporal Resolution Analyses with GOES-16 Atmospheric Motion Vectors of Mesovortex Rapid Intensification in Subtropical Cyclone Henri (2021)	4
Radar Reflectivity–Based Model Initialization Using Specified Latent Heating (Radar-LHI) within a Diabatic Digital Filter or Pre-Forecast Integration	4
The Influence of Regional Meteorology on Carbon Emissions from California Wildfires	4
Large-Sample Application of Radar Reflectivity Object-Based Verification to Evaluate HRRR Warm-Season Forecasts	4
Sub-Severe and Severe Hail	4
Improving the Intensity Forecast of Tropical Cyclones in the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System	4
Simulated QLCS Vortices in a High-Shear, Low-CAPE Environment	4
Validation of HWRF-based Probabilistic TC Wind and Precipitation forecasts	4
Clustering-Based Spatial Interpolation of Parametric Postprocessing Models	4
Equity, Inclusion, and Justice: An Opportunity for Action for AMS Publications Stakeholders	4
The Influence of WSR-88D Intra-Volume Scanning Strategies on Thunderstorm Observations and Warnings in the Dual-Polarization Radar Era: 2011–20	4
Doppler-Lidar Evaluation of HRRR-Model Skill at Simulating Summertime Wind Regimes in the Columbia River Basin during WFIP2	4
A Systematic Assessment of the Overall Dropsonde Impact during the 2017–20 Hurricane Seasons Using the Basin-Scale HWRF	4
On the Changes in Convection-Allowing WRF Forecasts of MCS Evolution due to Decreases in Model Horizontal and Vertical Grid Spacing. Part II: Impacts on QPFs	4
Using the Orthogonal Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations Approach to Address the Uncertainties of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts Generated by the WRF Model	4
Masthead	4
Learning from Precipitation Events in the Wider Domain to Improve the Performance of a Deep Learning–Based Precipitation Nowcasting Model	4
Lightning-Based Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Guidance	4
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part II: Forecast Performance	4
Bias Correction, Anonymization, and Analysis of Smartphone Pressure Observations Using Machine Learning and Multiresolution Kriging	4
Optimizing Numerical Weather Prediction Utility of the Maryland Mesonet with Observing System Simulation Experiments	4
Improving Numerical Weather Prediction–Based Near-Cloud Aviation Turbulence Forecasts by Diagnosing Convective Gravity Wave Breaking	4
Evaluation and Statistical Correction of Area-Based Heat Index Forecasts That Drive a Heatwave Warning Service	4
Assimilation of AMSU-A Surface-Sensitive Channels in CMA_GFS 4D-Var System over Land	4
An Optimal Interpolation–Based Snow Data Assimilation for NOAA’s Unified Forecast System (UFS)	4
M-PERC: A New Satellite Microwave-Based Model to Diagnose the Onset of Tropical Cyclone Eyewall Replacement Cycles	4
Experimental High-Resolution Winter Seasonal Climate Reforecasts for Florida	4
Foundational Needs of Forecasters for Probabilistic Winter Forecasting	4
Environmental Evolution of Long-Lived Supercell Thunderstorms in the Great Plains	4
Regime-Dependent Characteristics and Predictability of Cold-Season Precipitation Events in the St. Lawrence River Valley	4
Snowfall Model Validation Using Surface Observations and an Optimal Estimation Snowfall Retrieval	4
Storm-Scale Polarimetric Radar Signatures Associated with Tornado Dissipation in Supercells	4
TCIC-SC-RNet: A Hybrid Model for TC Intensity Estimation Based on Transfer Learning	4
Identifying the development of a tropical depression into a tropical storm over the South China Sea	4
Evaluating Foehn Occurrence in a Changing Climate Based on Reanalysis and Climate Model Data Using Machine Learning	4
The Development of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12	4
Signatures of Oceanic Wind Events in Convection-Resolving WRF Model Simulations	4
Exploring the Watch-to-Warning Space: Experimental Outlook Performance during the 2019 Spring Forecasting Experiment in NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Testbed	3
Effects of Prognostic Number Concentrations of Snow and Graupel on the Simulated Precipitation over the Korean Peninsula	3
Improving Analysis and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones by Assimilating Radar and GNSS-R Wind Observations: Ensemble Data Assimilation and Observing System Simulation Experiments Using a Coupled Atmosp	3
Radar Signatures and Surface Observations of Elevated Convection Associated with Damaging Surface Winds	3
Implementation of Scale-Dependent Background-Error Covariance Localization in the Canadian Global Deterministic Prediction System	3
A Summary of GFS Ensemble Integrated Water Vapor Transport Forecasts and Skill along the U.S. West Coast during Water Years 2017–20	3
Forecasting Convection with a “Scale-Aware” Tiedtke Cumulus Parameterization Scheme at Kilometer Scales	3
Comparison of the Prediction of Indian Monsoon Low Pressure Systems by Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction Models	3
2019 Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts from the Global-Nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System: Composite Statistics and Key Events	3
A Case Study Investigating the Low Summertime CAPE Behavior in the Global Forecast System	3
Bayesian Model Averaging with Temporal Correlation for Time Series Forecasts	3
Direct Radiative Effects of Aerosols on Numerical Weather Forecasts—A Comparison of Two Aerosol Datasets in the NCEP GFS	3
Assessing RRFS versus HRRR in Predicting Widespread Convective Systems over the Eastern CONUS	3
Using the U.S. Climate Reference Network to Identify Biases in Near- and Subsurface Meteorological Fields in the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Weather Prediction Model	3
The Statistical Relationship of Lightning Activity and Short-Duration Rainfall Events over Guangzhou, China, in 2017	3
High-Resolution NWP Forecast Precipitation Comparison over Complex Terrain of the Sierras de Córdoba during RELAMPAGO-CACTI	3
Tornado Formation and Intensity Prediction Using Polarimetric Radar Estimates of Updraft Area	3
Forecast Dropouts in the NAVGEM Model: Characterization with Respect to Other Models, Large-Scale Indices, and Ensemble Forecasts	3
The WRF-Based Incremental Analysis Updates and Its Implementation in an Hourly Cycling Data Assimilation System	3
Evaluation and Usefulness of Lightning Forecasts Made with Lightning Parameterization Schemes Coupled with the WRF Model	3
Masthead	3
Postprocessing of Ensemble Weather Forecast Using Decision Tree–Based Probabilistic Forecasting Methods	3
Short-Term Weather Forecast Skill of Artificial Neural Networks	3
Quantification of NSSL Warn-on-Forecast System Accuracy by Storm Age Using Object-Based Verification	3
A Deep Learning Model for Precipitation Nowcasting Using Multiple Optical Flow Algorithms	3
Masthead	3
Examining Terrain Effects on an Upstate New York Tornado Event Utilizing a High-Resolution Model Simulation	3
Track Dependence of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Errors in the COAMPS-TC Model	3
Masthead	3
Results from a Pseudo-Real-Time Next-Generation 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Prototype	3
Assessing the Influence of Complex Terrain on Severe Convective Environments in Northeastern Alabama	3
Evaluation of Global Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Forecasts	3
Exploring Hourly Updating Probabilistic Guidance in the 2021 Spring Forecasting Experiment with Objective and Subjective Verification	3
Objective Methods for Thinning the Frequency of Reforecasts while Meeting Postprocessing and Model Validation Needs	3
The Forecast Skill of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in Two Global Ensembles	3
Skill Assessment of NCEP Three-Way Coupled HWRF–HYCOM–WW3 Modeling System: Hurricane Laura Case Study	3
Masthead	3
A Comparison of Extreme and Ordinary Freezing Rain Events of Long Duration and High Integrated Vapor Transport in Eastern North America	3

Firm Behavior in the Face of Severe Weather: Economic Analysis between Probabilistic and Deterministic Warnings	3
Challenges in Numerical Weather Prediction of the 10 August 2020 Midwestern Derecho: Examples from the FV3-LAM	3
“This isn’t a hurricane, this is a flood event”: A Qualitative Analysis of National Weather Service Forecaster Messaging During Hurricane Florence	3
The Development and Operational Use of an Integrated Numerical Weather Prediction System in the National Center for Meteorology of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia	3
Randomized Subensembles: An Approach to Reduce the Risk of Divergence in an Ensemble Kalman Filter Using Cross Validation	3
Analyzing Tornado Warning Performance during Individual Storm Life Cycles	3