OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The H4-Index of Journal of Forecasting is 20. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-12-01 to 2025-12-01.)

Article	Citations
	71
Forecasting Gold Volatility in an Uncertain Environment: The Roles of Large and Small Shock Sizes	53
Common Shocks and Climate Risk in European Equities	47
Regime‐Switching Density Forecasts Using Economists' Scenarios	44
HyperVIX: A GWO‐Optimized ARIMA‐LSTM Hybrid Model for CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) Forecasting	41
A model sufficiency test using permutation entropy	38
Potential Demand Forecasting for Steel Products in Spot Markets Using a Hybrid SARIMA‐LSSVM Approach	37
Nowcasting inflation with Lasso‐regularized vector autoregressions and mixed frequency data	35
Deep learning meets decision trees: An application of a heterogeneous deep forest approach in credit scoring for online consumer lending	33
Global Risk Aversion: Driving Force of Future Real Economic Activity	32
Forecasting USD/RMB exchange rate using the ICEEMDAN‐CNN‐LSTM model	31
Volatility forecasting for stock market incorporating macroeconomic variables based on GARCH‐MIDAS and deep learning models	28
Modeling uncertainty in financial tail risk: A forecast combination and weighted quantile approach	27
Forecasting elections from partial information using a Bayesian model for a multinomial sequence of data	25
Predicting tail risks by a Markov switching MGARCH model with varying copula regimes	25
Robust Estimation of Multivariate Time Series Data Based on Reduced Rank Model	24
The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses	22
Macroeconomic real‐time forecasts of univariate models with flexible error structures	22
Forecasting stock market returns with a lottery index: Evidence from China	21
Volatility forecasting incorporating intraday positive and negative jumps based on deep learning model	21
Integrating Google Mobility Indices for Forecasting Infectious Diseases Incidence: A Multi‐Country Study on COVID‐19 With LightGBM	20